{"id":41205,"date":"2026-03-16T13:43:36","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T13:43:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-%ec%9d%b4%ec%bd%94%eb%85%b8%eb%af%b8%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%ec%9d%b4%eb%b2%88-%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a7%80%ec%a0%95%ed%95%99%ec%a0%81-%eb%b6%88\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T13:43:36","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T13:43:36","slug":"%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-%ec%9d%b4%ec%bd%94%eb%85%b8%eb%af%b8%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%ec%9d%b4%eb%b2%88-%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a7%80%ec%a0%95%ed%95%99%ec%a0%81-%eb%b6%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-%ec%9d%b4%ec%bd%94%eb%85%b8%eb%af%b8%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%ec%9d%b4%eb%b2%88-%ec%a3%bc-%ec%a7%80%ec%a0%95%ed%95%99%ec%a0%81-%eb%b6%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub3c4\uc774\uccb4\ubc29\ud06c \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uacfc \uc720\uac00 \uc8fc\ub3c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc774\uc720\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ub3c4\uc774\uccb4\ubc29\ud06c\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve, \uc774\ud558 \u2018\uc5f0\uc900\u2019) \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c **\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uae08\ub9ac)** \uac00 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 **\ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131(\uad6d\uc81c \uc815\uc138\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \ubd88\uc548)** \uacfc **\uc720\uac00(\uc11d\uc720 \uac00\uaca9)\uc640 \uc5f0\uacb0\ub41c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc704\ud5d8** \uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n\uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 **\uc815\ucc45 \uc131\uba85(\ud68c\uc758 \ud6c4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 \uacf5\uc2dd \ubb38\uc11c)** \uc758 \ubcc0\uacbd\uc740 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc0ac\uac74\ub4e4\uc774 **\uae08\uc735 \uc5ec\uac74(\ub300\ucd9c\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc790\uae08 \uc870\ub2ec \uc870\uac74 \uc804\ubc18)** \uc5d0 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294\uc9c0, \ud2b9\ud788 **\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9** \uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc0dd\uae30\ub294\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd9c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ud575\uc2ec \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uc720\uac00 \uc704\ud5d8<\/h3>\n**\uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ube80 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)** \ub294 \uc6d4\uac04 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 0.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub450 \ub2ec \uc5f0\uc18d \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 3.1%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c, 2024\ub144 \ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4.\n\n\uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 **\uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot: \uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ud55c \ud45c)** \uac00 2026\ub144\uc5d0 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 1\ud68c** \ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \uac00\ub9ac\ud0ac \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub610 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub294 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uadfc\ucc98\ub098 \uadf8 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ud06c\uac8c \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc778\ub2e4.\n\n\uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 **\uc2e0\uaddc \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c(\u2018\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc624\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130\u2019, \uc989 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4)** \uac00 \ud68c\uc758\uc758 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \ubc14\uafb8\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uae30\uc0ac\uc5d0\ub294 AI \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc791\uc131\ub418\uace0 \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uc758 \uac80\ud1a0\ub97c \uac70\ucce4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774 \ub2f4\uacbc\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, **\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uae30\ub300)** \uacfc\ub294 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\ub2e4. **\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed funds futures: \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)** \uc740 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac70\uc758 \ub450 \ucc28\ub840\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \uc774\uc81c \uc9c0\ub098\uce58\uac8c \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 **\u2018\ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d(higher for longer)\u2019** \ub418\ub294 \ud604\uc2e4\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uc790\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n

\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uc8fc\uc2dd \ud5e4\uc9c0<\/h3>\n\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 3.1%\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub77c 2024\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. **WTI \uc6d0\uc720(\ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900 \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\ud45c)** \ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uacf5\uae09 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ucc0d\uc5c8\uace0, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uae30\uc900\uc120\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uadf8 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub118\uc73c\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 **\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5(\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\u00b7\uae30\uac04 \uc870\uac74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac\/\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd)** \uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 **\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish: \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294)** \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \ub54c\ub97c \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 **\ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ub300\ube44)** \uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\uccb4 **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)** \uc774 \uc2e4\uc81c \uc704\ud5d8\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ub410\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. **VIX(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218)** \ub294 16 \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ub0ae\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud30c\uc6d4\uc774 \uac15\uc870\ud560 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uc800\ub834\ud55c \ubcf4\ud5d8\uc73c\ub85c, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c **\ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac)** \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uba74 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub418\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 2025\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc774\ub04c\uc5c8\ub358 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc640 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc704\ud611\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74, **\ucc28\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9(\ub3c8\uc744 \ube4c\ub9ac\ub294 \ub370 \ub4dc\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9)** \uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc838\uc57c \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ub192\uc740 **\ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158(\uc8fc\uac00\uc758 \ube44\uc2fc \uc218\uc900, \uae30\uc5c5\uac00\uce58 \ud3c9\uac00)** \uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b0\ub2e4. **\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100 \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218** \uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c **\ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac)** \uc744 \uc0ac\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub354 \uac15\uacbd\ud558\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 **\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec** \uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud798\uc774 \uc2e4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. **\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY: \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)** \ub294 2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\ubbf8 \ub418\ub3cc\ub838\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4\ub294 \ucabd\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 **\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)** \uac00 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc Fed \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc720\ub825\u2014\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\u00b7\uc720\uac00\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uac00 \uad00\uac74. \ucf54\uc5b4 PCE 3.1%\ub85c \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d, \uc720\uac00 $100\uc774 \ubd84\uc218\ub839. \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019\uc5d0 \ucc44\uad8c\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41205","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41205","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41205"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41205\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41205"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41205"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41205"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}