{"id":41694,"date":"2026-03-19T00:43:48","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T00:43:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ea%b3%bc-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%a0%9c%ed%95%9c%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d\/"},"modified":"2026-03-19T00:43:48","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T00:43:48","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ea%b3%bc-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%a0%9c%ed%95%9c%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0%ea%b3%bc-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%a0%9c%ed%95%9c%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\uacfc 2026\ub144 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd \uc18d\uc5d0, \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc GDP\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc9d1\uc911\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 NZD\/USD\ub294 0.71% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 0.5814\ub97c \uae30\ub85d"},"content":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 **\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0**\ud55c \ub4a4 0.5840 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00 0.5814 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, 0.71% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. Fed\ub294 **2026\ub144\uc5d0 1\ubc88**, **2027\ub144\uc5d0 1\ubc88** \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uace0, \uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 **\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD)** \ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. *(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558=\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \uac83)*\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY, **\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc5b4\ub290 \uc815\ub3c4\uc778\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218**)\ub294 \uc62c\ub77c 100\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d 2\uc6d4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(PPI, **\uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ubb3c\uac74\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \ud314 \ub54c \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c**)\ub294 3.9%\ub85c, 3.5%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub3c4 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Fed Outlook And New Zealand Data<\/h3>\nFed\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd \uc694\uc57d(SEP, **Fed\uac00 \uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc815\ub9ac\ud574 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uc790\ub8cc**)\uc740 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 2.7%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub294\ub370, 12\uc6d4\uc758 2.4%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. *(PCE \ubb3c\uac00=**\uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc774 \uc18c\ube44\ud55c \ubb3c\uac74\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 Fed\uac00 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uac8c \ubcf4\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c**)* \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc 4\ubd84\uae30 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0, **\ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4 \ub0b8 \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\ud569**)\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc774\ub978 \uc2dc\uac04\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc774\uba70, \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 \uc804 \ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44(QoQ, **\uc9c1\uc804 \ubd84\uae30\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uc728**) 0.4%(\uc774\uc804 1.1%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654), \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44(YoY, **1\ub144 \uc804 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uc728**) 1.7%(\uc774\uc804 1.3%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9)\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uaca9\uc740 0.5840 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0 20\uae30\uac04\u00b7100\uae30\uac04 SMA \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. *(SMA=\ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120, **\uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uac83**)* 20\uae30\uac04 SMA\ub294 0.5835 \uadfc\ucc98, 100\uae30\uac04 SMA\ub294 0.5911 \uadfc\ucc98\uc600\uace0, RSI\ub294 45\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. *(RSI=\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218, **\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uacfc\uc5f4(\uacfc\ub9e4\uc218) \ub610\ub294 \uce68\uccb4(\uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4)\uc778\uc9c0 \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c**)*\n\n\uc800\ud56d\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c\uac08 \ub54c \ub9c9\ud788\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc740 0.5856\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\uace0, \uadf8\ub2e4\uc74c \uad6c\uac04\uc740 0.5910 \uadfc\ucc98\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \ub54c \ubc84\ud2f0\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc740 0.5832\uc640 0.5813\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nWe remember looking at this situation back in March 2025, when the Federal Reserve\u2019s hawkish stance pushed NZD\/USD down toward the 0.58 level. The concern then was persistent US inflation, with the Producer Price Index surprising to the upside. That period of dollar strength set the tone for much of last year.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud754\ub4e4\ub9bc, \uc9c0\uae08\uc774 \uae30\ud68c? Fed \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7PPI \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc62c\ub77c NZD\/USD \ud558\ub77d. NZ GDP \ub300\uae30 \uc18d \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc57d\uc138. \ubc18\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc635\uc158\u00b7\ub871 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41694","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41694","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41694"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41694\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41694"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41694"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41694"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}