{"id":40423,"date":"2026-03-10T21:44:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T21:44:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%95%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%93%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%eb%85%b8%eb%a5%b4%ec%9b%a8%ec%9d%b4-%ed%81%ac%eb%a1%9c%eb%84%a4nok-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-2%ec%9b%94\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T21:44:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T21:44:14","slug":"%ed%95%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%93%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%eb%85%b8%eb%a5%b4%ec%9b%a8%ec%9d%b4-%ed%81%ac%eb%a1%9c%eb%84%a4nok-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-2%ec%9b%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%95%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%93%9c-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%eb%85%b8%eb%a5%b4%ec%9b%a8%ec%9d%b4-%ed%81%ac%eb%a1%9c%eb%84%a4nok-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-2%ec%9b%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud558\ub2e4\ub4dc: \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774 \ud06c\ub85c\ub124(NOK) \uc57d\uc138\u2026 2\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00, \ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc804\ub9dd \uc0c1\ud68c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4"},"content":{"rendered":"\ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774 \ud06c\ub85c\ub124(NOK, \ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654)\ub294 \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774\uc758 2\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\uc740 \ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc778 \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c(Norges Bank)\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4. \uc804\uccb4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubcc0\ub3d9) \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.7%(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1: 2.8%, \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c: 1.9%)\ub85c, 1\uc6d4\uc758 3.6%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4.\n\n\uadfc\uc6d0 CPI(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488 \ub4f1\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.0%(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1: 3.0%, \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c: 2.6%)\ub85c 1\uc6d4\uc758 3.4%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 4\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\uc600\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc544, \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uacb0\uc815) \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc18\uc601<\/h3>\n1\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p) \ud55c \ubc88 \uc778\ud558\ud574 4\ubd84\uae30(Q4)\uc5d0 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 3.75%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucd9c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651 \uace1\uc120(\uc2a4\uc651, \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uad50\ud658\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d; \u2018\uace1\uc120\u2019\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\ubcc4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub9d0\ud568)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 12\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc720\ud734\uc790\uc6d0(\uc2a4\ud398\uc5b4 \uce90\ud37c\uc2dc\ud2f0, \uacf5\uc7a5\u00b7\ub178\ub3d9\ub825 \ub4f1\uc774 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \uc4f0\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\uc774 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc870\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 2026\ub144 \uc0b0\ucd9c\uac2d(output gap, \uc2e4\uc81c \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 \uc7a0\uc7ac \uc0dd\uc0b0\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc704\/\uc544\ub798\uc778\uc9c0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \ucc28\uc774)\uc774 \uc7a0\uc7ac GDP(\uc7a0\uc7ac \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0, \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ubb34\ub9ac \uc5c6\uc774 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc218\uc900) \ub300\ube44 \ud3c9\uade0 -0.2%\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba70, 2025\ub144\uc758 0%\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n

NOK(\ud06c\ub85c\ub124) \uac70\ub798\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n\uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ub354 \ud070 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub3fc \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\uac00 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac19\uc740 \uc644\ud654\uc801 \uc815\ucc45)\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ubcf4\uc600\ub4ef, \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 4\ubd84\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub358 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2e4\ud589\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ub300\uc2e0 \ub192\uc740 \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00(\uae30\ubcf8 \ubb3c\uac00), \ud2b9\ud788 2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 \ud3c9\uade0 3.1%\uc600\ub358 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.00%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ub9d0\ubd80\ud130 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud55c ECB(\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc640\uc758 \uc774\ub7f0 \ucc28\uc774(\uc815\ucc45 \u2018\ub514\ubc84\uc804\uc2a4\u2019, \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \uc815\ucc45)\ub294 \ud06c\ub85c\ub124\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144 \ucd08\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub358 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc6b0\ub824\ub3c4 \uacb0\uacfc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(Brent, \uc720\ub7fd \uae30\uc900 \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9)\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \uc774\ud6c4 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud574 \uc791\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\uace0, \uc774\ub294 NOK\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud588\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub294 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uacbd\uae30\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc77c\ubd80\ub97c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \ud604\uc7ac \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud558\ub2e4. \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc2dd\uc5b4\uac00\ub294 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc0b0\ucd9c\uac2d\ub3c4 \u2018\ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4\u2019\uc784\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 2% \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ub048\uc801\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00(\uc798 \uc548 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00)\uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba70, \uc774\ub294 EUR\/NOK \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d(\ub450 \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \ud658\uc728)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \ud658\uacbd\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc815\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488) \uac70\ub798\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \uc5bb\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. EUR\/NOK\ub294 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 11.50~11.70\uc758 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\uace0, \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\ubbf8\ub798 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\u2019)\ub3c4 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud3b8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle, \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\/\ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218)\uc774\ub098 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle, \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\/\ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubb3c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub098 \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c \ud68c\uc758 \uc804\uc5d0 \u2018\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704) \uc774\ud0c8\u2019\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\ub85c, \ub178\ub974\uac8c\uc2a4\ubc29\ud06c\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ub098\ub77c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \uc120\ub3c4\uc2dc\uc7a5(\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uc2dc\uc7a5, \ubbf8\ub798 \ud658\uc728\ub85c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc774 \ud765\ubbf8\ub86d\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28(\uc774\uc790\uc728 \ucc28\uc774)\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d \ud06c\ub85c\ub124\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud574, \uc720\ub85c \ub300\ube44 NOK\ub97c \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871)\ud558\uba74 \uc774\uc790 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\ubc1b\ub294\u2019 \uad6c\uc870\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc(carry trade, \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \uc0ac\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uac70\ub798)\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774\uc758 \uc784\ubc15\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\uba74 \uc720\uc9c0 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc720\uac00\uc5d0 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b0 \ub178\ub974\uc6e8\uc774 \ud06c\ub85c\ub124, \ubc18\uc804\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc600\ub2e4: 2\uc6d4 CPI \ub454\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc0c1\ud68c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\uc804\ub9dd \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4. 2025\ub144 \uace0\ubb3c\uac00\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0, \uc720\uac00 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc774 NOK \uc9c0\uc9c0, 2026\ub144 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uae30\ud68c \ubd80\uac01. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40423","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40423","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40423"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40423\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40423"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40423"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40423"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}