{"id":41789,"date":"2026-03-19T10:44:22","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T10:44:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/fed-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%a5%bc-%eb%b3%b4%ec%9d%b4%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%98-%ea%b4%80\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T10:44:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T10:44:22","slug":"fed-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%a5%bc-%eb%b3%b4%ec%9d%b4%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%98-%ea%b4%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/fed-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95%ec%84%b8%eb%a5%bc-%eb%b3%b4%ec%9d%b4%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%98-%ea%b4%80\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 ECB\uc640 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE) \uacb0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac04\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uac04\ub300\uc5d0 \uc624\ub978 \ub4a4, \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba70 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc7a1\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4(\ud6a1\ubcf4, **\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud070 \ucd94\uc138 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc**). \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(SNB), \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE), \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 **\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ubc1c\ud45c)**\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub838\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc77c\uc815\uc5d0\ub294 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218(**\uc2e4\uc5c5\uae09\uc5ec\ub97c \ucc98\uc74c \uc2e0\uccad\ud55c \uc0ac\ub78c \uc218\ub85c, \uace0\uc6a9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c**)\uc640 1\uc6d4 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4(**\uc0c8\ub85c \uc9c0\uc740 \uc9d1 \ud310\ub9e4 \uac74\uc218**)\uac00 \ud3ec\ud568\ub410\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed, **\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589**)\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac(**\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac**)\ub97c 3.5%~3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. SEP(**\uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc694\uc57d: \uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubaa8\uc544 \uacf5\uac1c\ud558\ub294 \uc790\ub8cc**)\ub294 2026\ub144\uacfc 2027\ub144\uc5d0 \uac01\uac01 25bp \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. bp(**\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8: 0.01%p**) \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \u201c25bp\u201d\ub294 0.25%p\ub97c \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8 \uc704\uc6d0\uc774 7\uba85, \ub0b4\ub144\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c \uc704\uc6d0\uc774 1\uba85\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n2026\ub144 \ub9d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(**\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00: \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uac8c \ubcf4\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c**) \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 12\uc6d4\uc758 2.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.7%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE(**\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c PCE**)\ub3c4 2.7%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub410\ub2e4. \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uba48\ucd94\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(USD Index, **\uc5ec\ub7ec \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218**)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc57d 0.7% \uc62c\ub790\uace0, \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc774\ub978 \uc2dc\uac04\uc5d0\ub3c4 100.00 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ, **\uc77c\ubcf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589**)\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac(**\ub2e8\uae30 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac**)\ub97c 0.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud55c \uc704\uc6d0\uc740 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4. USD\/JPY(**\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \ud658\uc728**)\ub294 160.00\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\ub2e4\uac00 \uc57d 159.50\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 2\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 4\ub9cc 8,900\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(2\ub9cc 300\uba85)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.1%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.3%\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. AUD\/USD(**\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728**)\ub294 0.7050 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 5.2%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\uace0 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 4.1%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud588\uc73c\uba70, GBP\/USD(**\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728**)\ub294 1.3300 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 BoE\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.75%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4.\n\nEUR\/USD(**\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728**)\ub294 \uc57d 0.8% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ub4a4\uc5d0\ub3c4 1.1450 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uae08(Gold)\uc740 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0 4,800\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc11\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4. WTI(**\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720: \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud45c \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\ud45c**)\ub294 \uc9c1\uc804 \uc57d 4% \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud6c4, \uc57d 3.5% \ub0b4\ub824 95.50\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc9c1\uc811 \ub204\ub974\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uae08\uc740 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uac00\uaca9\ub300(**\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc758\uc2dd\ud558\ub294 \uc22b\uc790 \uad6c\uac04**)\ub97c \uae68\uace0 \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc774\uc790\ub098 \ubc30\ub2f9\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0(\uc608: \uae08)\uc744 \ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \ub54c\uc758 \uc190\ud574(\uae30\ud68c\ube44\uc6a9, **\ub2e4\ub978 \ud22c\uc790\ub85c \uc5bb\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc5c8\ub358 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ud3ec\uae30\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9**)\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6cc \uae08\uac12\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uc6d0\uc720\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b0\uba74\uc11c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uae34\uc7a5\uac10\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\uc2b9, \uc774\uc81c \uc2dc\uc791?\u201d Fed\uc758 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c DXY \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d. BoE\u00b7ECB\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0, EUR\u00b7GBP \uc57d\uc138. \u65e5\uac1c\uc785 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc18d USD\/JPY \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ud544\uc694. \uae08 \uc57d\uc138, \uc720\uac00\ub294 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc804\ub7b5. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41789","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41789","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41789"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41789\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41789"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41789"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41789"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}