{"id":41599,"date":"2026-03-18T12:47:20","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T12:47:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%bd%94%eb%a9%94%eb%a5%b4%ec%b8%a0%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac%ec%9d%98-%ed%94%bc%ec%8a%a4%ed%84%b0%eb%8a%94-eur-usd-%ec%98%b5%ec%85%98%ec%9d%b4-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%9c-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T12:47:20","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T12:47:20","slug":"%ec%bd%94%eb%a9%94%eb%a5%b4%ec%b8%a0%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac%ec%9d%98-%ed%94%bc%ec%8a%a4%ed%84%b0%eb%8a%94-eur-usd-%ec%98%b5%ec%85%98%ec%9d%b4-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%9c-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%bd%94%eb%a9%94%eb%a5%b4%ec%b8%a0%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac%ec%9d%98-%ed%94%bc%ec%8a%a4%ed%84%b0%eb%8a%94-eur-usd-%ec%98%b5%ec%85%98%ec%9d%b4-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%9c-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\ucf54\uba54\ub974\uce20\ubc29\ud06c\uc758 \ud53c\uc2a4\ud130\ub294 EUR\/USD \uc635\uc158\uc774 \uc774\uc81c \uc804\uc7c1 \uc774\uc804\uc758 \ud328\ud134\uc744 \ub2ee\uc544\uac00\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub9ac\ubc84\uc124 \uc5ed\ud559\uc774 \uc7ac\uc124\uc815\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\ucf54\uba54\ub974\uce20\ubc29\ud06c(Commerzbank)\uc758 \ub9c8\uc774\ud074 \ud53c\uc2a4\ud130(Michael Pfister)\ub294 EUR\/USD(\uc720\ub85c\/\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec) **\uc635\uc158(\ubbf8\ub798\uc5d0 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac\/\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac)**\uc744 \uc810\uac80\ud558\uba70, **\ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed\u2019 \uae30\ub300\uce58)**\uacfc **\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub9ac\ubc84\uc124(\ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ucc28\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc120\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)** \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uc5f0\uacb0\uc774 \u201cLiberation Day\u201d \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uc774\ub358 \ud328\ud134 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub3cc\uc544\uc654\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 4\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 EUR\/USD\ub9cc\uc758 \ud604\uc0c1\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2e4\ub978 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uadf8 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc624\ub798\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uadf8\ub294 \uc774\uc804 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 **\ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131**\uc774 \uc624\ub97c \ub54c **\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc218\uc694(\ubcf4\ud5d8\/\ubc29\uc5b4 \ubaa9\uc801\uc758 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694)**\uac00 \ud568\uaed8 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 EUR-USD **\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub9ac\ubc84\uc124**\uc774 \ub354 **\uc74c\uc218**\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ud615\ud0dc\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Implied Volatility And Risk Reversals<\/h3>\n\uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \uc774\ud6c4, \uadf8\ub294 \uc774 EUR\/USD \uad00\uacc4\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc774\ub97c **\uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138(\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc720\ub85c\uac00 \ub0b4\ub824\uac10)**\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\ub4e4 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\uba70, \uc774\ub7f0 \uc694\uc778\ub4e4\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 **\ud5e4\uc9c0(\uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uac70\ub798)** \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ub298\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c \uadf8\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 **\uc548\uc804\ud1b5\ud654 \uc131\uaca9(\ubd88\uc548\ud560 \ub54c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ubab0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5)**\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294, \uc624\ub7ab\ub3d9\uc548 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uade0\ud615 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uadf8 \ud589\ub3d9\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\ub824\uba74 \ubcf4\ud1b5 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \ub54c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uc775\uc219\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uac00\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uc774\ud6c4, EUR\/USD\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \ub192\uc740 **\ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131**\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud55c \ubc88 **\uc720\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694** \uc99d\uac00\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144\uc5d0 \uc7a0\uc2dc \uae68\uc84c\ub358 \uc624\ub798\ub41c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub294 **\uae30\ucd08 \uc5ec\uac74(\uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc0c1\ud0dc)**\ub3c4 \ucda9\ubd84\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ub2ec \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ub3c5\uc77c **IFO \uae30\uc5c5\uacbd\uae30\uc9c0\uc218(\uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc758 \ud604\uc7ac\/\uc804\ub9dd \uccb4\uac10 \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac 89.5\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \ub354 \ub113\uac8c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 0.1%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub5a8\uc5b4\ub728\ub9b0\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Options Market Implications<\/h3>\n\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub825\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \ubcf4\uc5ec \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d **\ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, \ubb3c\uac74\uac12\uc774 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub974\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)** \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 3.3%\ub85c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 **\uc5f0\uc900(Federal Reserve, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)**\uc758 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)** \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ucf1c \ubbf8\uad6d **\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc775\ub960(\ucc44\uad8c \ub4f1\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ub300\ub418\ub294 \uc774\uc790 \uc218\uc900)**\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uacbd\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc744 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7f0 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \ubd84\uba85\ud558\ub2e4. EUR\/USD **1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub9ac\ubc84\uc124**\uc740 \ub354 \uae4a\uc740 \uc74c\uc218 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud574 \ucd5c\uadfc -0.60\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 **\ud48b(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac)**\uc774 **\ucf5c(\uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac)**\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ube44\uc2f8\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 2025\ub144 4\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ucd08\uae30 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \ub4a4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uac19\uc740 \uad00\uacc4\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc744 \ubd24\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ubcf5\uadc0\u201d \uc2e0\ud638: EUR\/USD\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub9ac\ubc84\uc124 \uad00\uacc4\uac00 \u2018\ud574\ubc29\uc758 \ub0a0\u2019 \uc774\uc804 \ud328\ud134\uc73c\ub85c \ud68c\uadc0. \uc774\ub780 \uac08\ub4f1 \ud6c4 \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694\u2191, 1\uac1c\uc6d4 RR -0.60. \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ub454\ud654\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uacac\uc870\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41599","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41599","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41599"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41599\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41599"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41599"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41599"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}