{"id":41836,"date":"2026-03-19T17:43:37","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T17:43:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%9c-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ec%b6%a9%ea%b2%a9%ea%b3%bc-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T17:43:37","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T17:43:37","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%9c-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ec%b6%a9%ea%b2%a9%ea%b3%bc-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%9c-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ec%b6%a9%ea%b2%a9%ea%b3%bc-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9\uacfc \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc555\ubc15\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc740 \uae34\ucd95\uc5d0 \ub098\uc120\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc778\ud504\ub77c(\uc11d\uc720\u00b7\uac00\uc2a4 \uc2dc\uc124 \ub4f1)\ub85c \uc9c1\uc811 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(\ubd81\ud574\uc0b0 \uad6d\uc81c \uae30\uc900 \uc720\uc885)\uc640 \uc720\ub7fd \ucc9c\uc5f0\uac00\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9, \uc81c\uc57d\uc801(\uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uc2dd\ud788\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294)\uc778 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed), \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uc131\ud5a5(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc720\uc9c0\u00b7\uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub354 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5)\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\uba70 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0(\uc8fc\uc2dd, \uace0\uc704\ud5d8 \ucc44\uad8c \ub4f1)\uc5d0\ub294 \uc555\ubc15\uc774, \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC, Fed\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \ud68c\uc758)\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ub3d9\uacb0(\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \ub450\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \uc18c\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \uc2e0\ud638)\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. Fed funds futures(\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488)\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 12\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc608\uc0c1 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud3ed\uc744 2\uc6d4 27\uc77c \uc774\uc804 -60bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p)\uc5d0\uc11c -9bp\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdc4\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \uc804\ub9dd \ubcc0\ud654<\/h3>\n\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc18\ubcf5\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc0c8 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc608\uce21 \uae30\uac04 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uc2e4\uc9c8 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc81c\uac70\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\ub960)\uc744 \uc62c\ub838\uace0, \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubc0f \ucf54\uc5b4 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c 2026\ub144 2.7%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. (PCE\ub294 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc911\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc774\uba70 \ucf54\uc5b4\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc218\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.) \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2028\ub144\uc5d0 2.0%\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\ub2f7 \ud50c\ub86f(\uc704\uc6d0\ubcc4 \uc801\uc815 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ud55c \ub3c4\ud45c)\uc740 2026\ub144 1\ud68c, 2027\ub144 1\ud68c \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uace0 2028\ub144 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc7a5\uae30 \uc911\ub9bd\uae08\ub9ac \ucd94\uc815\uce58(\uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uacfc\uc5f4\u00b7\uce68\uccb4\uc2dc\ud0a4\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 12\uc6d4 3.0%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.125%\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\uc81c\uc774 \ud30c\uc6d4\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc801\uc808\ud558\uba70 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \uc81c\uc57d\uc801\uc778 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc870\uce58\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ub17c\uc758\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY, \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc791\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc774\ub098 \uc720\ub85c \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc778\ud504\ub77c\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 115\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\uace0, 2025\ub144 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\uc600\ub358 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc801 \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \ub300\ube44\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \uad00\ub828 ETF\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548 \ucd94\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub178\ucd9c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. S&#038;P 500\uc740 \uc5b4\uc81c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc774\ubbf8 4% \ub118\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc774\uc775\uc5d0 \uacc4\uc18d \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc904 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. SPY\ub098 QQQ \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218 ETF\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \ud30c\uc6d4 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub4f1) \ubb38\ud131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5b8\uae09\ub41c \ub9cc\ud07c \ucc44\uad8c\uae08\ub9ac(\uc218\uc775\ub960)\ub294 \uc624\ub974\uae30 \uc27d\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ucc44\uad8c \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub73b\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc7a5\uae30\ucc44(\ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uae34 \ucc44\uad8c) \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub3c4 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uba70, TLT \uac19\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30\ucc44 ETF \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc774 \ud55c \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uae09\uc99d\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\ub3c4 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4. VIX \uc9c0\uc218(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubd88\uc548 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc\uc5d0\ub9cc \uac70\uc758 20% \ub6f0\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc774\ub7f0 \ubd88\uc548 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \uc9c1\uc811 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc124\ub85c \ubc88\uc9c0\uba70 \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uac00\uc2a4 \uae09\ub4f1! \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ub3d9\uacb0\u2019\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ucd95\uc18c, \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc555\ubc15\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ud655\ub300\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc804\ub9dd. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41836","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41836","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41836"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41836\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41836"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41836"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41836"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}