{"id":40741,"date":"2026-03-12T12:43:55","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T12:43:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c%ec%9d%80-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rba%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-%eb%91%90-%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%80-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ed%95%b4-%ea%b8%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T12:43:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T12:43:55","slug":"td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c%ec%9d%80-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rba%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-%eb%91%90-%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%80-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ed%95%b4-%ea%b8%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c%ec%9d%80-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%ec%a4%91%ec%95%99%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89rba%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%a5%bc-%eb%91%90-%ec%b0%a8%eb%a1%80-%ec%9d%b8%ec%83%81%ed%95%b4-%ea%b8%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 4.35%\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD)\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"TD \uc99d\uad8c(TD Securities)\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc774 3\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac(\ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac, cash rate)\ub97c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1\ud558\uace0, 5\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc2dc 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc791\ub144\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ubd84\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824 5\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.35%\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uadfc\uac70\ub85c\ub294 \u2460 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc131\uc7a5\ub960(\uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ubb34\ub9ac \uc5c6\uc774 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5 \uc18d\ub3c4)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uace0, \u2461 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8(\uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \ub9ce\uace0 \uc0ac\ub78c \uad6c\ud558\uae30\uac00 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\ud558\uba70, \u2462 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \uc2e4\uc5c5(\uace0\uc6a9 \uc0c1\ud669)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300(\uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc774 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubbff\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc5d0 \ub354 \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ud638\uc8fc \uc218\uc694 \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \uacac\uc870<\/h3>\nS&#038;P Global\uc758 \uc885\ud569 \uc2e0\uaddc\uc8fc\ubb38(Composite New Orders) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc8fc\ubb38\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. 50\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uace0(\uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 50 \uc774\uc0c1\uc774\uba74 \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5, 50 \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc774\uba74 \uc704\ucd95\uc744 \ub73b\ud568), \uc120\uc9c4\uad6d \uacbd\uc7c1\uad6d\ub4e4 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \ud55c\ub2e4. NAB(\ub0b4\uc154\ub110 \uc624\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub808\uc77c\ub9ac\uc544 \uc740\ud589)\uc758 2\uc6d4 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc120\ud589 \uc8fc\ubb38(\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc62c \uc8fc\ubb38)\uc774 2022\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uae00\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \ub0b4 \uc5ec\uc720 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825(\uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uc5b4\ub3c4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc790\uadf9\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ub354 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \u2018\uc5ec\uc720\u2019)\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c NAIRU(\ube44\uac00\uc18d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960: \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub354 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960) \ucd94\uc815\uce58\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80\ub294 4.25%\ub85c, RBA\uac00 \uacbd\uc81c\uc785\ubc95\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(Economics Legislation Committee)\uc5d0 \ud55c \uc99d\uc5b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 4.6%\ub85c \uc778\uc6a9\ub410\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubcc0\ud654\uc640 \uc774\ub780 \uad00\ub828 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638(\uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825)\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\uace0, \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc5ec\uc720\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc815\ub9ac\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc FX(\uc678\ud658) \uac70\ub798\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n\ud638\uc8fc \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 2025\ub144 \ucd08\ucc98\ub7fc \ub2e4\uc2dc \uacfc\uc5f4(\uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub108\ubb34 \uac15\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub974\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uc0c1\ud0dc) \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 Judo Bank \ud50c\ub798\uc2dc \uc885\ud569 PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218: \uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 52.4\ub85c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc640 \uae30\uc5c5 \ud65c\ub3d9\uacfc \uc8fc\ubb38\uc774 \ub298\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud558\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 3.9%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uac15\uc138\ub294 \ub2f9\uc2dc\ucc98\ub7fc \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 3.8%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc558\uace0, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ube68\ub77c\uc84c\uc73c\uba70 RBA \ubaa9\ud45c\ubc94\uc704(2~3%)\ub3c4 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \uc555\ub825(\ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \ud798)\uc744 \ud761\uc218\ud560 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc5ec\uc720\uac00 \uac70\uc758 \uc5c6\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \ud30c\uc0dd\ub41c \uacc4\uc57d) \uac70\ub798\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac 4.35% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 RBA \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 2\ub144 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\uc651(\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\uae09 \ubc29\uc2dd\u2014\uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac\u2014\uc744 \uad50\ud658\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\uae09(pay fixed) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 RBA\uac00 \uc62c\ud574 \ud55c\ub450 \ucc28\ub840\ub77c\ub3c4 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uba74(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc624\ub974\uba74) \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c \uc2e0\ub8b0 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc758\uc9c0\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubbff\uc74c\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4) \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc 3\ub144 \uad6d\ucc44\uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74, \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc989 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 RBA\uac00 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \uc62c\ub9ac\ub824\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5)\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub978 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 AUD\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uac15\ud574\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28(\uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774)\uac00 \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \uc774 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud638\uc8fc \uae08\ub9ac \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub6f4\ub2e4: TD\ub294 RBA\uac00 3\uc6d4\u00b75\uc6d4 \uac01\uac01 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 4.35% \ubcf5\uadc0 \uc804\ub9dd. \uac15\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7CPI \uc7ac\uac00\uc18d\uc774 \uadfc\uac70. \uc2a4\uc651\u00b7\ucc44\uad8c\uc635\uc158\u00b7AUD \uac15\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ubd80\uac01. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40741","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40741"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40741\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40741"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40741"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40741"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}