{"id":41392,"date":"2026-03-17T11:44:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T11:44:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c%ec%9d%80-rba%ec%9d%98-5%eb%8c%80-4-%ed%91%9c%ea%b2%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ea%b0%80-4-10%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%eb%90%90%ec%9c%bc%eb%a9%b0-%ec%9d%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T11:44:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T11:44:12","slug":"td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c%ec%9d%80-rba%ec%9d%98-5%eb%8c%80-4-%ed%91%9c%ea%b2%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ea%b0%80-4-10%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%eb%90%90%ec%9c%bc%eb%a9%b0-%ec%9d%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c%ec%9d%80-rba%ec%9d%98-5%eb%8c%80-4-%ed%91%9c%ea%b2%b0%eb%a1%9c-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a4%80%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ea%b0%80-4-10%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%eb%90%90%ec%9c%bc%eb%a9%b0-%ec%9d%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 RBA\uc758 5\ub300 4 \ud45c\uacb0\ub85c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.10%\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc790\uadf9\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 5\uc6d4 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc740 \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(cash rate, **\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc2dc\uc911\uc740\ud589\uc5d0 \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac**)\ub97c **25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p \ub2e8\uc704)** \uc62c\ub824 **4.10%**\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \ud45c\uacb0\uc740 **5\u20134**\ub85c \uac08\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2023\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c \ub098\uc628 **\uc5f0\uc18d \uc778\uc0c1**\uc73c\ub85c, \uad6d\ub0b4 **\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)**\uc774 \ubaa9\ud45c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0, **\uc218\uc694(\uc0ac\ub824\ub294 \ud798)**\uac00 **\uacf5\uae09(\ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4 \ud30c\ub294 \ub2a5\ub825)**\uc744 \uc55e\uc9c0\ub978\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774 \uadfc\uac70\uc600\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\uc0ac\ud68c\ub294 **\uc704\ud5d8(risk, \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ub098\ube60\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131)**\uc774 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 **\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300(inflation expectations, \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc774 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc624\ub97c\uc9c0 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uac83)**\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c **\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5(labour market, \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uc640 \uad6c\uc9c1\uc758 \uc0c1\ud0dc)**\uc774 \uc870\uae08 \ub354 **\ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4(tightened, \uc0ac\ub78c\uc744 \uad6c\ud558\uae30\uac00 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc84c\ub2e4)**\uace0 \ud588\uace0, **\uc0dd\uc0b0\u00b7\uc778\ub825 \uc5ec\uc720(capacity pressures, \uacf5\uc7a5\u00b7\uc778\ub825\uc758 \ube48\ud2c8\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uc555\ub825)**\ub3c4 \uc774\uc804 \ud3c9\uac00\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\uac04 \ub354 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uacb0\uc815\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778<\/h3>\n\uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ub85c \ub098\uc628 \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub192\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74 \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub108\ubb34 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, **\uc7a5\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300**\uac00 \ub354 \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ub9c9\uc73c\ub824\ub294 \ubaa9\uc801\ub3c4 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n5\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud45c\uacb0\uc774 \ubc15\ube59\uc774\uc5b4\uc11c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc811\uc804\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc870\uce58\uac00 \uc5f4\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 **\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uace1\uc120(yield curve, \ub9cc\uae30\ubcc4 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc740 \uac83)**\uc774 \ub354 **\ud3c9\ud3c9\ud574\uc9c0\ub294(flattening, \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \uc7a5\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294)** \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \uc544\uc6b8\ub7ec **\uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74(terms of trade, \uc218\ucd9c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc218\uc785 \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c\uc9c0)** \uac1c\uc120 \uc694\uc778\uacfc, \ud638\uc8fc **\uc5f0\uae08\uae30\uae08(pension funds, \ud1f4\uc9c1\u00b7\uc5f0\uae08 \uc6b4\uc6a9 \uae30\uad00)**\uc774 \ud574\uc678\uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 **\ud658\ud5e4\uc9c0(hedging, \ud658\uc728 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uac70\ub798)**\ub97c \ub298\ub9ac\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5\uacfc \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n\ucd5c\uadfc \uc218\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 **3.8%**\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub3fc \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 RBA\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc **3.7%**\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824, 2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud55c **\ube61\ube61\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9 \uc0c1\ud669**\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4\ub294 RBA\uc758 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ud655\uc778\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \ud798\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 **\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638, \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\ub824\ub294)** \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c \uc774\ub294 **\uc218\uc775\ub960 \uace1\uc120 \ud3c9\ud0c4\ud654**\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc989 **\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac**\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub354 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, **\uc7a5\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac**\ub294 \ub35c \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \u201c\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uacb0\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uc2dd\ud790 \uac83\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. 2023\ub144 \uc778\uc0c1 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 RBA\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \uae34\ucd95 \uc774\ud6c4 \uace1\uc120\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ud3c9\ud0c4\ud654\ub41c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud658\uc728 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 **\uac15\uc138 \ucabd \uc2dc\uac01**\uc774 \ud0c0\ub2f9\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba74 \ud574\uc678 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c AUD \uc790\uc0b0\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud1a4\ub2f9 **120\ub2ec\ub7ec** \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ub4f1 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uac15\ud574 **\uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74**\ub3c4 \uc88b\uc544\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uae08\uae30\uae08\uc774 \ud574\uc678\uc790\uc0b0\uc758 \ud658\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud658\ud5e4\uc9c0\ub97c \ub298\ub9ac\uba74, \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0ac\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uc0dd\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ud45c\uacb0\uc774 \ubc15\ube59\uc774\uc5c8\ub358 \ub9cc\ud07c 5\uc6d4\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \ud655\uc2e4\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 RBA\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac **\ub3d9\uacb0(pause, \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc720\uc9c0)**\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uba74\uc11c, **\uc635\uc158(options, \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \uc0ac\ub294 \uac70\ub798)**\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 AUD \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c **\ubd84\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c(quarterly inflation print, \ubd84\uae30 \ub2e8\uc704 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\uc640 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc704\ud5d8 \ud658\uacbd \ubcc0\ud654\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBA\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.10%\ub85c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1(5-4 \uc811\uc804)! \ub048\uc9c8\uae34 \ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\ucd08\uacfc\uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc6d0\uc778. 5\uc6d4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ucee4\ube0c \ud50c\ub798\ud2b8\ub2dd\u00b7\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41392","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41392","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41392"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41392\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41392"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41392"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41392"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}