{"id":41378,"date":"2026-03-17T10:43:57","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T10:43:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-25bp-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ed%95%b4-4-10%eb%a1%9c-%ec%98%ac%eb%a6%b0-%eb%92%a4-%eb%b6%88%eb%a1%9d-%ec%b4%9d%ec%9e%ac%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%b0%ec%9e%90%ed%9a%8c%ea%b2%ac%ec%97%90\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T10:43:57","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T10:43:57","slug":"%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-25bp-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ed%95%b4-4-10%eb%a1%9c-%ec%98%ac%eb%a6%b0-%eb%92%a4-%eb%b6%88%eb%a1%9d-%ec%b4%9d%ec%9e%ac%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%b0%ec%9e%90%ed%9a%8c%ea%b2%ac%ec%97%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-25bp-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ed%95%b4-4-10%eb%a1%9c-%ec%98%ac%eb%a6%b0-%eb%92%a4-%eb%b6%88%eb%a1%9d-%ec%b4%9d%ec%9e%ac%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%b0%ec%9e%90%ed%9a%8c%ea%b2%ac%ec%97%90\/","title":{"rendered":"\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 4.10%\ub85c \uc62c\ub9b0 \ub4a4, \ubd88\ub85d \ucd1d\uc7ac\uac00 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc5d0\uc11c RBA\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA, Reserve Bank of Australia)\uc740 3\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 **\uacf5\uc2dd \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Official Cash Rate, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac)**\ub97c **3.85%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.10%\ub85c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1**\ud588\ub2e4. \uacb0\uc815\uc740 **\ub2e4\uc218\uacb0**\uc774\uc5c8\uace0, **5\uba85\uc740 \uc778\uc0c1**, **4\uba85\uc740 3.85% \ub3d9\uacb0**\uc5d0 \ud45c\ub97c \ub358\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uc178 \ubd88\ub85d(Michele Bullock) \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 **\ud718\ubc1c\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9**\uc774 \uc774\ubc88 \uc778\uc0c1\uc758 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uace0, **\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)**\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 **\ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac)**\uac00 \uc544\uc9c1 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ub192\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc774\uc0ac\ud68c\ub294 **\uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5(\uc778\uc0c1\/\uc778\ud558)**\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c **\uc2dc\uc810(\uc5b8\uc81c \ud560\uc9c0)**\uc744 \ub17c\uc758\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc77c\ubd80 \uc704\uc6d0\uc740 **5\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uc790**\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Rba Signals Rates Still Not Restrictive Enough<\/h3>\nRBA\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2022\ub144 \uc815\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc 2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub77c\uc654\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 **\uacf5\uae09 \uc5ec\ub825 \uc555\ubc15(capacity pressures, \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc744 \ub298\ub9b4 \uc5ec\uc720\uac00 \ubd80\uc871\ud574 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uc555\ub825)**\uc774 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc92c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c **\ub2e8\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300(short-term inflation expectations, \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1)**\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 **\ubaa9\ud45c\uce58(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc6d0\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc218\uc900)**\ub97c \ub118\ub294 \uae30\uac04\uc774 \uc774\uc804 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uae38\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\uc0ac\ud68c\ub294 **\uc911\ub3d9**\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ub17c\uc758\ud588\uace0, **\uc5f0\ub8cc \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1**\uc774 \uc624\ub798\uac00\uba74 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ub354 \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud574\ub2f9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ud55c\ucabd\uc73c\ub85c\ub9cc \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c **\uc591\ubc29\ud5a5 \uc704\ud5d8(\uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub97c \uc218\ub3c4, \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8)**\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 **\uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc778\uc9c0(restrictive, \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uc5ec \uc18c\ube44\u00b7\ud22c\uc790\ub97c \uc904\uc774\uace0 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)**\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \ud655\uc2e4\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uacb0\uc815 \uc774\ud6c4 **AUD\/USD(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)**\ub294 0.7050\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \ub2f9\uc77c \uae30\uc900 0.17% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 **2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 0.8%(GDP, \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0: \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud55c \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ucd1d\uc561)** \ubc0f **\uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.6%**, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 **1\uc6d4 CPI 0.4% \ubc0f \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.8%(CPI, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc790\uc8fc \uc0ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9)**\uac00 \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Market Focus Turns To May Meeting<\/h3>\n\uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uce58\ub294 2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub77c\uc628 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\uc654\ub2e4. 1\uc6d4 **\uc6d4\uac04 CPI(\ud55c \ub2ec \uae30\uc900 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9)**\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.8%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\ud1b5\uacc4\uccad \uc790\ub8cc\ub294 **\uc784\uae08\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(Wage Price Index, \uc784\uae08 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\uac00 \uc5f0 4.2% \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 **\uad6d\ub0b4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825(\uad6d\ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825)**\uc774 \uc624\ub798\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uac71\uc815\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uae30\ucd08 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ub354 \ub0ae\ucd94\uae30 \uc704\ud574 **\ucd94\uac00 \uc870\uce58**\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 RBA\uc758 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n**\uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5(interest rate markets, \uae08\ub9ac \uad00\ub828 \uc0c1\ud488\uc774 \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5)**\uc758 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\uc0ac\ud68c\uac00 \uc774\ubc88 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uac80\ud1a0\ud588\ub358 **5\uc6d4 RBA \ud68c\uc758**\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ud45c\uac00 \uac08\ub9b0 \uac83\uc740 \ub17c\uc7c1\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc804\uccb4 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\ub294 \ubc18\ub300\ud55c \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc870\ucc28 **\uacb0\uad6d \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ud544\uc694**\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \ub2ec \uc548\uc5d0 **25bp \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub354 \ub192\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ucd08\uae30 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uc608\uc0c1\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 **\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4(uncertain, \ub2e4\uc74c \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \ud655\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c)**\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub294 AUD\/USD \uc635\uc158\uc758 **\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility, \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\u2019)**\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 **\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5**\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774\ub098 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc0dd\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RBA\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.10%\ub85c 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\uba70 \u201c\uc544\uc9c1 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uacbd\uace0. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9, \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc18d 5\ub3004 \ubd84\uc5f4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 5\uc6d4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc8fc\ubaa9. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41378","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41378"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41378\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41378"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41378"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41378"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}