{"id":41098,"date":"2026-03-16T00:44:32","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T00:44:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%90%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-eur-usd%eb%8a%94-1-1430-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%b0%a9%ec%96%b4%ec%a0%81\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T00:44:32","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T00:44:32","slug":"%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%90%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-eur-usd%eb%8a%94-1-1430-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%b0%a9%ec%96%b4%ec%a0%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%90%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-eur-usd%eb%8a%94-1-1430-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%b0%a9%ec%96%b4%ec%a0%81\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 EUR\/USD\ub294 1.1430 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70, \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ub9c9\ud600 1.1450 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ucd08\ubc18 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c 1.1430 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uace0 1.1450 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec(US Dollar, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubd80 \uc7a5\uad00(energy secretary, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub2f4\ub2f9\ud558\ub294 \uace0\uc704 \uad00\ub8cc) \ud06c\ub9ac\uc2a4 \ub77c\uc774\ud2b8(Chris Wright)\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \u201c\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \uc548\uc5d0\u201d \ub05d\ub0a0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8 \uad70(Israel\u2019s military, \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc758 \uad70\ub300)\uc740 \uc791\uc804\uc774 \ucd5c\uc18c 3\uc8fc \ub354 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9bc<\/h3>\n\uc8fc\ub9d0 \ub3d9\uc548 \ubbf8\uad70(US forces, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad70\ub300)\uc740 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\ucd9c \uac70\uc810\uc778 \uce74\ub974\uadf8 \uc12c(Kharg Island, \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc11d\uc720 \uc218\ucd9c\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uc12c)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uad70\uc0ac \uc2dc\uc124(military site, \uad70\ub300\uac00 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc124)\uc744 \uacf5\uaca9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839(President Donald Trump)\uc740 \uc11d\uc720 \uae30\ubc18\uc2dc\uc124(oil infrastructure, \uc11d\uc720 \uc0dd\uc0b0\u00b7\uc800\uc7a5\u00b7\uc218\uc1a1 \uc2dc\uc124)\uc740 \ud0c0\uaca9\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc774\ub780\uc740 \uc5ed\ub0b4\uc758 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad00\ub828 \uc11d\uc720 \uc2dc\uc124(US-linked oil facilities, \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc5f0\uacb0\ub41c \uc11d\uc720 \uc2dc\uc124)\uc5d0 \ubcf4\ubcf5(retaliation, \ub9de\ub300\uc751 \uacf5\uaca9)\uc744 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\ud504\ub791\uc2a4\uc758 \uc5d0\ub9c8\ub258\uc5d8 \ub9c8\ud06c\ub871 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839(France\u2019s President Emmanuel Macron)\uc740 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(Strait of Hormuz, \uc911\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc881\uc740 \ud574\ud611)\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \ud56d\ud589\uc758 \uc790\uc720(freedom of navigation, \uc120\ubc15\uc774 \uc548\uc804\ud558\uac8c \uc624\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uac00 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ud55c \ube68\ub9ac \ud68c\ubcf5\ub3fc\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ub610\ud55c \uc774\ub780 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc5d0\uac8c \ub808\ubc14\ub17c\uacfc \uc774\ub77c\ud06c\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc5ed\ub0b4 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacf5\uaca9\uc744 \uba48\ucd9c \uac83\uc744 \ucd09\uad6c(urged, \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc694\uccad)\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ud6c4\ubc18\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(central banks, \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub2f4\ub2f9\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uac00 \uae30\uad00)\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve, \u2018\uc5f0\uc900\u2019\uc774\ub77c\uace0\ub3c4 \ud558\uba70 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac(rates, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 3.5%~3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(European Central Bank, \u2018ECB\u2019\ub77c\uace0\ub3c4 \ud558\uba70 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\ub3c4 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \ub458 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n

\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uac70\ub798\uc790(traders, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4)\uc5d0\uac8c \uc774\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc635\uc158(options, \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac\/\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc720\uc6a9\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. 2022\ub144 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uc804\uc7c1 \ub54c CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(CBOE Volatility Index, \u2018VIX\u2019\ub77c\uace0 \ud558\uba70 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubd88\uc548 \uc815\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\uac00 \uba70\uce60 \ub9cc\uc5d0 20 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c 35 \uc704\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call options, \ub098\uc911\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc774\ub098 EUR\/USD \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d(currency pairs, \ub450 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \uc9dd\uc9c0\uc740 \ud658\uc728)\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put options, \ub098\uc911\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \uc0ac\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0(hedge, \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc218\ub2e8)\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc778 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(safe haven, \ubd88\uc548\ud560 \ub54c \ub3c8\uc774 \ubab0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0) \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud574\uc654\ub2e4. \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74 \uc790\uae08(capital, \ud22c\uc790 \ub3c8)\uc774 \uc720\ub7fd \uac19\uc740 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \ube60\uc838\ub098\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud45c\uc2dc \uc790\uc0b0(US-denominated assets, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \u092e\u0942\u0932\u094d\u092f\uac00 \ub9e4\uaca8\uc9c4 \uc790\uc0b0)\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc704\uae30 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub294\ub370\ub3c4 \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility, \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\u2019 \uc218\uc900)\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uba74, EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc704\ud611\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5(energy markets, \uc11d\uc720\u00b7\uac00\uc2a4 \ub4f1 \uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc744 \ud2b9\ud788 \uc8fc\uc758 \uae4a\uac8c \ubcf4\ub77c\ub294 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ud574\ud611 \ud56d\ud589\uc5d0 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc704\ud611\uc744 \ud588\uc744 \ub54c \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(Brent crude, \uad6d\uc81c \uc720\uac00\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uae30\uc900 \uc911 \ud558\ub098)\uac00 \ud558\ub8e8\uc5d0 3~4% \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6d0\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c(oil futures, \ubbf8\ub798 \uc778\ub3c4 \uc870\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc6d0\uc720 \uacc4\uc57d) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8(supply disruptions, \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \ub9c9\ud788\uac70\ub098 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900\uacfc ECB\uc758 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 \ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c(event risk, \ud2b9\uc815 \uc77c\uc815 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc704\ud5d8)\ub97c \ub354\ud55c\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774(rate differential, \ub450 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28)\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba74, \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc790\uae08 \uc774\ub3d9(flight to safety, \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc790\uae08 \uc774\ub3d9)\uc774 EUR\/USD\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758\uc640 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8(geopolitical flashpoints, \uad6d\uac00 \uac04 \uae34\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc704\ud5d8)\uc774 \uacb9\uce5c \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, EUR\/USD \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle, \uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc11c \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc774 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc120\ud0dd\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9(strike price, \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0b4\/\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \uc815\ud574 \ub454 \uac00\uaca9)\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc0ac\uc11c, \uc704\u00b7\uc544\ub798 \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd\uc774\ub4e0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uc5bb\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub807\uac8c \ud558\uba74 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45(monetary policy, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uc815\ucc45)\uacfc \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ubd84\uc7c1 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uacb9\uce60 \ub54c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub3cc\ud30c(breakout, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud280\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uba70 EUR\/USD\ub294 1.1430 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d\uc138. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900\u00b7ECB \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd \uc18d, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ubd80\uac01. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41098","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41098","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41098"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41098\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41098"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41098"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41098"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}