{"id":40392,"date":"2026-03-10T18:44:07","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T18:44:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/adp-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-4%ec%a3%bc-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%90-1%eb%a7%8c5500%eb%aa%8512-8k%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T18:44:07","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T18:44:07","slug":"adp-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-4%ec%a3%bc-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%90-1%eb%a7%8c5500%eb%aa%8512-8k%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/adp-%eb%8d%b0%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-4%ec%a3%bc-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%90-1%eb%a7%8c5500%eb%aa%8512-8k%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/","title":{"rendered":"ADP \ub370\uc774\ud130, \ubbf8\uad6d 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac10 1\ub9cc5500\uba85\u202612.8K\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9"},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d ADP \uace0\uc6a9\ubcc0\ud654 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0\uc740 2\uc6d4 14\uc77c \uae30\uc900 1\ub9cc5,500\uba85(15.5K)\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\uc804 \uc218\uce58\ub294 1\ub9cc2,800\uba85(12.8K)\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc57d\ud654<\/h3>\nADP \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0\uc774 1\ub9cc5,500\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ub298\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud574\uc11d\uc5d0\ub294 \uc8fc\uc758\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \ub0ae\uc740 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c, 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984(\ubaa8\uba58\ud140)\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ud750\ub984\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub9de\ub2ff\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 2\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(Non-Farm Payrolls\u00b7\ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc2e0\uaddc \ucde8\uc5c5\uc790 \uc218, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c)\ub3c4 \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uaddc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub294 8\ub9cc5,000\uac1c\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\uace0, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.1%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uad6c\uc778 \uac74\uc218 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 JOLTS(\uad6c\uc778\u00b7\uc774\uc9c1 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c) \ucd5c\uc2e0\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uacf5\uc11d(Job Openings)\uc774 800\ub9cc \uac74 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba70 2022\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud558\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc644\ud654\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294) \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0bc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacbd\uae30 \ubd80\uc591\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c\ub97c \ub450\uba74\uc11c, \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub3c4 5\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(25bp\u00b71bp\ub294 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc774 70%\ub97c \ub118\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc8fc\uc2dd \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1) \uac70\ub798\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \u2018\ub098\uc05c \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc624\ud788\ub824 \ud638\uc7ac\u2019\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 \uc9c0\uc218 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 S&#038;P 500 \uc9c0\uc218 \uc635\uc158(SPX)\uc5d0\uc11c 4\uc6d4 \ub610\ub294 5\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(call spread\u00b7\ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubca0\ud305 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ud1b5\ud654\uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\ub825\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218 VIX(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 15 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ud604\uc7ac\ub85c\uc11c\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc774 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud3b8\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d(\uc218\uc775\ub960 \ud558\ub77d)\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44\uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158(ZN\u00b7\ubbf8 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uc120\ubb3c \ud2f0\ucee4\ub85c \ub110\ub9ac \uc4f0\uc784)\uc5d0\uc11c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uac70\ub098, SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2e8\uae30 \ubb34\uc704\ud5d8\uae08\ub9ac SOFR\uc744 \uae30\ucd08\ub85c \ud55c \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c) 3\ubd84\uae30\ubb3c\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871)\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \uc120\ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \uad00\ub828 \uacc4\uc57d\ub4e4\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\uae08\ub9ac(\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ubcf8\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud558 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074(\uc5f0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uad6d\uba74) \uc2dc\uc791\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub294 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825 \ud655\ub300<\/h3>\n\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654\ub85c \uc0b0\ucd9c\ud55c \uc9c0\uc218) \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uac70\ub098, \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 EUR\/USD \uc120\ubb3c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uac70\ub798\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658(pivot\u00b7\uae34\ucd95\uc5d0\uc11c \uc644\ud654\ub85c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc14\uafb8\ub294 \uac83) \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ucc98\uc74c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc744 \ub54c\ub3c4 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ubc1b\uc740 \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 &#8211; VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ADP 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0 \uace0\uc6a9 1.55\ub9cc\uba85\u2026NFP\u00b7JOLTS\ub3c4 \ub454\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638. \uc5f0\uc900 5\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 70%\u2191\ub85c \u2018\ub098\uc05c \uc9c0\ud45c=\ud638\uc7ac\u2019 \ubd80\uac01, \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\ucc44\uad8c \uac15\uc138\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\uc0b0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40392","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40392","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40392"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40392\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40392"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40392"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40392"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}