{"id":41590,"date":"2026-03-18T12:43:54","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T12:43:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8c%84%ec%8a%a4%ec%bc%80%eb%8a%94-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ec%88%98%ec%9d%b5%eb%a5%a0-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-eur-usd%ea%b0%80-1-15%eb%a5%bc-%eb%8b%a4%ec%8b%9c-%ed%9a%8c%eb%b3%b5\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T12:43:54","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T12:43:54","slug":"%eb%8c%84%ec%8a%a4%ec%bc%80%eb%8a%94-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ec%88%98%ec%9d%b5%eb%a5%a0-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-eur-usd%ea%b0%80-1-15%eb%a5%bc-%eb%8b%a4%ec%8b%9c-%ed%9a%8c%eb%b3%b5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8c%84%ec%8a%a4%ec%bc%80%eb%8a%94-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ec%88%98%ec%9d%b5%eb%a5%a0-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-eur-usd%ea%b0%80-1-15%eb%a5%bc-%eb%8b%a4%ec%8b%9c-%ed%9a%8c%eb%b3%b5\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub304\uc2a4\ucf00\ub294 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c EUR\/USD\uac00 1.15\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud68c\ubcf5\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc758 \ud5a5\ubc29\uc774 \ub354 \uba85\ud655\ud574\uc9c8 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960(\uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba74 \ubc1b\ub294 \u2018\uc774\uc790 \uc218\uc775\ub960\u2019)\uc774 \ud558\ub77d(\uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac10)\ud558\uace0 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac(\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub354 \uc0ac\ub824\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30)\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ub2e4\uc2dc 1.15 \uc704\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc778 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ud68c\uc758) \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \ub098\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nFOMC \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uc870\uc808\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub2e8\uc2a4\ucf00(Danske, \uae08\uc735\uae30\uad00)\ub294 \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \u2018\uad00\ub9dd\u2019(Wait-and-See) \uae30\uc870<\/h3>\n\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\ub294 \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1(\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ucda9\ub3cc)\uc774 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\ub294 \uc810\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud574 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uad00\ub9dd \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\uac00 EUR\/USD \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc14\uafc0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d 2\uc6d4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(PPI, \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ubb3c\uac74\uc744 \ucd9c\uace0\ud560 \ub54c \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874(\uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub97c \uc4f0\ub294 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4) 2\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uc885 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \uc804\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\uba70, \uc7a0\uc815\uce58(\ucd08\uae30 \ucd94\uc815\uce58)\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\uc62c \uc804\ub9dd\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144 \ucd08\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ucda9\ub3cc\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uad00\ub9dd\ud558\uba70 EUR\/USD\uac00 1.15 \uc704\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub358 \uc2dc\uae30\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\ucc98\ub7fc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc678\ubd80 \ucda9\uaca9(\uc804\uc7c1\u00b7\uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uac19\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc16 \uc694\uc778) \uc55e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc27d\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud2b9\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uac70\ub798 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubc30\uacbd\uc740 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ubcfc \ub54c \ucc38\uace0\uac00 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2e4\ub9cc \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ub2e4\ub974\uace0, EUR\/USD\ub294 1.08 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \ub0ae\uac8c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c 1\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774(\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28)\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc9c0\uae08 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0)\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ud658(\ud53c\ubc97, \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc778\ud558 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\ub294 \uac83)\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch Tool \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc57d 75bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p \ub2e8\uc704) \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(Volatility) \uad6c\ub3c4<\/h3>\n\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5(\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \u2018\uad8c\ub9ac\u2019\ub97c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\u2019)\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc 6.5% \uadfc\ucc98\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc778\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00(\ubc29\uc2ec)\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle, \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc11c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \uac19\uc740 \uad6c\uc870\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218(\ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\ub294 \uac83)\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\ub294 \uc21c\uac04 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\ucc98\ub7fc, \uc9c0\uae08\ub3c4 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \uc6b0\ub824(\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\u00b7\ubd80\ud488 \uc870\ub2ec\uc774 \ub9c9\ud788\uac70\ub098 \ub2a6\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ubb38\uc81c)\uc640 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc131\uae09\ud788 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.9%\ub85c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uac83\ub3c4 \ud655\uc778\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 HICP(\uc870\ud654 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uc720\ub7fd \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub9de\ucd98 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 2.4%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824, ECB\uac00 \ub354 \uba3c\uc800 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub3c8\uc744 \ud480\uc5b4 \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \ub3d5\ub294 \uac83)\ub97c \uace0\ubbfc\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \ubb3c\uac00 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uc120\ub3c4\uacc4\uc57d(Forward, \ubbf8\ub798\uc758 \ud658\uc728\u00b7\uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc9c0\uae08 \uc815\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubd84\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ub354 \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc0c8\ub85c \ub098\uc624\ub294 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uaca0\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8\uad6d PPI\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9d1\uc911\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc758\uc874\uc801(\uc9c0\ud45c \uacb0\uacfc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ubc14\uafb8\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd)\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ubb3c\uac00\ub098 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\uba74 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc0c8\ub85c \ub9e4\uae40)\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, \uc774\ub7f0 \u2018\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\u2019\uc740 \uc5b4\ub290 \uc21c\uac04 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \ub05d\ub098\uae30\ub3c4 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704)\uc5d0\uc11c \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc774\ud0c8(\ud070 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub610\ub294 \ud558\ub77d)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\ubc18\ub300 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uac83)\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD\uac00 1.15 \uc704\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\u2014\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \uac1c\uc120 \ub355\ubd84. FOMC\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300. \ub0ae\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc18d \uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ubcc0\ub3d9 \ub300\ube44\uac00 \uad00\uac74. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41590","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41590","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41590"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41590\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41590"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41590"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41590"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}