{"id":41932,"date":"2026-03-20T05:44:15","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T05:44:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c-gdp-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ea%b3%bc-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%eb%b6%88%ea%b5%ac%ed%95%98\/"},"modified":"2026-03-20T05:44:15","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T05:44:15","slug":"%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c-gdp-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ea%b3%bc-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%eb%b6%88%ea%b5%ac%ed%95%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c-gdp-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ea%b3%bc-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%eb%b6%88%ea%b5%ac%ed%95%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc GDP \ubd80\uc9c4\uacfc \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub85c NZD\/USD\ub294 1.30% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 0.5870\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c 1.30% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc57d 0.5870\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud588\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \ud1b5\uacc4\uccad\uc740 4\ubd84\uae30 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP, \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4 \ub0b8 \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\ud569) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc804 \ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 0.2%\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 0.4%\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uace0, \uc9c1\uc804 \ubd84\uae30 0.9%\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub454\ud654\ub41c \uc218\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 1.3%\ub85c, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 1.7%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc774\uc804 1.1%\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub192\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

2025\ub144 3\uc6d4 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784(Price Action) \ub9ac\ubdf0<\/h3>\n\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub974\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1) \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c \uac74\uc218(Initial Jobless Claims, \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9\uc744 \ucc98\uc74c \uc2e0\uccad\ud55c \uc0ac\ub78c \uc218)\ub294 3\uc6d4 14\uc77c\ub85c \ub05d\ub09c \uc8fc\uc5d0 205K(20\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uac74)\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 215K(21\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uac74)\uc640 \uc774\uc804\uce58 213K(21\ub9cc3\ucc9c \uac74)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 0.5873\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 20\uae30\uac04 \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA, \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc778 0.5840 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud558\ub77d \uc911\uc778 100\uae30\uac04 SMA\uc778 0.5902 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218, \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d\uc758 \ud798\uc744 0~100\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 40 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \ub4a4 58\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uba74 \ubc84\ud2f0\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc740 0.5872, 0.5830, 0.5798\uc774\uba70, \uc800\ud56d\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\uba74 \ub9c9\ud788\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc740 0.5892\uc640 0.5902 \ubd80\uadfc\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d \ubd80\ubd84\uc740 AI \ub3c4\uad6c\uc758 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 \uc791\uc131\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc30\uacbd<\/h3>\n\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 2025\ub144 3\uc6d4 \uc774 \uc2dc\uae30\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc NZD\/USD\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc GDP\uac00 \uc57d\ud588\ub294\ub370\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc804\ubc18\uc801 \ubd84\uc704\uae30(\ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac)\uac00 \ud604\uc9c0 \uc9c0\ud45c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc92c\ub294\ub370\ub3c4, \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc624\ub298(2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 20\uc77c)\ub85c \uc624\uba74 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud575\uc2ec \uad50\ud6c8\uc740 \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \ubd84\uae30 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 3.1%\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc774 \uacbd\uacc4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot, \uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ud55c \ud45c)\ub294 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub290\uc2a8\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \uac83) \uc2dc\uc791 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc791\ub144\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uae34\ucd95\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294) \ud0dc\ub3c4\uc640\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \ubcc0\ud654\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144\uc5d0 \ubd24\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \uc88b\uc544 \ubcf4\uc774\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD)\ub97c \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \u2018\uacc4\uc18d \uc624\ub978\ub2e4\u2019\uace0 \uac00\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc791\ub144\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd(positioning, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc3e0\ub9bc)\uc774 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub450\ub418, \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uac11\uc790\uae30 \ubc14\ub014 \ub54c\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04\uc740 NZD\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option, \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc120\ud0dd\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774(interest rate differentials, \ub450 \ub098\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ucc28\uc774)\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\uccb4\uac00 \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \ub3cc\uc544\uc124 \ub54c \ud070 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 4\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 0.6200 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(strike, \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uac00\uaca9) \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74, \ud604\uc7ac 0.6150 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\ud6a1\ubcf4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc744 \uc704\ub85c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(\ucd5c\uadfc 50\uc77c \uac00\uaca9 \ud3c9\uade0)\uc778 0.6120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.6190\uc73c\ub85c, \uc9c0\ub09c \ud55c \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub9c9\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba74 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140(\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud798)\uc774 \uac15\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub418\uc5b4 \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc791\ub144 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \uc8fc\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ud070 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc14\uafc0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uac15\uc138(\uc0c1\uc2b9) \uad00\uc810\uc758 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ubcf4\ud638\uc6a9 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(protective put, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \ub54c \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd)\uc774\ub098 0.6100 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uac00\uaca9\ub300(psychological level, \ub465\uadfc \uc22b\uc790\ub77c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uac8c \ubcf4\ub294 \uad6c\uac04) \uc544\ub798\uc758 \ucd18\ucd18\ud55c \uc190\uc808(stop-loss, \uc190\uc2e4 \uc81c\ud55c\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uccad\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9)\ub85c \ubc29\uc5b4\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub807\uac8c \ud558\uba74 2025\ub144 3\uc6d4\ucc98\ub7fc \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc5d0 \ud718\ub9d0\ub9b4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \ud0a4\uc704\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b0\ub2e4! 2025\ub144 NZD\/USD\ub294 \u7f8e\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc GDP\ub294 \ubd80\uc9c4, Fed\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\ub9e4\ud30c. 2026\ub144\uc5d4 CPI \uacac\uc870\u00b7Fed \uc644\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638, \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac \uc81c\uc548. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41932","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41932","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41932"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41932\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41932"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41932"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41932"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}