{"id":41455,"date":"2026-03-17T20:43:31","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T20:43:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%8a%a4%ec%bd%94%ec%83%a4%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-usd-cad%ea%b0%80-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4%ea%b6%8c%ec%9d%84-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ed%95%a0-%ea%b2%83%ec%9d%b4\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T20:43:31","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T20:43:31","slug":"%ec%8a%a4%ec%bd%94%ec%83%a4%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-usd-cad%ea%b0%80-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4%ea%b6%8c%ec%9d%84-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ed%95%a0-%ea%b2%83%ec%9d%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%8a%a4%ec%bd%94%ec%83%a4%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-usd-cad%ea%b0%80-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4%ea%b6%8c%ec%9d%84-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ed%95%a0-%ea%b2%83%ec%9d%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc2a4\ucf54\uc0e4\uc740\ud589 \uc804\ub7b5\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 USD\/CAD\uac00 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4; \uc720\uac00 \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc881\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac(\uc218\uc775\ub960) \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uac00 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\uc2a4\ucf54\uc0e4\uc740\ud589(Scotiabank)\uc740 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ubd81\ubbf8 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uac04\uc5d0 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec(CAD)\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD) \ub300\ube44 \uac70\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uace0, \ub2e4\ub978 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44(\uad50\ucc28\ud658\uc728, **cross rates**: USD\uac00 \uc544\ub2cc \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ud658\uc728)\ub85c\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. CAD\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc881\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\uc600\uc73c\uba70, USD\/CAD\ub294 1.37 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc800\ud56d(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub354 \uc624\ub974\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub52a\ud788\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nUSD\/CAD\uc758 \uacf5\uc815\uac00\uce58(\uc801\uc815 \uc218\uc900, **fair value estimate**: \uae30\ucd08 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \u2018\uc774\ub860\uc0c1 \uc801\uc815 \ud658\uc728\u2019) \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ub294 1.34\ub300 \uc911\ubc18\uc778\ub370, \ud604\ubb3c\ud658\uc728(\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9, **spot**: \uc9c0\uae08 \uc989\uc2dc \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\uc740 1.37 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uc5b4\uc11c CAD\uac00 \uc800\ud3c9\uac00(undervalued: \uc2e4\uc81c \uac00\uce58 \ub300\ube44 \uc2f8\uac8c \uac70\ub798)\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\ub294 \uae30\uc874\uc8fc\ud0dd \ud310\ub9e4(existing home sales: \uc774\ubbf8 \uc9c0\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc8fc\ud0dd\uc758 \uac70\ub798\ub7c9) \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\uace0, 2\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \uac10\uc18c \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ub2e4\uc18c \uc644\ub9cc\ud574\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\uc5d0 \ucd09\uac01<\/h3>\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc640 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BoC: Bank of Canada) \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. BoC\ub294 \uc911\ub9bd\uc801(\ud2b9\uc815 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740) \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\uac00, Fed\ub294 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c \uc131\ud5a5(**cautious dovishness**: \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \uae30\uc6b4 \ud0dc\ub3c4)\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140(\ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \ud798)\uc740 \uc911\ub9bd\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub410\uc73c\uba70, RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218, **RSI**: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uacfc\uc5f4\/\uce68\uccb4\uc778\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 50\uc744 \uc57d\uac04 \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc740 1.37 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc800\ud56d\uc774 \uc788\uace0 1.35 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \ud558\ub2e8 \uc9c0\uc9c0(\ubc14\ub2e5)\uac00 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. 50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(**50-day moving average**: \ucd5c\uadfc 50\uac70\ub798\uc77c \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9)\uc740 1.3697\uc774\uba70, \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc94\uc704\ub294 1.3650~1.3720\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc744 \uac00\uc815\ud55c \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ubc94\uc704\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uba74, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ube44\uc2f8\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5, **selling options volatility**: \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud574 \u2018\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud30c\ub294\u2019 \uc811\uadfc)\uac00 \uc2e4\uc6a9\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974(**iron condor**: \uc704\uc544\ub798\ub85c \ucf5c\/\ud48b \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \uad6c\uc131\ud574 1.3720 \uc704\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac) 1\uac1c\ub97c \ud314\uace0 1.3650 \uc544\ub798\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac) 1\uac1c\ub97c \ud314\uc544 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(**premium**: \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud314 \ub54c \ubc1b\ub294 \ub3c8)\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uba74 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub0a9\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144 \ub9d0\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, Fed\uc640 BoC \ubaa8\ub450 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, inflation: \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc218\uc900 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\ub97c \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0(interest rates steady: \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0)\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc758 2\uc6d4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, **CPI**: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \uc5f0 2.7%\ub85c \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uad00\ub9ac \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5b4\uc11c, BoC\ub294 \uc911\ub9bd\uc801 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc Fed\uac00 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc644\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\uba74, \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294(USD\/CAD \ud558\ub77d) \uacc4\uae30\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uacf5\uc815\uac00\uce58 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc870\uc815\uc774 \uc784\ubc15\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub77c\uba74, USD\/CAD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 CAD \uac15\uc138(= USD\/CAD \ud558\ub77d)\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(**put spread**: \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud558\ub098 \uc0ac\uace0 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ud314\uc544 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uad6c\uc870)\ub85c, \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 4\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30(expiration: \uc635\uc158\uc774 \uc885\ub8cc\ub418\ub294 \ub0a0\uc9dc)\uc758 1.3600 \ud48b\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0 1.3450 \ud48b\uc744 \ud30c\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc740 \ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294(defined-risk: \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\ud574\uc9d0) \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c, \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uae30\ucd08\uc801 \uc801\uc815 \uc218\uc900 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uac00\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/CAD 1.37 \ubd80\uadfc, \uacfc\ub300\ud3c9\uac00 \uc2e0\ud638? \uc720\uac00 \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uc881\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\ub85c CAD \uc9c0\uc9c0, 1.35~1.3720 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc9c0\uc18d. \ub0b4\uc77c Fed\u00b7BoC \ud68c\uc758\uac00 \ub3cc\ud30c \ucd09\ub9e4. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41455","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41455","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41455"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41455\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41455"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41455"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41455"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}