{"id":41285,"date":"2026-03-17T00:45:09","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T00:45:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%85%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%8d%b0%ec%95%84-%ec%9d%b4%ec%bd%94%eb%85%b8%eb%af%b8%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8%eb%93%a4-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81%ea%b3%bc-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1\/"},"modified":"2026-03-17T00:45:09","modified_gmt":"2026-03-17T00:45:09","slug":"%eb%85%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%8d%b0%ec%95%84-%ec%9d%b4%ec%bd%94%eb%85%b8%eb%af%b8%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8%eb%93%a4-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81%ea%b3%bc-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%85%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%8d%b0%ec%95%84-%ec%9d%b4%ec%bd%94%eb%85%b8%eb%af%b8%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8%eb%93%a4-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81%ea%b3%bc-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub178\ub974\ub370\uc544 \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub4e4, \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d\uc5d0 \ub9ad\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\uac00 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 1.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd"},"content":{"rendered":"\ub178\ub974\ub370\uc544(Nordea, \ubd81\uc720\ub7fd \uae08\uc735\uadf8\ub8f9) \uc18c\uc18d \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc2a4\uc6e8\ub374 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc778 \ub9ad\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c(Riksbank)\uac00 3\uc6d4 19\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\ud558\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 1.75%\ub85c \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \ub458 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 12\uc6d4 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c(rate path, \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd)\ub3c4 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba70, \uc774\ub294 2026\ub144 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd)\uc740 \u201c\uc870\uae08\ub9cc\u201d \uc218\uc815\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131(\uc55e\ub0a0\uc744 \uc815\ud655\ud788 \uc608\uce21\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6c0)\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0, \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcf4\uc790\ub294 \u2018\uad00\ub9dd\u2019(wait-and-see) \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd \uc0c1\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\ubd84\uc7c1\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud574 \ub178\ub974\ub370\uc544\ub294 CPIF \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc57d 0.5%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. CPIF\ub294 \uc2a4\uc6e8\ub374\uc5d0\uc11c \uc4f0\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c, \uc8fc\ud0dd\ub2f4\ubcf4\ub300\ucd9c \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(\uc27d\uac8c \ub9d0\ud574 \u201c\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc601\ud5a5\uc740 \ub35c \ubc1b\uac8c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\u201d)\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \ub178\ub974\ub370\uc544\uc758 CPIF \uacbd\ub85c\ub294 \ub9ad\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\uc758 12\uc6d4 \ud3c9\uac00\uc640 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8 \uade0\ud615(\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08\/\uc62c\ub77c\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc5b4\ub514\uc5d0 \ub354 \ubb34\uac8c\uac00 \uc2e4\ub9ac\ub294\uc9c0)\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, \u201c\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc720\ub825\u201d\uc5d0\uc11c \u201c\uc911\ub9bd\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6c0\u201d\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9bc) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n1\ub144 \uc804\uc5d0\ub294 \ub9ad\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\uac00 \uad00\ub9dd \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ub0b4\uc138\uc6b0\uba70, \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 1.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uadf8 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.\n\n2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uc2e0 CPIF \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 2.4%\ub85c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c, \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\uc778 2%\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub9ad\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ub9d0 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 2.00%\ub85c \uc774\ubbf8 \uc62c\ub838\uace0(\uae30\uc874\uc758 \u201c\uc624\ub798 \ub3d9\uacb0\u201d \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac), \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc218\uc694(\uc18c\ube44\u00b7\ud22c\uc790 \ub4f1)\ub97c \uc2dd\ud788\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \ud06c\ub85c\ub098 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n\uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\uc651(\uc774\uc790\uc728\uc744 \uc11c\ub85c \uad50\ud658\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488) \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub294 \u2018\ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294\u2019(higher-for-longer) \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud3b8\uc774 \ub0ab\ub2e4. \uc120\ub3c4 \uace1\uc120(forward curve, \ubbf8\ub798 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uace1\uc120)\uc740 \ub9ad\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\uac00 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\uc5d0 \ub354 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4(\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801, hawkish)\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \ucd08\uc5d0 \ub098\uc654\ub358 \u201c\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c\uc77c \uac83\u201d\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \ub9de\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2a4\uc651\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\uae09(paying fixed, \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158)\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub294 \ud06c\ub85c\ub098(krona, \uc2a4\uc6e8\ub374 \ud1b5\ud654)\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc92c\ub2e4. \ud06c\ub85c\ub098\ub294 \uc720\ub85c \ub300\ube44 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, EUR\/SEK(\uc720\ub85c\/\uc2a4\uc6e8\ub374 \ud06c\ub85c\ub098 \ud658\uc728)\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uba87 \ub2ec \uc0ac\uc774 11.50\uc744 \ub118\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c 11.20 \uadfc\ucc98\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \uc635\uc158(\ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub294 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758 \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \uc554\uc2dc\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility, \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed\u2019)\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \uc810\uc744 \ubcfc \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. SEK \ucf5c(\ud06c\ub85c\ub098\ub97c \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac, \uc989 \ud06c\ub85c\ub098 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \ub54c\ub97c \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2e4\ub9cc \ucd5c\uadfc \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0, \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ub9cc\ub4e0 \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\uac00\uce58)\uac00 0.1% \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub9ad\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\uac00 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uc73c\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4(\uacbd\uae30\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ub098\ube60\uc9c0\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\ub294 \ud53c\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \ucc98\uc9c0\ub77c\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc740 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ud06c\ub85c\ub098 \ubaa8\ub450\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \ub4a4\uc9d1\ud790\uae4c? \uc2a4\uc6e8\ub374 \ub9ad\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 1.75% \ub3d9\uacb0\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc911\ub3d9 \uac08\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub3fc \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019\uc640 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131, \ud06c\ub85c\ub098 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41285","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41285","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41285"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41285\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41285"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41285"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41285"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}