{"id":41380,"date":"2026-03-17T10:44:24","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T10:44:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/rba-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-aud-usd%eb%8a%94-%ec%95%9e%ec%84%9c%ec%9d%98-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%eb%b6%84-%eb%8c%80%eb%b6%80%eb%b6%84%ec%9d%84-%ed%9a%8c%eb%b3%b5%ed%96%88%ec%9c%bc%eb%a9%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T10:44:24","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T10:44:24","slug":"rba-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-aud-usd%eb%8a%94-%ec%95%9e%ec%84%9c%ec%9d%98-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%eb%b6%84-%eb%8c%80%eb%b6%80%eb%b6%84%ec%9d%84-%ed%9a%8c%eb%b3%b5%ed%96%88%ec%9c%bc%eb%a9%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/rba-%ea%b2%b0%ec%a0%95-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-aud-usd%eb%8a%94-%ec%95%9e%ec%84%9c%ec%9d%98-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%eb%b6%84-%eb%8c%80%eb%b6%80%eb%b6%84%ec%9d%84-%ed%9a%8c%eb%b3%b5%ed%96%88%ec%9c%bc%eb%a9%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA \uacb0\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc55e\uc11c\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\ubd84 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc744 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ubd88\ub85d \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \ube0c\ub9ac\ud551 \uc774\ud6c4 0.7085 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"RBA(\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uacb0\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 AUD\/USD(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)\ub294 \ucd08\ubc18 \ud558\ub77d\ubd84\uc744 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \ub9cc\ud68c\ud588\uace0, \ubbf8\uc178 \ubd88\ub7ed \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac \ub4a4 \uc57d 0.7085\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Official Cash Rate, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p) \uc62c\ub824 4.1%\ub85c \ubcc0\uacbd\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc704\uc6d0 9\uba85 \uc911 5\uba85\uc774 \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ucc2c\uc131\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nRBA\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\ub8cc \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc62c\ub790\uace0, \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uba74 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uc744 \ub354 \uc790\uadf9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubd88\ub7ed \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \uc218\uc694(\uc0ac\ub824\ub294 \ud798)\uac00 \uacf5\uae09(\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubb3c\ub7c9)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ucee4\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc774\ubbf8 \ub192\uc73c\uba70, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ubaa9\ud45c \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uae30\uc5d0 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ub192\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

RBA \uc774\ud6c4 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ud750\ub984<\/h3>\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c\ub85c \uc608\uc815\ub41c \uc5f0\uc900(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\uc870\uc815, \uae09\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784 \ub4a4\uc758 \ubc18\ub300 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)\uc744 \uac70\uce5c \ub4a4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. AUD\/USD\ub294 0.7060 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 20\uc77c EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0, \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub450\uace0 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \ub0b8 \ucd94\uc138\uc120) \uc704\ub97c \uc9c0\ucf1c \uc57d\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud3b8\ud5a5(\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \ud750\ub984)\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n14\uc77c RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218, \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d\uc758 \ud798\uc744 0~100\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 60.00\u201380.00 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uc628 \ub4a4 40.00\u201360.00 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac00, momentum(\ubaa8\uba58\ud140, \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc758 \ud798)\uc774 \ub354 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub2e4 \ub9c9\ud788\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc740 0.7100 \ubd80\uadfc\uacfc 0.7120\u20130.7150 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc788\uace0, \ucd94\uac00\ub85c 0.72\ub300 \uc911\ubc18\uacfc 0.7300\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub2e4 \ubc1b\uccd0\uc9c0\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc740 0.6944\uc640 0.6900 \ubd80\uadfc\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 0.6900 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba74 0.6770\u20130.6800 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ub2e4\uc74c RBA \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5 \uc544\uc774\ub514\uc5b4<\/h3>\n\uc9c0\uae08(2026\ub144 3\uc6d4) \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc791\ub144 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uae30\uac04 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub358 \ub4a4, \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc790\uc8fc \uc0ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubaa8\uc740 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc640 3.4%\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub790\uace0, RBA\ub97c \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub193\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960(\uc77c\ud560 \uc0ac\ub78c \uc911 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294 \ube44\uc728)\ub3c4 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c 4.2%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c, RBA\ub294 \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00(\ub048\uc801\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\uc640 \ub454\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5(\uace0\uc6a9 \uc0c1\ud669) \uc9c0\uc6d0 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\ubbfc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c RBA \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 AUD\/USD \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0ae\uac8c \ud3c9\uac00\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle, \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc11c \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 RBA\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ub180\ub77c\uac8c \ud558\uac70\ub098, \uace0\uc6a9 \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c \ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \u2018\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c \uc804\ud658\u2019(dovish pivot, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc644\ud654 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc11c\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638)\uc744 \ub0b4\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144 RBA\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778) \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c, \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc6b0\uc120\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4\uba74 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ucabd\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubca0\ud305\ub3c4 \uac00\ub2a5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c\uacc4\uc57d(futures, \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\uc911\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc744 \uc774\uc6a9\ud574 \ucd5c\uadfc 0.6750 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc744 \uc704\ub85c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud560 \ub54c AUD\/USD\ub97c \u2018\ub871\u2019(long, \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305)\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc0dd\uae30\uba74 2025\ub144\uc758 \uc61b \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc778 0.7100 \uac19\uc740 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uc7a5\uae30 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \uc774 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d CPI\ub294 2.8%\ub85c \ub354 \ub0ae\uac8c \ub098\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc774 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8\u2019(pause, \uae08\ub9ac \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uc7a0\uc2dc \uba48\ucd94\ub294 \uac83)\uc744 \ub354 \uacf5\uac1c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9d0\ud558\uac8c \ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub294 RBA\uc640 \uc911\ub9bd~\uc644\ud654 \uc131\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b0\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774(\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac)\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 AUD\/USD \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6c1\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\ub824\uba74, \uc120\ubb3c \ub300\uc2e0 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option, \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. AUD\/USD \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(call spread, \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uc758 \ucf5c\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uc758 \ucf5c\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \uc0ac\uba74 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\uac00 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. RBA\uac00 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub354 \uc911\uc2dc\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc131\uba85\uc744 \ub0b4\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nVT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124<\/a>\ud558\uace0\u00a0\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791<\/a>\ud558\uc138\uc694. <\/b>\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RBA \uae08\ub9ac 4.1% \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 AUD\/USD 0.7085 \ubc18\ub4f1! \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \ubcc0\uc218 \uc18d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub860 0.7100 \uc800\ud56d, 0.6900 \uc9c0\uc9c0. 2026 CPI 3.4%\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5 4.2%\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\u2014\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b7\ucf5c\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \uc8fc\ubaa9. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41380","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41380","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41380"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41380\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41380"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41380"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41380"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}