{"id":41697,"date":"2026-03-19T00:44:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T00:44:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ea%b3%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1%ec%97%90-%eb%8c%80\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T00:44:33","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T00:44:33","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ea%b3%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1%ec%97%90-%eb%8c%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98%ea%b3%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1%ec%97%90-%eb%8c%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uc720\uac00 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uacbd\uace0\ud55c \ub4a4, \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc7a5 \ud6c4\ubc18 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(US Dollar Index, DXY: \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uac15\ud55c\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve, Fed: \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uace0 \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4(Jerome Powell) \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \uc9c4\uc815(\ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158: \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \uac83) \uc9c4\uc804\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. DXY\ub294 \uc55e\uc11c \uac70\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uacfc \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac \uc774\ud6c4 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC: Fed\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc704\uc6d0\ud68c)\ub294 11\ub300 1\ub85c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uc778 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(federal funds rate: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \ud558\ub8fb\ubc24 \uc790\uae08\uc744 \ube4c\ub9ac\uace0 \ube4c\ub824\uc904 \ub54c \uc801\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uae30\ub85c \ud588\uace0, \uc2a4\ud2f0\ube10 \ubbf8\ub780(Stephen Miran) \uc704\uc6d0\uc740 25bp \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, bp: \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8). \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc694\uc57d(SEP: Fed\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd)\uc5d0\uc11c 2026\ub144 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 12\uc6d4\uc758 2.5%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.7%\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4(PCE: \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, Fed\uac00 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uac8c \ubcf4\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c). \uc774\ub294 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778(headline: \uc804\uccb4 \ud56d\ubaa9)\uacfc \ucf54\uc5b4(core: \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uadfc\uc6d0) \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 2026\ub144 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960(GDP: \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0, \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc758 \uc804\uccb4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\/\uc18c\ub4dd \uaddc\ubaa8) \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ub294 2.4%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \uc2e0\ud638\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n\uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot: FOMC \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc774 \uc0dd\uac01\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc801\uc815 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ud55c \ud45c) \uc911\uac04\uac12\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 1\ud68c \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uac00\ub9ac\ud0b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc704\uc6d0\uc740 7\uba85\uc73c\ub85c, 12\uc6d4\uc758 6\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ub298\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc7a5\uae30 \uc911\ub9bd\uae08\ub9ac(longer-run neutral rate: \uacbd\uae30 \uacfc\uc5f4\uc774\ub098 \uce68\uccb4\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub418\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30 \uade0\ud615 \uae08\ub9ac) \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ub294 3.0%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.1%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uad00\uc138(tariff: \uc218\uc785\ud488\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uae30\ub294 \uc138\uae08)\uc640 \uc5f0\uad00\ub41c \uc0c1\ud488 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub354 \ube60\ub978 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c4\uc815\uc758 \uac78\ub9bc\ub3cc\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc774\ub780 \uac08\ub4f1\uacfc \uc5f0\uacb0\ub41c \uc720\uac00 \uc601\ud5a5\uc758 \ubc94\uc704\uc640 \uc9c0\uc18d \uae30\uac04\uc740 \uc544\uc9c1 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\uae30 \uc774\ub974\uba70, \uad00\uc138 \uad00\ub828 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uc744 \ubb34\uc2dc\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n15\ubd84 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c DXY\ub294 100.13\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, 200\uae30\uac04 EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120: \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub450\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120)\uc778 99.70 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(support: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub2e4 \ubc84\ud2f8 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad6c\uac04)\uc740 100.00, 99.80, 99.70\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uace0, \uc800\ud56d\uc120(resistance: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub2e4 \ub9c9\ud790 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad6c\uac04)\uc740 100.20, \ucd94\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 100.40 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\uc81c Fed\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud55c \ub2e8 1\uba85\uc758 \ubc18\ub300\ud45c\ub294 \uc810\uc810 \ub354 \uace0\ub9bd\ub3fc \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(interest rate derivatives: \uae08\ub9ac \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c0\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4ed\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uba87 \uc8fc \uc804 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub358 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \u201c\uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub354 \uc801\uc744\u201d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub41c \uc120\ubb3c(futures: \ubbf8\ub798\uc758 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ud558\uae30\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uac70\ub098, \uc5ec\ub984\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158(options: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4\/\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218 \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ubc88 Fed\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish: \ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5) \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc0ac\ub294 \ubb3c\uac74\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.4%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc654\uace0, 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uc600\ub358 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c4\uc804\uc774 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc218\uce58\ub294 Fed\uac00 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc62c\ub9ac\uace0 \uc815\ucc45 \ud1a4\uc744 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uac8c \uc7a1\uc740 \uc774\uc720\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ube61\ube61\ud558\uba70(tight: \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub9ce\uace0 \uad6c\uc9c1\uc790 \ub300\ube44 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \ubd80\uc871\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc), \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c 25\ub9cc \uba85\uc774 \ub118\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00(payrolls: \uae09\uc5ec\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218)\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098 Fed\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ub354 \uc790\uadf9\ud560 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \uc904\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc774\ub780 \uac08\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(Brent crude: \uc138\uacc4 \uc720\uac00\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uae30\uc900\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \uc6d0\uc720) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec, Fed\uac00 \ub354\ub294 \u201c\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\uadf8\ub9ac\uace0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>. <\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0+\ud30c\uc6d4 \u201c\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc9c4\uc804 \ub454\ud654\u201d \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\uac00 100\uc120 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba70 \uae09\ub4f1. \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 1\ud68c \uc778\ud558 \uc720\uc9c0, 2026 \ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uc911\ub9bd\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41697","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41697","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41697"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41697\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41697"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41697"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41697"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}