{"id":41680,"date":"2026-03-18T22:44:20","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T22:44:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T22:44:20","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T22:44:20","slug":"%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%98-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6c4\ud1f4\ud558\uba74\uc11c EUR\/USD\uac00 1.1500\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc77c\uc911 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc11c\uba74\uc11c, 18:00 GMT(\uadf8\ub9ac\ub2c8\uce58 \ud45c\uc900\uc2dc)\uc5d0 \ub098\uc624\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uacb0\uc815 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 \uc720\ub7fd \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uac04\uc5d0 1.1500 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uc7a0\uc2dc \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4\uac00, \uc774\ud6c4 1.1518 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc55e\uc11c \uc774\ub780 \uc0ac\uc6b0\uc2a4\ud30c\ub974\uc2a4(South Pars) \uac00\uc2a4\uc804(\ub300\ud615 \ucc9c\uc5f0\uac00\uc2a4 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc9c0\uc5ed) \uacf5\uaca9 \ubcf4\ub3c4\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba70 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc758 \uc774\ub780 \uad00\ub828 \uac08\ub4f1 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6e0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825)\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\uc774 \ub298\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n<h3>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uae09\ub4f1<\/h3>\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(PPI, \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ud314 \ub54c \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc804\uccb4 PPI(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc218\uce58)\ub294 2\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44(MoM) 0.7% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 1\uc6d4\uc758 0.5%\uc640 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1 0.3%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44(YoY)\ub85c\ub294 2.9%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.4%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PPI(core PPI, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ub4f1\uc744 \ube80 \uc218\uce58)\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.5%, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.9% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960(\ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac)\uc774 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc62c\ub790\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(Dollar Index, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44\ub85c \ubb36\uc5b4 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 99.77 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \ub2f9\uc77c 0.22% \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 HICP(\uc870\ud654 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc758 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.8%, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.4%\uc600\uace0, \uc804\uccb4 HICP\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.6%, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 1.9%\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc804\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uc18c \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc9c0\uae08\uc740 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 0.01%p) \uc778\ud558 1\ud68c\uc870\ucc28 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ud30c\uc6d4(Powell, \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5)\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uacfc \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot, \uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc774 \uc0dd\uac01\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ud55c \ud45c)\uc5d0 \uc3e0\ub824 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131<\/h3>\n\uc774\ubc88\ucc98\ub7fc \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc77c \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ud558\uae30\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc5b4\ub835\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch Tool(CME\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \ub3c4\uad6c, \uc120\ubb3c\uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\u00b7\ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0)\uc740 6\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc774\ub904\uc9c8 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec 50% \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub298 \uc544\uce68 \uae30\uc900 15% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub354 \uc57d\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654\ub4e4\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub824\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\nEUR\/USD\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB, \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 3.4%\ub85c \ube68\ub77c\uc9c0\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 \uc804\uccb4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00(\ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00, \ubaa8\ub4e0 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00)\ub294 1.9%\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 ECB\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\uac00 \ub354 \ub9ce\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\uba70, EUR\/USD\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uadfc\uac70\uac00 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\uc774\ub780 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc124\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacf5\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(Brent crude, \uad6d\uc81c \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uae30\uc900) \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub118\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubd88\uc548\uc744 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc790\uadf9\ud558\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2022\ub144 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9 \ub54c\ucc98\ub7fc, \uc774\ub7f0 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub610\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc720\uc9c0)\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc810\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, EUR\/USD\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option, \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\ub294 \uc624\ub298 \ub2a6\uac8c \ub098\uc62c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uc774\uba70, 2026\ub144 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 0\ud68c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc774 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uc600\ub358 1.1350 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(support level, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub354 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \u2018\ubc84\ud2f0\ub294\u2019 \uad6c\uac04)\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc5f0\uc900 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uc790 EUR\/USD \ubc18\ub4f1! \uc774\ub780 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uaca9\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uacfc \ubbf8 PPI \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\ub85c \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \uae09\ub77d, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uc18d \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41680","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41680","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41680"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41680\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41680"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41680"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41680"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}