{"id":41024,"date":"2026-03-13T22:45:55","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T22:45:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4%ea%b0%80-4%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94-%eb%a7%8c%ec%9d%98-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98%ec%97%90-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T22:45:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T22:45:55","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4%ea%b0%80-4%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94-%eb%a7%8c%ec%9d%98-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98%ec%97%90-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4%ea%b0%80-4%ea%b0%9c%ec%9b%94-%eb%a7%8c%ec%9d%98-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%b9%98%ec%97%90-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\uac00 4\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc740\uac12\uc740 81\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"\uc740 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 3\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 2.90% \uc774\uc0c1 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc838 80.16\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0 \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc57d 3% \ud558\ub77d \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec(US Dollar, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654)\uac00 4\uac1c\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960(US Treasury yields, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ubc1c\ud589\ud55c \ucc44\uad8c\uc758 \u2018\uc774\uc790\uc728\u2019\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9)\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd(US equities, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\uc758 \uc8fc\uc2dd)\uc740 0.40%~0.43% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, 43\uc77c\uac04\uc758 \uc815\ubd80 \uc167\ub2e4\uc6b4(government shutdown, \uc608\uc0b0 \ubb38\uc81c\ub85c \uc815\ubd80 \uc5c5\ubb34\uac00 \uc77c\ubd80 \uba48\ucd98 \uc0c1\ud0dc) \uc774\ud6c4 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0, \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub41c \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\ud569) \ub450 \ubc88\uc9f8 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44(YoY, 1\ub144 \uc804 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04\uacfc \ube44\uad50) 1.4%\uc5d0\uc11c 0.7%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub410\ub2e4.\n\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc740 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9bc<\/h3>\n\uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00(Core PCE inflation, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 1\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.1%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc804\uccb4 \ubb3c\uac00(headline inflation, \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud56d\ubaa9\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc804\uccb4 \ubb3c\uac00)\ub294 2.9%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.8%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc644\ud654(Fed easing, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \uae08\uc735 \uc5ec\uac74\uc744 \ub290\uc2a8\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \uac83) \uae30\ub300\ub294 2026\ub144 \uae30\uc900 17bp\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd5c\uc18c 19.5bp\ub85c \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. (bp, \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8: \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p)\n\nWTI \uc720(WTI Oil, \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900 \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc8fc \ucd08\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc911 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc778 113.00\ub2ec\ub7ec \uadfc\ucc98\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac14\ub2e4\uac00 \uc774\ud6c4 95.90\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ud718\ubc1c\uc720(petrol) \uac00\uaca9\uc740 2\uc8fc \uc804 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac24\ub7f0\ub2f9 3.60\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 20% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. (\uac24\ub7f0: \uc561\uccb4 \uc6a9\ub7c9 \ub2e8\uc704)\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(US Dollar Index, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc14\uc2a4\ucf13\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud55c \uac12)\ub294 0.61% \uc62c\ub77c 100.35\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0, 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960(10-year Treasury yield, 10\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44\uc758 \uc774\uc790\uc728)\uc740 2.5bp \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 4.287%\uac00 \ub410\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc81c\uc7ac(sanctions, \ud2b9\uc815 \uad6d\uac00\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5\uacfc\uc758 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc870\uce58)\ub97c \ubc1b\uc740 \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc0b0 \uc11d\uc720\ub97c \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub300\ud55c 30\uc77c \uc77c\ubd80 \uc720\uc608(waiver, \uaddc\uc815\uc744 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uba74\uc81c\ud574 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc870\uce58) \uc774\ud6c4, \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc870\uce58\ub97c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5b8\uae09\ub41c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uad6c\uac04(technical levels, \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c \uc790\uc8fc \uac70\ub860\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 83.00\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 86.00\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc \uc800\ud56d(resistance, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub974\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04), 78.00\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 74.00\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc \uc9c0\uc9c0(support, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc798 \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294 \uad6c\uac04), \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 70.00\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. RSI\ub294 45 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub410\ub2e4. (RSI, \uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218: \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d\uc758 \ud798\uc744 0~100\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\n\n

\ud575\uc2ec \ub2e8\uae30 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8<\/h3>\n\ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc694\uc778\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc740 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ud575\uc2ec \uc218\uc900\uc778 81\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ubc00\uc5b4\ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\uac00 4\uac1c\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc778 100.35\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub9e4\uaca8\uc9c0\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0(\uc608: \uc740)\uc5d0\ub294 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc0dd\uae34\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 4.30% \uadfc\ucc98\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud55c, \uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc 3\uc6d4 17~18\uc77c \uc5f0\uc900(Federal Reserve, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc774 \ubaa8\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc694\uc778(catalyst, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uacc4\uae30)\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uc758 \uc57d\ud55c GDP\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(rate cuts, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83) \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, 3.1%\uc758 \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00(sticky inflation, \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc798 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00)\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcf4\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 \ucd08\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c\ub294 \ub098\uc911\uc5d0\uc57c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uc5c8\uace0, \uadf8 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\uc18d \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc7ac\uc870\uc815(repricing, \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ubc14\ub00c\uba70 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud615\uc131\ub418\ub294 \uac83)\ub41c \uc77c\uc774 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc2e0\uc911\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8(geopolitical risks, \uad6d\uac00 \uac04 \uac08\ub4f1 \ub4f1 \uc815\uce58\u00b7\uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8)\uacfc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \ub300\uc774\ub780 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0 \ubcc0\uc218(wildcard, \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ubc14\uafc0 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc608\uce21 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc694\uc18c)\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\ub294 113\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc7a0\uc2dc \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4 95.90\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc549\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uba70 \uc740\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(safe-haven, \ubd88\uc548\ud560 \ub54c \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0) \uc131\uaca9\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984(bearish momentum, \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\uc774 80\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0(psychological support, \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uac8c \ubcf4\ub294 \u2018\ub465\uadfc \uc22b\uc790\u2019 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120)\ub97c \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uae68\uba74 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc778 78\ub2ec\ub7ec \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ub354 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(strike, \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud574 \ub454 \uac70\ub798 \uac00\uaca9)\ub97c \uac00\uc9c4 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put options, \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\ub3c4 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc130\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub824\uba74 86\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \ub9c8\uac10(close, \ud558\ub8e8 \uac70\ub798\uc758 \ub9c8\uac10 \uac00\uaca9)\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc740\uac12\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9b0\ub2e4: \uc740 3\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud574 $80.16, \uc8fc\uac04 -3%. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218 4\uac1c\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9. \uc57d\ud55c GDP\u00b7\ub048\uc801 \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc18d Fed \ud68c\uc758\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ubcc0\uc218. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41024","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41024","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41024"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41024\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41024"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41024"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41024"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}