{"id":41579,"date":"2026-03-18T10:42:21","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T10:42:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8d%b4%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%90-eur-usd-1-15%ec%84%a0-%ec%9e%ac%ed%83%88%ed%99%98%ec%97%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T10:42:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T10:42:21","slug":"%eb%8d%b4%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%90-eur-usd-1-15%ec%84%a0-%ec%9e%ac%ed%83%88%ed%99%98%ec%97%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8d%b4%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%97%90-eur-usd-1-15%ec%84%a0-%ec%9e%ac%ed%83%88%ed%99%98%ec%97%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub374\uc2a4\ud06c\uc740\ud589 \u201c\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 EUR\/USD 1.15\uc120 \uc7ac\ud0c8\ud658\u2026\uc5f0\uc900, \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ud574\uc18c\ub420 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uad00\ub9dd \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc720\ub85c(EUR\/USD)\ub294 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uace0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638(\uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub354 \uc0ac\ub824\ub294 \uc2ec\ub9ac)\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub418\uba74\uc11c 1.15 \uc704\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub17c\uc758\ud558\ub294 \ud68c\uc758)\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4.\n\nFOMC \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1)\uc774 \ubc14\ub00c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \uc548\uc5d0 \ubbf8 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 1\ud68c\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub2e8\uc2a4\ucf00\uc740\ud589\uc740 2\ud68c\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \u2018\uad00\ub9dd(wait-and-see\u00b7\uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcf4\uba70 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \ud0dc\ub3c4)\u2019\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\uac00 EUR\/USD\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc14\uafc0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 2\uc6d4 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(PPI\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ud310\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00\ub85c, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00(CPI)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uba3c\uc800 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc544 \u2018\uc120\ud589 \ubb3c\uac00\u2019\ub85c \ucc38\uace0\ub428) \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \uc804\uc5d0 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 2\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uc885 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \uc804\uc5d0 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uc885\uce58\ub294 \uc55e\uc11c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc18d\ubcf4\uce58(\uc7a0\uc815\uce58)\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, EUR\/USD\ub294 1.08 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c 1\ub144\uac04 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c \u2018\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28(\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774)\u2019\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ub2f9\uc7a5\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0(\ud604 \uc218\uc900 \uc720\uc9c0)\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc804\ud658(pivot\u00b7\uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\ub294 \uac83)\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ub3c4\uad6c(CME FedWatch Tool\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc57d 75bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc18\uc601 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uac04\uadf9\uc740 \uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5(\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2019)\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 \ucd5c\uadfc 6.5% \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uacbd\uacc4\uac10\uc774 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\/\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \uac19\uc740 \uad6c\uc870\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158)\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\ub294 \uc21c\uac04 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c, \ud604\uc7ac\ub3c4 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd(\ubd80\ud488\u00b7\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc870\ub2ec\uacfc \uc6b4\uc1a1 \uccb4\uacc4) \uc6b0\ub824\uc640 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc131\uae09\ud788 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00) \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.9%\ub85c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 HICP(\uc870\ud654\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7EU\uac00 \uad6d\uac00 \uac04 \ube44\uad50\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \ub9cc\ub4e0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c) \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 2.4%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc838 ECB\uac00 \uba3c\uc800 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub4f1)\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ub354 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8\uad6d PPI \ub4f1 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \u2018\uc9c0\ud45c \uc758\uc874(data-dependent\u00b7\uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc870\uc815)\u2019 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ubb3c\uac00\ub098 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\ub418\uba70 \uac00\uaca9\ub3c4 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud604\uc7ac \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc758 \ub4f1\ub77d)\uc5d0\uc11c \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc774\ud0c8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0(hedge\u00b7\ubc18\ub300 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc190\uc2e4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uac83)\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 &#8211; VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FOMC \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubbf8 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\u00b7\uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638\ub85c EUR\/USD 1.15 \ud68c\ubcf5. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\uad00\ub9dd, \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uad34\ub9ac \ucee4 \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c. PPI\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ucd09\ubc1c \ubcc0\uc218.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41579","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41579","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41579"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41579\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41579"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41579"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41579"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}