{"id":41074,"date":"2026-03-14T05:42:39","date_gmt":"2026-03-14T05:42:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ed%95%98%eb%a5%b4%ea%b7%b8%ec%84%ac-%ea%b5%b0%ec%82%ac%ec%8b%9c%ec%84%a4-%ed%83%80%ea%b2%a9%ed%98%bc%eb%9e%80-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d\/"},"modified":"2026-03-14T05:42:39","modified_gmt":"2026-03-14T05:42:39","slug":"%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ed%95%98%eb%a5%b4%ea%b7%b8%ec%84%ac-%ea%b5%b0%ec%82%ac%ec%8b%9c%ec%84%a4-%ed%83%80%ea%b2%a9%ed%98%bc%eb%9e%80-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ed%95%98%eb%a5%b4%ea%b7%b8%ec%84%ac-%ea%b5%b0%ec%82%ac%ec%8b%9c%ec%84%a4-%ed%83%80%ea%b2%a9%ed%98%bc%eb%9e%80-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \u201c\ubbf8\uad6d, \ud558\ub974\uadf8\uc12c \uad70\uc0ac\uc2dc\uc124 \ud0c0\uaca9\u2026\ud63c\ub780 \uc9c0\uc18d \uc2dc \uc774\ub780 \uc11d\uc720\uc2dc\uc124\ub3c4 \ud45c\uc801\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d \uacbd\uace0"},"content":{"rendered":"\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \ud398\ub974\uc2dc\uc544\ub9cc\uc758 \uce74\ub974\uadf8( Kharg ) \uc12c\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \uad70\uc0ac \ubaa9\ud45c\ubb3c\uc744 \ud0c0\uaca9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \ubc29\ud574\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2e4\uc74c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc11d\uc720 \uc2dc\uc124\uc744 \uacf5\uaca9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc791\uc804\uc744 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc0c1 \uac00\uc7a5 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ud3ed\uaca9 \uc791\uc804 \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub85c \ubb18\uc0ac\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \ubbf8\uad70\uc740 \uc11d\uc720 \uc778\ud504\ub77c(\uc0dd\uc0b0\u00b7\uc800\uc7a5\u00b7\uc218\ucd9c \ub4f1 \uc11d\uc720 \uacf5\uae09\uc5d0 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \ud575\uc2ec \uc124\ube44)\ub97c \uaca8\ub0e5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uce74\ub974\uadf8 \uc12c\uc740 \uc774\ub780 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\ucd9c\uc758 \uac70\uc758 \uc804\ubd80\ub97c \ucc98\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \uacf3\uc73c\ub85c, \uadf8\ub3d9\uc548 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc774 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \uc9c1\uc811 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \ud53c\ud588\ub358 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc774\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80 \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0 \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub85c \ud574\ub2f9 \uc12c\uc744 \uc810\ub839(\uad70\uc774 \uc601\ud1a0\ub97c \uc7a5\uc545\ud574 \ud1b5\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \uac83)\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\ub3c4 \ub17c\uc758\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc774\ub780\uc758 \ubcf4\ubcf5 \uc704\ud611<\/h3>\n\uc774\ub780\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc790\uc0b0(\uc11d\uc720\u00b7\uac00\uc2a4 \uc0dd\uc0b0, \uc800\uc7a5, \uc218\uc1a1, \ubc1c\uc804 \uc124\ube44 \ub4f1)\uc744 \uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \ubcf4\ubcf5\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc54c\uc548\ube44\uc57c \uc911\uc559\uc0ac\ub839\ubd80\ub294 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc778\ud504\ub77c\uac00 \uacf5\uaca9\ubc1b\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0 \ud611\ub825\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5\uacfc \uc5f0\uacb0\ub41c \uc11d\uc720\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc124\uc740 \u201c\uc989\uc2dc \ud30c\uad34\ub3fc \uc7bf\ub354\ubbf8\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.\n\n\uce74\ud0c0\ub974 \uad6d\ubc29\ubd80\ub294 \uc790\uad6d\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud55c \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c \uacf5\uaca9\uc744 \uc790\uad6d \uad70\uc774 \uc694\uaca9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 AFP\uac00 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc0ac\ud0dc\ub294 2\uc8fc\uc9f8 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc5ed\ub0b4 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc744 \ub354\uc6b1 \uaca9\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\nWTI\ub294 \u2018\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0 \uc911\uc9c8\uc720\u2019\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \u2018\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0 \uacbd\uc9c8\uc720(West Texas Intermediate)\u2019\ub85c, \uad6d\uc81c \uc720\uac00\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uae30\uc900\uc720(\uac00\uaca9 \uae30\uc900\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \ud45c\uc900 \uc6d0\uc720) \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub978 \uc8fc\uc694 \uae30\uc900\uc720\ub85c\ub294 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(\ubd81\ud574\uc0b0 \uae30\uc900\uc720), \ub450\ubc14\uc774\uc720(\uc911\ub3d9\uc0b0 \uae30\uc900\uc720)\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. WTI\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc0b0 \u2018\uacbd\uc9c8\uc720(\uac00\ubcbc\uc6b4 \uc6d0\uc720)\u2019\uc774\uc790 \u2018\uc2a4\uc704\ud2b8\uc720(\uc720\ud669\uc774 \uc801\uc5b4 \uc815\uc81c\uac00 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uc6d0\uc720)\u2019\uc774\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc624\ud074\ub77c\ud638\ub9c8\uc8fc\uc758 \ucfe0\uc2f1(Cushing) \uc800\uc7a5\u00b7\uc778\ub3c4(\uc2e4\ubb3c \uc778\uc218\ub3c4) \uc911\uc2ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc720\ud1b5\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\nWTI \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc218\uae09(\uacf5\uae09\uacfc \uc218\uc694), \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ucda9\uaca9(\uc804\uc7c1\u00b7\uc81c\uc7ac \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669), OPEC\uc758 \uacb0\uc815, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58 \ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc778\ub2e4. API(\ubbf8\uad6d\uc11d\uc720\ud611\ud68c)\uc640 EIA(\ubbf8 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc815\ubcf4\uccad)\ub294 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc7ac\uace0(\uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\ud718\ubc1c\uc720 \ub4f1 \ube44\ucd95\ub7c9) \ud1b5\uacc4\ub97c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294\ub370, \uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc720\uac00\ub97c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub450 \ud1b5\uacc4\ub294 75%\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uacb0\uacfc \ucc28\uc774\uac00 1% \uc774\ub0b4\uc774\uba70, API\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0, EIA\ub294 \uadf8 \ub2e4\uc74c\ub0a0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4. OPEC(\uc11d\uc720\uc218\ucd9c\uad6d\uae30\uad6c)\uc740 12\uac1c \ud68c\uc6d0\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub418\uba70 \uc5f0 2\ud68c \uc815\ub840 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc5f0\ub2e4. OPEC+\ub294 OPEC\uc5d0 \ube44\ud68c\uc6d0 \uc0b0\uc720\uad6d 10\uacf3(\ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544 \ud3ec\ud568)\uc774 \ub354\ud574\uc9c4 \ud611\uc758\uccb4\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5\uacfc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529(\ub2e8\uae30 \ub9e4\ub9e4) \uc811\uadfc<\/h3>\n\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uce74\ub974\uadf8 \uc12c \ud0c0\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc7a5 \uc2dc \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, WTI\u00b7\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud560 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc774\ub098 \uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\ub798 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc811\uadfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc218\ucd9c \uac70\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc9c1\uc811 \uad70\uc0ac \ucda9\ub3cc\uc740 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc545\ud654\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c, \uc720\uac00\uc5d0\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \u2018\uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ubd99\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\u2019\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \ud558\ub8e8 \uc11d\uc720 \uc18c\ube44\ub7c9\uc758 5\ubd84\uc758 1 \uc774\uc0c1\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc740 \uc774\uc81c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uad70\uc0ac \ucda9\ub3cc\uc758 \uc911\uc2ec\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\uacc4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc778\ud504\ub77c\uc5d0 \ubcf4\ubcf5\uc744 \uc608\uace0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uacf5\uae09\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84\uc774 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub193\uc600\ub2e4. \uc5ed\ub0b4 \uc720\uc870\uc120(\uc11d\uc720 \uc6b4\ubc18 \uc120\ubc15)\uc774\ub098 \uc2dc\uc124\uc5d0 \uc2e4\uc81c \uacf5\uaca9\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \ub6f8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uace0 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\ub3c4 \uae09\uc99d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 \uc774\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c\ub2e4. OVX(CBOE \uc6d0\uc720 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc635\uc158\uc5d0 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ub41c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131)\uc744 \uc218\uce58\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc778\ub370, \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 40 \uc548\ud30e\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4\uba74 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uac2d \uc0c1\uc2b9: \ub2e4\uc74c \uac70\ub798\uc77c\uc5d0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub2e8\uc228\uc5d0 \ub6f0\uc5b4 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\ud574 2022\ub144 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc704\uae30 \uc774\ud6c4 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uacfc\uac70 2022\ub144 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uc804\uc7c1 \ucd08\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 WTI\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 120\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \uc11d\uc720 \uc218\ucd9c \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc810\uacfc \uc5f0\uacb0\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \uacfc\uac70 \uace0\uc810 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub3c4 \ubc30\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub294 \ubaa9\ud45c \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uc7a1\ub294 \ucc38\uace0 \uc790\ub8cc\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \uac70\ub798 \uc544\uc774\ub514\uc5b4\ub85c\ub294 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uc640 WTI \uac00\uaca9 \ucc28\uc774(\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8- WTI \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc)\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc5d0 \ub354 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uae30\uc900 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub294 4\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc881\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ud398\ub974\uc2dc\uc544\ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub418\uba74 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871)\ud558\uace0 WTI \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc20f)\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ub450 \uc720\uc885 \uac04 \ucc28\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\nOPEC+\uc758 \ub300\uc751\ub3c4 \uc810\uac80\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac OPEC+\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ub8e8 350\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub418\ub294 \u2018\uc789\uc5ec \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825(\ud544\uc694 \uc2dc \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc5ec\ub825)\u2019\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc744 \ub298\ub824 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uacf5\uae09\ud558\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uac78\ub9ac\uace0, \uc804\uba74\uc801\uc778 \uad70\uc0ac \uc704\uae30 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc744 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc6b0\uae30\uc5d0 \ubd80\uc871\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 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