{"id":41671,"date":"2026-03-18T21:43:57","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T21:43:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-ppi-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%9e%ac%ed%8f%89%ea%b0%80gbp-usd-0-21-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%b4-1-332\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T21:43:57","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T21:43:57","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-ppi-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%9e%ac%ed%8f%89%ea%b0%80gbp-usd-0-21-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%b4-1-332","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-ppi-%ea%b8%89%eb%93%b1%ec%97%90-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ec%9e%ac%ed%8f%89%ea%b0%80gbp-usd-0-21-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%b4-1-332\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d PPI \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5, \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\u2026GBP\/USD 0.21% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 1.3320\uc120 \ub4f1\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d **\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00**(PPI) \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c8 \ub4a4 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 0.21% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 1.3320\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. **\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218**(US Dollar Index\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 0.20% \uc624\ub978 99.76\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d **\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218**(PPI\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ubb3c\uac74\uc744 \ud314 \ub54c \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 2\uc6d4 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc640 1\uc6d4(2.9%)\uc744 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. **\uadfc\uc6d0 PPI**(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.9%\ub85c, 1\uc6d4\uc758 3.5%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n

Market Drivers And Risk Backdrop<\/h3>\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uac00\uc2a4 \uc2dc\uc124\uc744 \uacf5\uaca9\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub3c4 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \uc54c\uc790\uc9c0\ub77c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc740 \uc801\uc758 \uc778\ud504\ub77c\ub97c \ud0c0\uaca9\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d **\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4**(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \ud568\uaed8 \uacf5\uac1c\ub418\ub294 **\uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd**(\uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd)\ub3c4 \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 **\uc810\ub3c4\ud45c**(dot plot\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc774 \uc0dd\uac01\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ud55c \ud45c)\uc640 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc5d0 \uc3e0\ub9b0\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ud6c4 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc601\uad6d **\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589**(BoE\u00b7\uc601\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uacb0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 **\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac**(Bank Rate\u00b7\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uccab \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 2027\ub144 3\uc6d4\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ucc28\ud2b8\uc0c1 **\uc800\ud56d\uc120**(\uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \ub9c9\ud790 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc740 1.3355~1.3360, \uc774\ud6c4 1.3450\uacfc 1.3530\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. **\uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120**(\ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \ubc84\ud2f8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc740 1.3300, 1.3220, 1.3100\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n

Trade Setup And Positioning<\/h3>\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub354 **\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801**(hawkish\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \ub192\uc774\uac70\ub098 \uc624\ub798 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5) \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0bc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. PPI 3.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc55e\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 2\uc6d4 **\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218**(CPI\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \uc18c\ube44\uc7ac\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9)\uc5d0\uc11c **\uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00**\uac00 3.3%\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud588\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n**CME FedWatch Tool**(\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc120\ubb3c\uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud574 \ud655\ub960\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 6\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc740 40% \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec\ub9cc \ud574\ub3c4 70% \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub410\ub358 \uc810\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc14\ub010 \uc148\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 100.00\uc120\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.\n\n\uc911\ub3d9\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uc790\uae08\uc744 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ubab0\ub9ac\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc704\uae30 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 **\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ud1b5\ud654**(\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud074 \ub54c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654)\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. **VIX**(CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7S&P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc 14.5\uc5d0\uc11c 17.2\ub85c \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ucd94\uac00 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 **\ud5e4\uc9c0**(hedge\u00b7\uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uac70\ub798)\ub97c \ub298\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc218 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \ub4e4\uace0 \uac00\ub294 \ucabd\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \uacbd\ub85c\uc640 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc815\uc801\uc778 \uad00\uc810 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uac70\ub798 \uc8fc\uc81c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 3.75%\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\uba74 **\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28**(\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774)\uac00 \ub354 \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c GBP\/USD **\uc120\ubb3c**(futures\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \ubbf8\ub798 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uac70\ub098 **\ud48b\uc635\uc158**(put option\u00b7\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 GBP\/USD \uc635\uc158\uc758 **\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131**(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300)\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 1.3300 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc544\ub798\ub97c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4. **\ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc**(put spread\u00b7\ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub85c 1.3250 \ud48b\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0 1.3150 \ud48b\uc744 \ud30c\ub294 \ub300\uc548\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n1.3510 \ubd80\uadfc **\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120**(moving average\u00b7\uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uac00\uaca9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \uc544\ub798\ub85c\uc758 \uc57d\uc138 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138 \uad00\uc810\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4. 1.3300\uc744 \uc9c0\ud0a4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uba74 1.3220 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04 \uc2dc\ud5d8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4. 1.3360 \uc800\ud56d \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \uc20f(\ub9e4\ub3c4) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub298\ub9ac\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n

\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 – VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 PPI \uc1fc\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026GBP\/USD 1.3320\uc73c\ub85c 0.21% \ud558\ub77d. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\u00b7\ud30c\uc6d4 \ubc1c\uc5b8, BoE \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc18d \uae08\ub9ac\uaca9\ucc28\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41671","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41671","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41671"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41671\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41671"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41671"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41671"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}