{"id":40660,"date":"2026-03-12T03:41:55","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T03:41:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%86%8d-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-aud-nzd-1-2100%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%84%9c-%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98\/"},"modified":"2026-03-12T03:41:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T03:41:55","slug":"%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%86%8d-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-aud-nzd-1-2100%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%84%9c-%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%86%8d-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%eb%b3%80%eb%8f%99%ec%84%b1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80-aud-nzd-1-2100%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%84%9c-%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uc18d \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\u2026 AUD\/NZD, 1.2100\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ud558\uba70 13\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \uadfc\uc811"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/NZD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 1.2100 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 13\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\u00b7\uc774\ub780\uc774 \uc5f0\uad00\ub41c \ubd84\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub2e4. 4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900 \ud658\uc728\uc740 1.2091\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc740 2\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Official Cash Rate\u00b7\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b70.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 3.85%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\uc774 2026\ub144 2\ubd84\uae30(Q2) \ubb34\ub835 \uc815\uc810\uc744 \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4, 2028\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704(2~3%)\uc758 \uc911\uac04 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\uc640 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc601<\/h3>\n\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec\uae4c\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud574\ub3c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(OCR\u00b7\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 \uc5f0\uc911 2.25% \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucd5c\uadfc\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc18\uc601(\uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \ubc18\uc601)\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ud310\ub9e4(Manufacturing Sales)\uc640 \ud638\uc8fc 3\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300(Consumer Inflation Expectations\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960) \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uad6d\uc81c\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uae30\uad6c(IEA)\ub294 \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uacf5\uae09 \ubd80\uc871\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc804\ub7b5\ube44\ucd95\uc720(\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ube44\uc0c1\uc2dc\ub97c \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \uc6d0\uc720) 4\uc5b5 \ubc30\ub7f4\uc744 \ubc29\ucd9c\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub3c4 \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD)\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc911\uc778 20\uae30\uac04\u00b7100\uae30\uac04 SMA(\ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\u00b7\uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc774\uc740 \uc120) \uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\uace0, RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\/\ud558\ub77d\uc758 \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c 0~100\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 70\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. 1\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c RSI\ub294 76 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 1.2107, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 1.2080\u00b71.2020\u00b71.1980\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc635\uc158 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uacfc \ud575\uc2ec \uac00\uaca9\ub300<\/h3>\n\uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\uc640 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 \ub048\uc9c8\uae34 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.85%\ub85c \uc62c\ub9ac\uba70 \uc120\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4, \ubd88\uacfc \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec\uae4c\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud574\ub3c4 \ud6e8\uc52c \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ub0b4\ube44\ucce4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\ub4a4\ub530\ub77c\uac00\ub294\u2019 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc774 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uad6c\uc785\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 4.1%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c \ubc18\uba74, \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub294 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0\u00b7\ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud55c \ubd80\uac00\uac00\uce58 \ucd1d\ud569)\uac00 0.2% \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uba70 \uacbd\uae30 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \uacbd\uae30 \uc57d\uc138 \uc870\ud569\uc740 AUD\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uac15\uc138 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uacb0\uc815\ub418\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(strike\u00b7\uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \ud589\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\ub97c 1.2150 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub450\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \ud55c \uc608\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2e4\ub9cc RSI\uac00 70\uc744 \ub118\ub294 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud568\uc744 \uc694\uad6c\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubd88\ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread\u00b7\uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\uc11c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub294 1.2100 \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 1.2200 \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uba70, \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uba48\ucd94\uac70\ub098 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \uc640\ub3c4 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc 3\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub2e4. \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 RBA\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95(\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \uc62c\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ud0dc\ub3c4) \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub3fc 1.2107 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\ub825\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 1.2080\uc744 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n

\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 – VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc911\ub3d9\ubc1c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uc18d AUD\/NZD\uac00 1.2100\uc120, 13\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uace0. RBA 3.85% \uc778\uc0c1 vs RBNZ \uc2e0\uc911\ub860\uc5d0 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28 \ubd80\uac01. RSI \uacfc\uc5f4\uc5d0 1.2107 \uc800\ud56d\u00b71.2080 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40660","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40660","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40660"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40660\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40660"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40660"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40660"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}