{"id":41503,"date":"2026-03-18T01:43:36","date_gmt":"2026-03-18T01:43:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/fomc%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b4%80%eb%a7%9d%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4\/"},"modified":"2026-03-18T01:43:36","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T01:43:36","slug":"fomc%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b4%80%eb%a7%9d%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/fomc%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b4%80%eb%a7%9d%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4\/","title":{"rendered":"FOMC\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uad00\ub9dd\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 0.20% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 100.00\uc120 \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0 \uc2e4\ud328\ud55c \ub4a4 99.50~99.60\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc18c\ud3ed \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uac14\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(US Dollar Index, DXY: \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud574 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc57d 0.20% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 99.50~99.60 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uace0, 100.00\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc\uc5d0\ub294 100.54 \ubd80\uadfc(\uc57d 10\uac1c\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58)\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uc73c\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc778 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve, Fed: \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uad00) \uc131\uba85\uc774 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 18:00 GMT\uc5d0 \ub098\uc62c \uc608\uc815\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n100.50 \uc704\ub85c\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc84c\uace0, \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ub2e4\uc2dc 100.00\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c9\ud614\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 100.00 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\uc628 2\uac1c \ubd09 \ubc18\uc804(two-bar reversal: \uc5f0\uc18d\ub41c \ub450 \uac1c\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\ubd09\uc774 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \uc554\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \ud615\ud0dc)\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud798(\ubaa8\uba58\ud140: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc18d \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub824\ub294 \ud798)\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Fed Meeting Focus<\/h3>\nCME FedWatch(\uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\/\uc778\uc0c1\/\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c)\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 94%\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \uad00\ub828 \ubd84\uc7c1\uacfc \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669 \uc774\ud6c4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ub9dd\uc694\uc57d(Summary of Economic Projections: \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uc790\ub8cc)\uacfc \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot: \uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ud55c \ud45c)\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc804 \uc911\uc559\uac12 \uacbd\ub85c\ub294 2026\ub144\uc5d0 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 1bp=0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\ud558 1\ud68c\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uace8\ub4dc\ub9cc\uc0ad\uc2a4\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 9\uc6d4\ub85c \ubbf8\ub918\uace0, \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(fed funds futures: \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c)\uc740 \uccab \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uba74 12\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 2026\ub144 \u2018\uc778\ud558 \uc5c6\uc74c\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\uba74 DXY\ub294 \ub2e4\uc2dc 100.00 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uac08 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \u2018\uc778\ud558 1\ud68c\u2019\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74 DXY\uac00 99.00~99.44\ub97c \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc77c\uac04 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c DXY\ub294 99.62\uc600\uace0, 50\uc77c EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0, \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub450\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0) \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud558\ub77d \uc911\uc778 200\uc77c \ud3c9\uade0 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120(resistance: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub97c \ub54c \ub9c9\ud788\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc740 100.50 \ubd80\uadfc, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(support: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub9b4 \ub54c \ubc84\ud2f0\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc740 98.40 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uba70 \uadf8\ub2e4\uc74c\uc740 97.80\uacfc 96.85\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5(Powell: \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5)\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 18:30 GMT\uc5d0 \ubc1c\uc5b8\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Trading Plans Around The Dot Plot<\/h3>\n\ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \ub0b4\uc77c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot: \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc608\uc0c1 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ud55c \ud45c)\uc774\uba70, \uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc9c0\uc6b8 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2023\ub144 6\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish: \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \ub192\uac8c\/\ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5) \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b0 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, 100.50 \ub3cc\ud30c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ucda9\ubd84\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uae09\ub4f1 \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ub0b4\ube44\uce58\uac70\ub098 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 1\ud68c\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 99.00 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub098, 100.00 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc120\ubb3c(futures: \ubbf8\ub798\uc758 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d) \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub294 \ud558\ub098\uc758 \uc120\ud0dd\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc720\uac00\ub97c \ube7c\ub193\uc744 \uc218 \uc5c6\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\ub294 \u2018\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\u2019\ub294 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2022\ub144 \ucd08 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(Brent crude: \uad6d\uc81c \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uae30\uc900)\uac00 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc57d 90\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 120\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub358 \uac83\ucc98\ub7fc, \uc774\ubc88 \uc774\ub780 \uad00\ub828 \uc0c1\ud669\ub3c4 \uac19\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(safe haven: \ubd88\uc548\ud560 \ub54c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ubab0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0)\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub0b4\uc77c \ud68c\uc758 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uba70, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(volatility: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc30d(currency pair: \ub450 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \uc9dd\uc9c0\uc5b4 \ud658\uc728\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \ub2e8\uc704)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(option straddle: \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uc11c \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uae30 \uc88b\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc624\ub974\ub4e0 \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub4e0, \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc790\uccb4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9bd\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900 \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uad00\ub828 \uc77c\uc77c \ub274\uc2a4\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud575\uc2ec\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubd84\uc7c1 \uc644\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\ub098 \uc6d0\uc720 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub294 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc218(\uac15\uc138) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(positions: \ubcf4\uc720 \uc911\uc778 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \ubc29\ud5a5)\uc740 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uac8c \uad00\ub9ac\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801(geopolitical: \uad6d\uac00 \uac04 \uac08\ub4f1 \ub4f1 \uc815\uce58\u00b7\uc548\ubcf4 \ubb38\uc81c) \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc21c\uc2dd\uac04\uc5d0 \ubc14\ub014 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>. <\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218, 100 \uc544\ub798\uc11c \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\u2014\ub0b4\uc77c \uc5f0\uc900 \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c\uac00 \ud310\uc744 \uac00\ub978\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc720\ub825 \uc18d \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300, 100.50 \ub3cc\ud30c \ub610\ub294 99\ub300 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41503","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41503","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41503"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41503\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41503"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41503"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41503"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}