{"id":41921,"date":"2026-03-20T03:46:11","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T03:46:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%86%8d-eur-usd-1-16-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%9c%a0%ec%b6%9c-%eb%ac%b8%ea%b1%b4%ec%97%90-4%ec%9b%94-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%85%bc\/"},"modified":"2026-03-20T03:46:11","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T03:46:11","slug":"ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%86%8d-eur-usd-1-16-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%9c%a0%ec%b6%9c-%eb%ac%b8%ea%b1%b4%ec%97%90-4%ec%9b%94-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%85%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%86%8d-eur-usd-1-16-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%9c%a0%ec%b6%9c-%eb%ac%b8%ea%b1%b4%ec%97%90-4%ec%9b%94-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81-%eb%85%bc\/","title":{"rendered":"ECB \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc18d EUR\/USD 1.16% \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026\uc720\ucd9c \ubb38\uac74\uc5d0 4\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub17c\uc758 \uc608\uace0"},"content":{"rendered":"ECB(\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud55c \ub4a4 EUR\/USD(\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec)\ub294 1.16% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc815\ucc45 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc774\ub974\uba74 4\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1) \ub17c\uc758\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \u2018\uc720\ucd9c\u2019 \ubcf4\ub3c4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub098\uc624\uba70 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \uc720\uc785\ub410\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc740 1.1440 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \ub4a4 1.1582 \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4.\n\nECB\ub294 \uc608\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc5d0 \ub3c8\uc744 \ub9e1\uae38 \ub54c \uc801\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac) 2%, \uc8fc\uc694 \uc7ac\uc735\uc790\uae08\ub9ac(\uc2dc\uc911\uc740\ud589\uc5d0 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc790\uae08\uc744 \ube4c\ub824\uc904 \ub54c\uc758 \uae30\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac) 2.15%, \ud55c\uacc4\ub300\ucd9c\uae08\ub9ac(\uae34\uae09\u00b7\ub2e8\uae30 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub354 \ube44\uc2fc \uae08\ub9ac\ub85c \ube4c\ub9b4 \ub54c \uc801\uc6a9) 2.40%\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. ECB\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\uc5d0 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uba70, \uc911\uae30 \uc601\ud5a5\uc740 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc758 \uc804\uac1c\uc640 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc804\uac00\ub418\ub294\uc9c0(\uac00\uaca9 \uc804\uac00)\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n

Central Banks And Market Reaction<\/h3>\n\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4)\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(\uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 1% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud574 99.21\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218(Initial Jobless Claims\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5\uae09\uc5ec\ub97c \ucc98\uc74c \uc2e0\uccad\ud55c \uac74\uc218)\ub294 21\ub9cc3000\uac74\uc5d0\uc11c 20\ub9cc5000\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(21\ub9cc5000\uac74)\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc2e0\uaddc\uc8fc\ud0dd\ud310\ub9e4(New Home Sales\u00b7\uc2e0\uaddc\ub85c \uc9c0\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4)\ub294 1\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 17.6% \uae09\uac10\ud574 12\uc6d4(-1.7%)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uc218\uc775\ub960(\uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac)\uc740 \uc7a5\uc911 \uae09\ub4f1 \ud6c4 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. Prime Market Terminal \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uacbd\uc0c1\uc218\uc9c0(\ub300\uc678 \uac70\ub798\uc758 \uc218\uc785\u00b7\uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \uc885\ud569\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c), \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0(\uc218\ucd9c-\uc218\uc785 \ucc28\uc774), \ub3c5\uc77c PPI(\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ubc1b\ub294 \ucd9c\uace0\uac00\uaca9 \uc218\uc900) \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \uc77c\uc815\uc774 \ube44\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d\uc0c1 EUR\/USD\ub294 1.1585 \ubd80\uadfc, RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d\uc758 \ud798\uc744 0~100\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4 \uacfc\uc5f4\/\uce68\uccb4\ub97c \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 45.65 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c \uc800\ud56d\uc120(\uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c9\ud790 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc740 1.1636, 1.1730, 1.1820, 1.1900\uc774\uba70, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\ud558\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc84\ud2f8 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc740 1.1567, 1.1512, 1.1417\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n

Rates Inflation And Volatility<\/h3>\n\uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\ub4e4\uc744 \uc6b0\ub824\ud558\uac8c \ud588\ub358 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \uc9c4\uc815\ub3fc ECB\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ub300\uc751 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc804\uccb4 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\ub294 2.4%\ub85c 2025\ub144 \uace0\uc810 \ub300\ube44 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ucf54\uc5b4 PCE(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 2.8% \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \ub048\uc801\ud55c(sticky\u00b7\uc798 \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294) \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \ubd84\uc7c1 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub358 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(\ubd81\ud574\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub3c4 \uc548\uc815\ub418\uba70 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 88\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub3fc, \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ub35c\uc5b4\uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc720\ub85c\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58)\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. CBOE \uc720\ub85c\ud1b5\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(EVZ\u00b7\uc720\ub85c \uad00\ub828 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b0\ucd9c\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 5.8 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ub834\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc73c\ub85c, \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc881\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\u2019\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud560 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud0a4\uc6b8 \ucd09\ub9e4(\uc815\ucc45\u00b7\uc9c0\ud45c\u00b7\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub4f1)\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\/\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4: \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305, \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00: \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28(\ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc720\ub7fd\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc544 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcf4\uc720\uac00 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uad6c\uc870)\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138(\uc720\ub85c \ub9e4\ub3c4) \uc131\uaca9\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \uac15\uc870\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub294 2025\ub144\uacfc\ub294 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc9c4\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ud575\uc2ec \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub418\ub358 1.1730 \uc218\uc900\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\uace0, \ub2f9\uc7a5\uc758 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 1.0850, \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 \uc5f0\uc911 \uc800\uc810\uc778 1.0600 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.\n

\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 – VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ECB \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \u20184\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \ub17c\uc758\u2019 \uc720\ucd9c\uc5d0 \uc720\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\u2026EUR\/USD 1.16%\u2191, 1.1440 \ubc18\ub4f1 \ud6c4 1.1580\ub300. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4 1%\u2193\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d, \ud575\uc2ec \uc800\ud56d\u00b7\uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41921","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41921","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41921"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41921\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41921"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41921"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41921"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}