{"id":40853,"date":"2026-03-13T03:45:21","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T03:45:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T03:45:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T03:45:21","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%eb%af%b8-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%97%90-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uae08\uac12 \ud558\ub77d\u2026\ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc81c\ud55c"},"content":{"rendered":"\ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uae08\uac12\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ubc1c\ud589\ud55c \ucc44\uad8c\uc758 \uc774\uc790\uc728) \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uba70 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. XAU\/USD(\uae08\/\ub2ec\ub7ec)\ub294 \uc57d 1.20% \ub0b4\ub9b0 5,113\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uc740 13\uc77c\uc9f8\ub85c \uc811\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc5c8\uace0 \uacf5\uaca9\uc774 \uaca9\ud654\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\uc758 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \uc5c6\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc740 \uc885\uc804 \uc870\uac74\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c0\ub3c4\ubd80\ub294 \uc555\ubc15 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubd09\uc1c4(\uc6d0\uc720 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \ud575\uc2ec \ud574\ub85c\ub97c \ub9c9\ub294 \uc870\uce58) \uc720\uc9c0 \ubc29\uce68\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Strait Of Hormuz Supply Risks<\/h3>\n\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc778\uadfc \ud63c\ub780\uc740 \uc6d0\uc720 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc774 \uc720\uc870\uc120\uacfc \uc0c1\uc120(\uc0c1\uc5c5\uc6a9 \uc120\ubc15)\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub2e4. BHH \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud558\ub8e8 \uc57d 1,500\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\uc774 \uc774 \ud56d\ub85c\ub97c \ud1b5\uacfc\ud558\uba70, \uc6b0\ud68c\ub85c\ub97c \ubaa8\ub450 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc57d 1,000\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\/\uc77c \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\uad6d\uc81c\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uae30\uad6c(IEA, \uac01\uad6d\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc815\ucc45 \ud611\ub825 \uae30\uad6c)\ub294 \ube44\ucd95\uc720(\ube44\uc0c1\uc2dc \ubc29\ucd9c\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uac00 \ube44\ucd95 \uc6d0\uc720) 4\uc5b5 \ubc30\ub7f4 \ubc29\ucd9c\uc5d0 \ud569\uc758\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc911 1\uc5b57,200\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc804\ub7b5\ube44\ucd95\uc720(SPR, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80 \ube44\uc0c1\uc6a9 \uc6d0\uc720 \u0630\u062e)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7c9 \ucd94\uc815\uce58 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ubc88 \ubc29\ucd9c \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc57d 27~40\uc77c\uc744 \uba54\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(25bp, bp\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ub2e8\uc704\ub85c 1bp=0.01%p) \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc870\ucc28 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac8c \ub410\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc911\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c(\ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\ubc18 \ubd84\uc11d) \uae08\uc740 5,000~5,250\ub2ec\ub7ec \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4. RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218, \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uacfc\uc5f4\u00b7\uce68\uccb4\ub97c \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 55 \ubd80\uadfc, ADX(\ucd94\uc138 \uac15\ub3c4 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 12 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 5,200\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 5,238\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 5,115\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,932\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,556\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Positioning And Volatility Strategies<\/h3>\n\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc740 2022\ub144 \uae08 1,136\ud1a4(\uc57d 700\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc744 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc785\ud574 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\ub300\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 \ud1b5\uc0c1 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uac00\uaca9(\ub610\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac)\uacfc \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 13\uc77c \uae30\uc900 \uae08\uc740 \uac15\ud55c \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub9de\uc11c\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uac07\ud600 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubca0\ud305(\ud55c\ucabd \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0\ub9cc \uac70\ub294 \ud22c\uc790)\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\ud558\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc740 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694(\uc704\uae30 \ub54c \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc548\uc804\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5ec\uaca8\uc9c0\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638)\ub85c \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce5c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc804\uc7c1\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc6b0\ub824\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \uc18c\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \ud0dc\ub3c4)\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uae08\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\ub825\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc774 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub09c\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\ube44\ucd95\uc720 \ubc29\ucd9c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 150\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc84\ud2f0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300(\ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1)\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\uace0, \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9) \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.1%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba70 \uc774\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed funds futures, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488)\uc740 2026\ub144 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc9c0\uc6cc\ubc84\ub838\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294, \uae34\uc7a5 \uc18d \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc7a5\uc138\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b7\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc774\uc6a9\ud574 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ub300\uc2e0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5: \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\uc740 \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b \ub3d9\uc2dc \ub9e4\uc218, \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00\uc740 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b \ub3d9\uc2dc \ub9e4\uc218)\uc744 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub9cc\uae30\ub85c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74 \uc911\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ud655\uc804 \ub610\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc644\ud654\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d(\ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3)\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \ub54c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub9de\ud790 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc5c6\ub2e4.\n\n\ucc28\ud2b8\ub3c4 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc640 5,250\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc800\ud56d \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \ud6a1\ubcf4\ub97c \ud655\uc778\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc870\ud569\ud574 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4 \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uc2dc \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ucc98\ub7fc \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc124\uacc4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. CBOE \uae08 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(GVZ, \uae08 \uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 25 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uc544 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uba70 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\ub3c4 \ub192\uc740 \ud3b8\uc774\ub2e4.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 &#8211; VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uac12, \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 1.2% \ud558\ub77d\u2026\ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc5d0 \ud558\ub2e8\uc740 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub418\ub098 \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub9e4\ud30c \uac15\ud654. 5,000~5,250\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40853","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40853","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40853"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40853\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40853"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40853"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40853"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}