{"id":40807,"date":"2026-03-12T20:45:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T20:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81-%ea%b2%a9%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94%ea%b0%80-%eb%8a%98%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-eur-usd%ea%b0%80-3%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T20:45:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T20:45:00","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81-%ea%b2%a9%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94%ea%b0%80-%eb%8a%98%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-eur-usd%ea%b0%80-3%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81-%ea%b2%a9%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94%ea%b0%80-%eb%8a%98%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-eur-usd%ea%b0%80-3%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1 \uaca9\ud654\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uba74\uc11c EUR\/USD\uac00 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud574, \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ucd08\ubc18\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uba70 1.1525 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 13\uc77c\uc9f8 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc5ec\uaca8\uc9c0\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc704\uae30 \ub54c \ub354 \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(\uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud574\uc0c1 \ud1b5\ub85c)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\uc548 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc774\ub780\uc774 \uc720\uc870\uc120 2\ucc99\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud574, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \ub9c9\ud790 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824(\uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8)\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4.\n\n

\ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0<\/h3>\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218(\uc2e4\uc5c5\uae09\uc5ec\ub97c \uc0c8\ub85c \uc2e0\uccad\ud55c \uac74\uc218)\ub294 3\uc6d4 7\uc77c\ub85c \ub05d\ub09c \uc8fc\uc5d0 21\ub9cc3\ucc9c \uac74\uc73c\ub85c, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 21\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uac74\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc558\ub2e4. \uc8fc\ud0dd \ucc29\uacf5(\uc0c8\ub85c \uc9d3\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud55c \uc8fc\ud0dd \uc218)\uc740 148\ub9cc7\ucc9c \ucc44\ub85c, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 135\ub9cc \ucc44\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY, \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 99.50 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, \ub2f9\uc77c \uc57d 0.22% \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6cc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc92c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB, \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub97c \uc4f0\ub294 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uba74 7\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874(\uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub97c \uc4f0\ub294 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4)\uc740 \uc218\uc785 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc544 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc624\ub974\uba74 \uacbd\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub098\ube60\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 CME FedWatch(\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc57d 25~30bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p) \uc815\ub3c4 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc804 50bp \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e0 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \ub098\uc624\ub294 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc911\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac14\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 2%\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc694\uc778 \uc678\uc758 \ub3d9\uc778<\/h3>\n2025\ub144 \uc774 \uc2dc\uae30 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uac08\ub4f1\uc744 \ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \ub54c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub3c8\uc774 \ubab0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \u2018\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\u2019 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc9c0\uae08\uc740 \uadf8 \uc804\uc7c1 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uc704\ud5d8 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ubd99\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uc601\ud5a5)\uc774 \uc0ac\ub77c\uc84c\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \uaca9\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc88c\uc6b0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc774 \uae30\ubcf8 \ud750\ub984(\uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uccb4\ub825 \ucc28\uc774)\uc774 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ud310\ub2e8\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144 \uac08\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uc0c1\ucc98\ub97c \ub0a8\uae34 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc99d\uac00\uc728, \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc131\uc7a5\ud588\ub294\uc9c0)\uc740 0.1%\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\uace0, \ub3c5\uc77c \uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc8fc\ubb38(\uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc774 \ubc1b\uc740 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc8fc\ubb38)\uc740 2026\ub144 \ucd08\uae4c\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc815\uccb4\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 ECB\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\ud1b5\ud654 \uc644\ud654)\ub97c \uace0\ubbfc\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uac8c \ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\ubc18\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uacac\uc870\ud588\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP, \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \ube80 \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 22\ub9cc \uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c PCE \uc9c0\uc218\ub85c \ubcf8 \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)\ub294 2.8% \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc798 \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ube68\ub9ac \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \uc801\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ubc84\ud2f0\uace0 ECB\ub294 \uc644\ud654 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b0\ub294 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 EUR\/USD\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed\u2019 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58)\uc740 \uc57d 6.2%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544, \uc635\uc158\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ub834\ud55c \ud3b8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 1.0700 \uc544\ub798\ub97c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \ubc29\ubc95\uc740 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc870\ud569\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd)\ub85c \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc57d\uc138 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0, \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud30c\ub294 \uc870\ud569)\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc744 \ub54c \uc4f8 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 EUR\/USD\uac00 \uc5b4\ub290 \uc815\ub3c4\ub9cc \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub3c4 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \ucc98\uc74c\uc5d0 \ub0b4\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9(\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4, \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\ub3c4 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD 3\uc77c\uc9f8 \ud558\ub77d, 1.1525 \ubd80\uadfc: \uc804\uc7c1\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138. \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ud0c0\uaca9, ECB \uc644\ud654 \uc555\ub825\u2191. Fed\ub294 \uacac\uc870. \uc57d\uc138 \ubca0\ud305\u00b7\ud48b\uc635\uc158 \uc8fc\ubaa9. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40807","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40807","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40807"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40807\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40807"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40807"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40807"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}