{"id":41885,"date":"2026-03-19T22:44:35","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T22:44:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-4%ec%a3%bc%eb%ac%bc-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ec%9e%85%ec%b0%b0-%ec%88%98%ec%9d%b5%eb%a5%a0%ec%9d%b4-3-615%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%b4-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84%ec%9d%98-3-64%ec%97%90\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T22:44:35","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T22:44:35","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-4%ec%a3%bc%eb%ac%bc-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ec%9e%85%ec%b0%b0-%ec%88%98%ec%9d%b5%eb%a5%a0%ec%9d%b4-3-615%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%b4-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84%ec%9d%98-3-64%ec%97%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-4%ec%a3%bc%eb%ac%bc-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ec%9e%85%ec%b0%b0-%ec%88%98%ec%9d%b5%eb%a5%a0%ec%9d%b4-3-615%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%b4-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84%ec%9d%98-3-64%ec%97%90\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d 4\uc8fc\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uc785\ucc30 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 3.615%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574, \uc774\uc804\uc758 3.64%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\uc11c **\ub9cc\uae30 4\uc8fc(\uc57d 1\uac1c\uc6d4)\uc9dc\ub9ac \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \ub2e8\uae30\uad6d\ucc44(Treasury bill, T-bill)**\ub97c **\uc218\uc775\ub960(\ud22c\uc790\uc790\uac00 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc774\uc790 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc5f0\uc728\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uac12)** **3.615%**\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud589\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc804 4\uc8fc\ubb3c \uc785\ucc30 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 **3.64%**\uc600\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \uc785\ucc30 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 **0.025%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8** \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 \uc774\uc804 \uacb0\uacfc\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\uac04 \ub0ae\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ub2e8\uae30 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\ud558 \uc2e0\ud638<\/h3>\n\uc774\ubc88 4\uc8fc\ubb3c \uc218\uc775\ub960 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 **\uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc810\uc758 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve, \u2018\uc5f0\uc900\u2019: \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)** **\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uae08\ub9ac)** \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub354 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub97c **\uc548\uc804\ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \uc815\ubd80 \ubd80\ucc44(\ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uac19\uc740 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc804\ud55c \ucc44\uad8c)**\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uba74\uc11c **\uc218\uc775\ub960(\uac00\uaca9\uacfc \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc74c)**\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac04 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ucd5c\uc2e0 **CME FedWatch \ub3c4\uad6c(\uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ud655\ub960\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ud574 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\uc640\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc774\uc81c **6\uc6d4 FOMC \ud68c\uc758(\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \ud68c\uc758)**\uc5d0\uc11c **25bp \uc778\ud558(0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\ud558, bp\ub294 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ub2e8\uc704)** \ud655\ub960\uc744 **70%**\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba70, \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc **50%**\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4.\n\n\uc8fc\uc2dd **\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\u2014\uc608: \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u2014\uc758 \uac12\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc815\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488, \uc635\uc158 \ub4f1\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568)** \uc6b4\uc6a9 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba74 \ubcf4\ud1b5 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uce58 \ud3c9\uac00\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub418\ubbc0\ub85c **\uac15\uc138(\uc0c1\uc2b9) \uad00\uc810**\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. 2\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 **S&#038;P 500**\uacfc **\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100** \uac19\uc740 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c **\ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218(\uc624\ub97c \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)** \ub610\ub294 **\ud48b \ud06c\ub808\ub527 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc870\ud569\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub418 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)**\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 **\uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658(pivot: \uae34\ucd95\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\ud654\ub85c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc14\uafb8\ub294 \uac83)** \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \uc885\uc885 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc55e\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uace0, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc5c5\uc885\uc5d0\uc11c \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c **SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(Secured Overnight Financing Rate futures: \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc778 \ucd08\ub2e8\uae30 \ub2f4\ubcf4\uae08\ub9ac\uc778 SOFR\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uc120\ubb3c, \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488)**, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc5ec\ub984 \ub9cc\uae30 \uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c **\ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218**\uac00 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. **\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uace1\uc120\uc758 \uc55e\ucabd(front end: \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uc9e7\uc740 \uad6c\uac04, \uc608: 1~2\ub144 \uc774\ud558)**\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \uacbd\uae30\uc9c0\ud45c\ubcf4\ub2e4 **\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300**\uc5d0 \ub354 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubd84\uba85\ud558\ub2e4. **2\ub144\ubb3c\u201310\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28(\ub2e8\uae30\uc640 \uc7a5\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub85c, \uacbd\uae30\u00b7\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601)**\ub294 3\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub9cc **8bp(0.08%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8)** \ub354 \uac00\ud314\ub77c\uc84c\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778 **\uc644\ud654(easing: \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uc735 \uc5ec\uac74\uc744 \ub290\uc2a8\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \uac83)** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)**\ub3c4 \ub0ae\ucd9c \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, **VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4(VIX: S&#038;P 500\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)** \uac19\uc740 **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\uc1fc\ud2b8 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131: \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uac70\ub798)** \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc0f \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\ub610\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 **\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c(dovish: \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub4f1 \uc644\ud654\uc801 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5)**\uc77c\uc218\ub85d \ubcf4\ud1b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ub418\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ub2ec \uc774\ubbf8 **\uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc14\uc2a4\ucf13(\uc5ec\ub7ec \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \ubb36\uc5b4 \ube44\uad50\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)** \ub300\ube44 **1.2%** \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 **EUR\/USD(\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)** \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c **\ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218**\uac00 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uba70, \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \uc548\uc5d0 **1.0950** \uc704\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>4\uc8fc\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 3.615%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\u2014\uc5f0\uc900 \uc870\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \ubca0\ud305\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7SOFR \ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub85c EUR\/USD \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uae30\ud68c\uae4c\uc9c0. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41885","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41885","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41885"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41885\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41885"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41885"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41885"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}