{"id":41735,"date":"2026-03-19T05:43:57","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T05:43:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/mufg-%ec%95%a0%eb%84%90%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81%ea%b3%bc-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84%eb%a1%9c-2026%eb%85%84-usd\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T05:43:57","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T05:43:57","slug":"mufg-%ec%95%a0%eb%84%90%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81%ea%b3%bc-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84%eb%a1%9c-2026%eb%85%84-usd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/mufg-%ec%95%a0%eb%84%90%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81%ea%b3%bc-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84%eb%a1%9c-2026%eb%85%84-usd\/","title":{"rendered":"MUFG \uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8, \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1\uacfc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubd09\uc1c4\ub85c 2026\ub144 USD\/VND\uac00 27,000\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0"},"content":{"rendered":"MUFG\ub294 \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub418\uace0 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \ud3d0\uc1c4\ub418\uba74 2026\ub144\uc5d0 USD\/VND(\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubca0\ud2b8\ub0a8 \ub3d9 \ud658\uc728)\uac00 27,000\uc744 \ub118\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. MUFG\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc804\ub9dd(\uac00\uc7a5 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub294 \uae30\uc900 \uc804\ub9dd)\uc740 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 26,300, 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4 26,600\uc774\ub2e4.\n\nUSD\/VND\uac00 27,000\uc744 \ub118\ub294 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(\uad6d\uc81c \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uae30\uc900)\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 \uc57d 100\ub2ec\ub7ec(US$100\/bbl, bbl\uc740 \ubc30\ub7f4 \ub2e8\uc704) \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uac00\uc815\uc744 \ub454\ub2e4. \uae30\ubcf8 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc644\ud654(\uac08\ub4f1\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uac83)\ub418\uace0, \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\uba74\uc11c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc810\ucc28 \ub0b4\ub824\uac04\ub2e4\ub294 \uac00\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n

Upside Scenario For Usd Vnd<\/h3>\n\ud558\ub77d(\ub2e4\uc6b4\uc0ac\uc774\ub4dc) \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, MUFG\uac00 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 120\ub2ec\ub7ec(US$120\/bbl)\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubd80\uc871(\uc804\uae30\u00b7\uc5f0\ub8cc \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uc6d0\ud65c\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uc0c1\ud669)\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uba74 USD\/VND\uac00 27,700 \ub610\ub294 \uadf8 \uc774\uc0c1\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9(\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1 \uac19\uc740 \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ucda9\uaca9)\uacfc \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc704\ud5d8(\uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669)\uacfc \uc5f0\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\nMUFG\ub294 \ubca0\ud2b8\ub0a8\uc774 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544(\uc77c\ubcf8 \uc81c\uc678) \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\ub3c4\uc640 \ud544\ub9ac\ud540\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \uc791\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubd80\uc871\uc740 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ud65c\ub3d9 \uc57d\ud654(\uacf5\uc7a5 \uac00\ub3d9 \ubc0f \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uac10\uc18c)\uc640 \uc138\uacc4 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654(\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654)\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ubca0\ud2b8\ub0a8\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c\uc774 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 105\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c, USD\/VND \uae30\ubcf8 \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\ubb3c\ud658\uc728(\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc989\uc2dc \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \ud658\uc728)\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc 26,500\uc120\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4, \uc774\ub2ec \ub9d0 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc778 26,300\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub97c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\uac00 \ud604\uc2e4\uc801\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548\uc740 USD\/VND \uc0c1\uc2b9(\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\ub3d9 \uc57d\uc138)\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300(\ud658\uc728\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 2\ubd84\uae30\ub97c \ub9cc\uae30\ub85c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac70\ub798 \uac00\uaca9)\uac00 27,000 \ubd80\uadfc\uc778 USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub610\ub294 VND \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ub3d9\uc744 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c NDF(\uc5ed\uc678 \ucc28\uc561\uacb0\uc81c \uc120\ub3c4: \uc2e4\uc81c \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \uc8fc\uace0\ubc1b\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0, \ub9cc\uae30\uc5d0 \ud658\uc728 \ucc28\uc774\ub9cc \ud604\uae08\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ub3c4 \uacc4\uc57d)\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ub3d9\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ub354 \uc9c4\ud589\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac00\uc815 \uc544\ub798, \uc9c0\uae08 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uc728\uc744 \uace0\uc815(\ud604\uc7ac \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc7a0\uac00 \ub450\ub294 \uac83)\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n

Strategy And Tail Risk Monitoring<\/h3>\n\uc774 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 2022\ub144 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \uc2dc\uc791\ub418\uba70 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc744 \ub54c\uc758 \uc555\ubc15\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c \ub290\uaef4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \ubca0\ud2b8\ub0a8\uc758 2\uc6d4 \uc218\uc785 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 15% \uc99d\uac00(\uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \uc99d\uac00\uc728)\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\uace0, \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uc804\uccb4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\ub3c4 4.8%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\ub2e4. \ubca0\ud2b8\ub0a8\uc740 \uc8fc\ubcc0\uad6d\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubc84\ud2f8 \ud798\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ub7f0 \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \uac00\uce58\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8(\ud14c\uc77c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c: \ubc1c\uc0dd \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ub0ae\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uba74 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ud070 \uc704\ud5d8)\uc740 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uc644\uc804 \ubd09\uc1c4\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc720\uac00\ub97c \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 120\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\uc5b4 \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacbd\uc6b0 USD\/VND\uac00 27,700 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\ubbc0\ub85c, \uc774\ub7f0 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud574 \ubcfc \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc911\ub3d9 \uac08\ub4f1 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\uc640 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubd09\uc1c4\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74 MUFG\ub294 2026\ub144 USD\/VND\uac00 27,000 \ub3cc\ud30c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uacbd\uace0. \uae30\ubcf8 26,300~26,600, \uc720\uac00 100~120\ub2ec\ub7ec\uba74 27,700\uae4c\uc9c0. \uc635\uc158\u00b7NDF \ub300\uc751 \uc81c\uc548. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41735","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41735","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41735"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41735\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41735"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41735"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41735"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}