{"id":40420,"date":"2026-03-10T21:43:31","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T21:43:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%85%b8%eb%ac%b4%eb%9d%bc%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ec%84%a0%eb%ac%bc%ec%9d%b4-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84-%ec%88%98%ec%a4%80%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8f%8c%ec%95%84%ea%b0%88\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T21:43:31","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T21:43:31","slug":"%eb%85%b8%eb%ac%b4%eb%9d%bc%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ec%84%a0%eb%ac%bc%ec%9d%b4-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84-%ec%88%98%ec%a4%80%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8f%8c%ec%95%84%ea%b0%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%85%b8%eb%ac%b4%eb%9d%bc%eb%8a%94-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ec%84%a0%eb%ac%bc%ec%9d%b4-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%9d%b4%ec%a0%84-%ec%88%98%ec%a4%80%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8f%8c%ec%95%84%ea%b0%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub178\ubb34\ub77c\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc120\ubb3c\uc774 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uac08 \uacbd\uc6b0 ECB\uac00 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ub178\ubb34\ub77c\uc758 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ub9c8\ucf13 \ub9ac\uc11c\uce58 \ud300\uc740 **\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(Brent crude oil: \ubd81\ud574\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720\ub97c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uad6d\uc81c \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\uc640 **\ub124\ub35c\ub780\ub4dc TTF \ucc9c\uc5f0\uac00\uc2a4 \uc120\ubb3c(Dutch TTF natural gas futures: \ub124\ub35c\ub780\ub4dc TTF \uac70\ub798\uc18c\uc758 \ucc9c\uc5f0\uac00\uc2a4 \u2018\ubbf8\ub798 \uac00\uaca9\u2019 \uacc4\uc57d)**\uc774 **\ubd84\uc7c1 \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uc900**\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uac00\uc815\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c, **ECB(\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)**\uac00 **2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc14\uafb8\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c)**\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 **\uc2e4\ubb3c\uacbd\uc81c(Real economy: \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub9d0\uace0 \uc2e4\uc81c \uc0dd\uc0b0\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9\u00b7\uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uc77c\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c)**\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 **2026\ub144 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 ECB \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc57d 25bp**, **2027\ub144 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc57d 33bp**\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. **bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8: \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p)**\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uc640 \ub124\ub35c\ub780\ub4dc TTF **\uc120\ubb3c \uace1\uc120(futures curve: \ub9cc\uae30\ubcc4 \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud750\ub984)**\uc774 \uc704\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\uace0, **HICP \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(HICP inflation: \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\uc774 \ub354 \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \uc5f0\uacb0\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n

Energy Futures And Policy Implications<\/h3>\n\ub178\ubb34\ub77c\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810 \uc218\uc900\uc758 **\uc120\ubb3c \uace1\uc120**\uc774 ECB\uc758 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ub418\uba74, ECB\uac00 \uc62c\ud574 **\ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1**\uc744 \ud574\uc57c \ud558\uba70 \uccab \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 6\uc6d4\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 6\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c **\uc548\uc815(stabilise: \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc218\uc900 \uc720\uc9c0)**\ub41c\ub2e4\uba74, \uc6d0\uc720\uc640 \ucc9c\uc5f0\uac00\uc2a4 \uc120\ubb3c \uace1\uc120\uc774 **\uc6b0\ud558\ud5a5(slope downwards: \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uae38\uc218\ub85d \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ud615\ud0dc)**\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 HICP \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \u201c\uc548\uc815\u201d \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub178\ubb34\ub77c\uac00 **\ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1**\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc774 \uae00\uc740 **AI \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc791\uc131**\ub410\uace0 **\ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uac00 \uac80\ud1a0**\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc801\ud600 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n

Usd Eur Options Strategy<\/h3>\n\uc774 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \ud658\uc728\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc838 **EUR\/USD \uc635\uc158(options: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \ub0a0\uc9dc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b4\/\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)**\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 ECB \uad00\uacc4\uc790\uc758 **\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish: \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778)** \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c **\uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money: \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ud589\uc0ac\ud558\uba74 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c)** \uc720\ub85c **\ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option: \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)**\uc744 \ub0ae\uc740 \ube44\uc6a9\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740, ECB\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube68\ub9ac \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \ub54c \ud070 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\uace0 \uc190\uc2e4\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294 **\ube44\ub300\uce6d(asymmetric: \uc774\uc775 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud06c\uace0 \uc190\uc2e4\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294 \uad6c\uc870)** \ubca0\ud305\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uad00\uac74: \ub178\ubb34\ub77c\ub294 \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uac00\uc2a4\uac00 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc804 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba74 ECB\uac00 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc120\ubb3c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \ub048\uc801, \uc5f0\ub0b4 1~2\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uae30\ud68c. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40420","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40420","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40420"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40420\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40420"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40420"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40420"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}