{"id":41477,"date":"2026-03-17T22:45:34","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T22:45:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-52%ec%a3%bc-%eb%a7%8c%ea%b8%b0-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ec%9e%85%ec%b0%b0%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%88%98%ec%9d%b5%eb%a5%a0%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b4-3-345%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-3-485%eb%a1%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T22:45:34","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T22:45:34","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-52%ec%a3%bc-%eb%a7%8c%ea%b8%b0-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ec%9e%85%ec%b0%b0%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%88%98%ec%9d%b5%eb%a5%a0%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b4-3-345%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-3-485%eb%a1%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-52%ec%a3%bc-%eb%a7%8c%ea%b8%b0-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ec%9e%85%ec%b0%b0%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%88%98%ec%9d%b5%eb%a5%a0%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b4-3-345%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-3-485%eb%a1%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d 52\uc8fc \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 \uae30\uc874 3.345%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.485%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 52\uc8fc(1\ub144) \ub9cc\uae30 \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80 \ub2e8\uae30\uad6d\ucc44(Treasury bill, **\uad6d\ucc44 \uc911 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uc9e7\uc740 \ucc44\uad8c**)\ub97c \uacbd\ub9e4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0 **3.485%** \uae08\ub9ac\ub85c \ud310\ub9e4\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\uc804 \uacbd\ub9e4 \uae08\ub9ac **3.345%**\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub978 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 1\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \ub3c8\uc744 \ube4c\ub9b4 \ub54c, \uc774\uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 **\ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uc774\uc790\uc728(\uc218\uc775\ub960, yield: \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uac00 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc774\uc790 \ube44\uc728)**\ub85c \ube4c\ub838\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. 3.345%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.485%\ub85c\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 **0.140%p(\ud37c\uc13c\ud2b8\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8: % \uc790\uccb4\uc758 \ucc28\uc774)** \uc99d\uac00\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac<\/h3>\n\ucd5c\uadfc 52\uc8fc\ubb3c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 3.485%\ub85c \uc624\ub978 \uac83\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 **\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83**\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI, **\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c**) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(core inflation, **\uc74c\uc2dd\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960**)\uc774 3.1%\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098, \uc608\uc0c1\ub9cc\ud07c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc774 **\uc5f0\uc900(Federal Reserve, \ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)**\uc758 \uc5ec\ub984 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ub108\ubb34 \uc55e\uc11c\uac14\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(interest rate futures, **\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488**)\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc5d0\uac8c \uc774 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. CME FedWatch \ub3c4\uad6c( **\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ud655\ub960\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c**)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uc774\uc81c 40%\ub97c \ub118\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec\uc5d0 \ubcf4\ub358 15% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \uc870\uc815\ub41c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 TLT \uac19\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 ETF(ETF, **\uc5ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ubb36\uc5b4 \uc8fc\uc2dd\ucc98\ub7fc \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488**)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option, **\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac**)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc624\ub974\uba74 \uae30\uc5c5\uac00\uce58 \ud3c9\uac00(valuation, **\ubbf8\ub798 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uce58\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud574 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub9e4\uae30\ub294 \uac83**)\uac00 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\u00b7\uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. NASDAQ 100\uc740 \uacbd\ub9e4 \uacb0\uacfc \uc774\ud6c4 \uc774\ubbf8 2% \ud558\ub77d(\uc870\uc815, pullback: **\ub2e8\uae30 \ud558\ub77d**)\ud588\ub2e4. \ucc28\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\uba74 \ubbf8\ub798 \uc774\uc775 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218(hedging, **\uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uac70\ub798**)\uac00 \ub298\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 2022\ub144\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uc558\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uace0, \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0(risk assets, **\uc8fc\uc2dd\ucc98\ub7fc \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc790\uc0b0**) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub9e4\uaca8\uc84c\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, \u201c\ubb34\uc704\ud5d8\u201d \uae08\ub9ac(risk-free rate, **\uad6d\ucc44\ucc98\ub7fc \uac00\uc7a5 \uc548\uc804\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5ec\uaca8\uc9c0\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac**)\uac00 \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc77c \ub54c \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ube68\ub9ac \ubc14\ub014 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub3c4 CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(VIX, **\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c**)\uac00 2\uc8fc \uc804 15\uc5d0\uc11c 19\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d<\/h3>\n\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uac15\ud574\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub3c4 \uac15\uc138\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY, **\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44\ub85c \ubb36\uc5b4 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218**)\ub294 105.50 \uc800\ud56d\uc120(resistance level, **\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc790\uc8fc \ub9c9\ud788\ub294 \uad6c\uac04**)\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc624\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38(\uc790\ubcf8 \uc720\uc785, **\ub3c8\uc774 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc624\ub294 \uac83**)\uc774\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654 \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub77c\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8\uc9c0, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub354 \ube68\ub9ac \uc644\ud654(\uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654, **\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub3c8\uc774 \ub3cc\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5**)\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ub098\ub77c\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub354 \uac15\ud574\uc9c8\uc9c0 \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcfc \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d 52\uc8fc \uad6d\ucc44 \uc785\ucc30\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 3.345%\u21923.485%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9, \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654 \uc9c0\uc5f0\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41477","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41477","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41477"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41477\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41477"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41477"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41477"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}