{"id":41071,"date":"2026-03-14T04:44:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-14T04:44:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%99%80-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4-%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-100-%eb%8f%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-03-14T04:44:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-14T04:44:12","slug":"%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%99%80-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4-%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-100-%eb%8f%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%99%80-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4-%ec%86%8d%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-100-%eb%8f%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc640 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc18d\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 100 \ub3cc\ud30c\u2026 \uae08\uac12, \uc8fc\uac04 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc549\uc544"},"content":{"rendered":"\uae08\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \uc57d 0.70% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 2% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \ub9c8\uac10\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucef8\ub2e4. \ud55c\ub54c $5,128\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc774\ud6c4 $5,032 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec(US Dollar)\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c $5,050 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(US Dollar Index: \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 0.70% \uc62c\ub77c 100.43\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960(US 10-year Treasury yield: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\uac00 10\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \ubc1c\ud589\ud560 \ub54c\uc758 \uc774\uc790 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac)\uc740 \uc57d 2.5bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8: \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p) \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 4.286%\uac00 \ub410\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\ub3c4 \uc62c\ub790\uace0, WTI(West Texas Intermediate: \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900 \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9) \ub294 \uc5f0\uc911 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc778 $113.00\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c, \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638<\/h3>\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uac00\ub9ac\ucf30\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0: \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud55c \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\ud569) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960(2\ucc28 \ucd94\uc815\uce58)\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 1.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 0.7%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. 1\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00(Core PCE inflation: \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00)\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.1%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\uace0, PCE \ubb3c\uac00(headline PCE: \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc804\uccb4 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00)\ub294 2.9%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.8%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uce74\uace0\uc0c1\ud488\uac70\ub798\uc18c(Chicago Board of Trade) \uc790\ub8cc\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 20bp(0.20%p) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud0e0\ub354\ub4dc\uc564\ub4dc\ud478\uc5b4\uc2a4(Standard &#038; Poor\u2019s: \uc2e0\uc6a9\ud3c9\uac00\uc0ac)\ub294 \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9(supply shocks: \uc804\uc7c1\u00b7\uc81c\uc7ac \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \uc904\uc5b4 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669)\uc744 \uc77c\uc73c\ucf1c \ubbf8\uad6d GDP \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ud718\ubc1c\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 2\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 20% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc62c\ub77c \uac24\ub7f0\ub2f9 $3.60\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 3\uc6d4 17~18\uc77c \uc5f0\uc900(Fed: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \ud68c\uc758\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0(Industrial Production: \uacf5\uc7a5\u00b7\uad11\uc0b0\u00b7\uc804\ub825 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9\uc744 \ud569\uce5c \uc9c0\ud45c), \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc9c0\ud45c, PPI(\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218: \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ubb3c\uac74\uc744 \ud314 \ub54c \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \uc218\uc900), \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uad6c\uac04(\ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uc9c0\uc9c0\u00b7\uc800\ud56d\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uac04)\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(support: \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uba48\ucd94\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uac00\uaca9\ub300) $5,000, 50\uc77c SMA(\ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0: \ucd5c\uadfc 50\uc77c \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9) $4,925, \uadf8\ub2e4\uc74c $4,841\uacfc $4,655\uac00 \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120(resistance: \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub9c9\ud788\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc740 $5,050, $5,100, $5,238\uc774\uba70, RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218: \uacfc\uc5f4\u00b7\uce68\uccb4\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 50 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uac01\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(\ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub2f4\ub2f9\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uad00)\uc740 2022\ub144\uc5d0 \uae08 1,136\ud1a4(\uc57d 700\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8)\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ub9e4\uc785\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc5ed\ub300 \ucd5c\uace0\uc600\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44(US Treasuries: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ubc1c\ud589\ud55c \ucc44\uad8c)\uc640 \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ub410\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>2025\ub144 2\uc6d4 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \ubd95\uad34 \ud655\uc778<\/h3>\n2025\ub144 2\uc6d4 \ub9d0\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 $5,000 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uad00\ucc30\ud558\ub358 \uc57d\uc138 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uadf8\ub9b0\ubc31(Greenback: \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc73c\ub85c \ud53c\uc2e0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uadf8 \uc774\ud6c4\ub85c\ub3c4 \uae08\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uc904\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 101.50 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uace0, 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 4.35%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub354 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc774\uc790\ub97c \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294(non-yielding: \ubcf4\uc720\ud574\ub3c4 \uc774\uc790\u00b7\ubc30\ub2f9\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294) \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08\uc774 \uc0c8 \uc790\uae08\uc5d0 \ub35c \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4.\n\n\ubb3c\uac00 \ubd88\uc548\ub3c4 \uacc4\uc18d\ub410\ub2e4. 2\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0\uc11c \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE(\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 3.2%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\uace0, \uc774\uc804 \ub2ec\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc870\uae08 \ub354 \ub192\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ucef8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\uc774\ub780 \uc81c\uc7ac \ud655\ub300 \uc774\ud6c4 WTI \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 $108 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\uac00 3\uc6d4 17~18\uc77c\ub85c \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub3c4 \ub354 \ud655\uace0\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc0ac\ub77c\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, CME FedWatch Tool(\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ud655\ub960\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c)\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 95%\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc131\uba85\uacfc \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc804\ub9dd(forward-looking guidance: \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc81c\uc2dc) \ubcc0\ud654 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\uadf8\ub9ac\uace0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>\u00a0<\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uac12\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 0.7% \ud558\ub77d, \uc8fc\uac04 2%\ub300 \ub099\ud3ed\uc774 \uc720\ub825\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. GDP \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ub048\uc801\ud55c PCE, \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uba70 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41071","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41071","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41071"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41071\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41071"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41071"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41071"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}