{"id":41230,"date":"2026-03-16T16:44:39","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T16:44:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/bny%ec%9d%98-%eb%b0%a5-%ec%83%88%eb%b9%84%ec%a7%80%eb%8a%94-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rba-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%9d%b4-%ed%9a%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T16:44:39","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T16:44:39","slug":"bny%ec%9d%98-%eb%b0%a5-%ec%83%88%eb%b9%84%ec%a7%80%eb%8a%94-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rba-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%9d%b4-%ed%9a%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/bny%ec%9d%98-%eb%b0%a5-%ec%83%88%eb%b9%84%ec%a7%80%eb%8a%94-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b8-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rba-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%9d%b4-%ed%9a%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"BNY\uc758 \ubc25 \uc0c8\ube44\uc9c0\ub294 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA) \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 G10 \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc774 \ucda9\ubd84\uce58 \uc54a\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD)\uc758 \ud0c4\ub825\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD)\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 10\uac1c\uad6d(G10) \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub3c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \u201c\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc720\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778)\u201d\uc778 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870 \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub97c \uac00\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA) \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 AUD\ub85c\uc758 \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785(\ud574\uc678 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uae08\uc774 AUD \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc624\ub294 \ud750\ub984)\uc774 \uae09\uc99d\ud558\uc9c4 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4.\n\nAUD\/USD\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud3ed\ub113\uc740 \uc9c0\ud45c(\uc5ec\ub7ec \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ubb36\uc5b4 \ubcf8 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc131\uacfc\uac00 \ub354 \uc88b\uc558\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc\uc5d0\ub294 \u2018\ud750\ub984 \uac15\ub3c4(flow magnitude, \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\u00b7\uc720\ucd9c\uc758 \ud06c\uae30\ub97c \uc218\uce58\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uac12)\u2019\uac00 1.0\uc744 \ub118\ub294 \uc720\uc785\uc774 3\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uad50\ucc28 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc790\uae08\ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uad34\ub9ac<\/h3>\nAUD\uc758 \uc804\ubc18\uc801 \uc131\uacfc\ub294 \uad50\ucc28 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc790\uae08\ud750\ub984(cross-currency flows, USD\ub97c \uac70\uce58\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\ub294 \uc790\uae08 \uc774\ub3d9), \ud2b9\ud788 1\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ub20c\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 AUD\/USD \ud55c \uc30d\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud574, \ud1b5\ud654 \uc804\uccb4 \uc131\uacfc(\uc5ec\ub7ec \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \ud569\uce5c \uacb0\uacfc)\uac00 \ub354 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.\n\n\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 RBA\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc218\uc900(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc774\ubbf8 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd)\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574 \uc900\ub2e4\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uc644\ud654(easing, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ub3c8\uc758 \uc870\uac74\uc744 \ub290\uc2a8\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \uac83) \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \uc0ac\ub77c\uc9c0\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 AUD\uac00 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 \ub0b4\uc77c\uc778 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 17\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc5ec\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 RBA\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c\uad8c \uc911\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uac15\ud55c \uae34\ucd95(\ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uc740 \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uace0, 1\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub098\uc628 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.8%\ub85c RBA \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud558\ub294 \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(cash rate, \ud638\uc8fc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a4\ub294 \ub9d0) 4.35%\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub0ae\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740\ub370\ub3c4 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ubab0\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uc758\uc678\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc774\uc790\uc218\uc775(\uace0\uae08\ub9ac\ub85c \uc5bb\ub294 \uc218\uc775)\uacfc \uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uae30 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc AUD\/USD\ub85c \uc77c\ubd80 \uc720\uc785\uc774 \uc788\uae34 \ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc804\uccb4 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\uac8c \uac15\ud558\uc9c4 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uce58 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd \uc544\uc774\ub514\uc5b4<\/h3>\n2025\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc9c4 \uad34\ub9ac\ub294, AUD\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub2e4\ub978 \ud1b5\ud654\ub4e4 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 \ub354 \uc57d\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud070 \ud3ed \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uae30\ub300\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c, \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c AUD\/USD \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \uc804\ub7b5(yield play, \ub450 \ub098\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uac70\ub798)\uc740 \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c RBA\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc774\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(rangebound, \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9bc)\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivative, \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \uac70\ub798\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uae30\ud68c\ub294, \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ud568\uaed8 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c(\uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\u00b7\uce68\uccb4 + \ub192\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00) \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub9de\uc11c AUD \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ucabd\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 2025\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 0%\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\uace0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub77c\uba74, \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 AUD\/EUR \ub9e4\uc218(\uc720\ub85c \ub300\ube44 \ud638\uc8fc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305)\uac00 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. AUD\/EUR \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5(options strategies, \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4\/\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \uc774\uc6a9\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5)\uc740 \uc774\ub7f0 \uad34\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4(hedge, \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ub300\uc751)\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610 \ud638\uc8fc\ub294 \uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74 \ucda9\uaca9(terms-of-trade shock, \uc218\ucd9c\uac00\uaca9\uacfc \uc218\uc785\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ube44\uc728\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ubcc0\ud574 \uad6d\uac00\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\/\ubd88\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubcc0\ud654)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ubcfc \uc704\uce58\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud1a4\ub2f9 120\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc624\ub978 \uac83\uc774 \uc774\ub7f0 \uae30\ucd08 \uccb4\ub825(\ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138, \uacbd\uc81c\u00b7\uc218\uae09 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc694\uc778) \uac15\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \ud638\uc7ac(commodity tailwind, \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc5ec \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc694\uc778)\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc218\uc785\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ub9de\uc11c AUD \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc9dc\uc57c \ud560 \ub610 \ud558\ub098\uc758 \uc774\uc720\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>\u00a0<\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub0b4\uc77c RBA \ud68c\uc758 \uc55e\ub454 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec, G10 \ucd5c\ub9e4\ud30c\uc778\ub370\ub3c4 \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc740 \ubbf8\uc9c0\uadfc\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc120\uc804\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud06c\ub85c\uc2a4 \ud1b5\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ubc1c\ubaa9. \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac15\uc138\ub85c AUD\/EUR \ub9e4\uc218 \uad00\uc2ec. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41230","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41230","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41230"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41230\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41230"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41230"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41230"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}