{"id":40241,"date":"2026-03-09T23:45:48","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T23:45:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8f%8c%ec%95%84%ec%84%9c%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-eur-usd%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ea%b0%ad-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%ed%95%98\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T23:45:48","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T23:45:48","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8f%8c%ec%95%84%ec%84%9c%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-eur-usd%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ea%b0%ad-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%ed%95%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8f%8c%ec%95%84%ec%84%9c%eb%a9%b4%ec%84%9c-eur-usd%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ea%b0%ad-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%ed%95%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc11c\uba74\uc11c EUR\/USD\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uac2d \uc774\ud6c4 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uac00 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ucd08 \ud558\ub77d \uac2d(\uc8fc\ub9d0 \ub4a4 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc2dc\uac00\uac00 \uc774\uc804 \uc885\uac00\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uac8c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uc73c\ub85c \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud55c \ub4a4 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD)\uac00 \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc120 \uc601\ud5a5\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc57d 1.1507\uc758 \uc800\uc810\uc744 \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4 1.1586 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY: \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc804\ubc18\uc801 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc5ec\ub7ec \ud1b5\ud654\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc57d 99.70 \uace0\uc810 \uc774\ud6c4 99.10 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\ubbf8\uad6d\u00b7\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\u00b7\uc774\ub780\uc774 \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uac08\ub4f1(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09\uacfc \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ucda9\ub3cc)\uc774 10\uc77c\uc9f8 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \uc88c\uc6b0\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ub0a8\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(\uc911\ub3d9 \uc0b0\uc720\uad6d\uc758 \uc6d0\uc720\uac00 \ubc14\ub2e4\ub85c \ub098\uac00\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ud1b5\ub85c)\uc744 \uc9c0\ub098\ub294 \uc11d\uc720 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub9c9\ud790 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub354 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6cc\uc84c\uace0 \uc678\ud658(FX: \ud658\uc728) \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\ub3c4 \ucee4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n

\uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc14\uafbc\ub2e4<\/h3> \n\n\uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub974\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1) \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud0a4\uc6e0\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uacc4\uc0b0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc21c\uc218\uc785(\uc218\uc785\uc774 \uc218\ucd9c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\ub77c \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uace0 \uc131\uc7a5(\uacbd\uae30)\uc744 \ub204\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ucee4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB: \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 0.25%p(=25bp, \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8: \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p \ub2e8\uc704)\uc529 \ucd5c\ub300 \ub450 \ubc88 \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \ub458 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\uc874 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc14\ub00c\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uba74\uc11c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed: \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc904\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud588\ub358 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(Nonfarm Payrolls: \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ucde8\uc5c5\uc790 \uc99d\uac10 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uac10\uc18c\uc640 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba70, \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ud568\uaed8 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669) \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4 \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \ub9ce\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac11\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218: \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654), \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 PCE(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218: Fed\uac00 \ud2b9\ud788 \ubcf4\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \uac08\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uadf8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\ub798 \uc778\ub3c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798)\uc774 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 115\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c\uba74\uc11c, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \ud658\uc728 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc11d\uc720 \uc18c\ube44\uc758 \uc57d 21%\uac00 \uc9c0\ub098\uac00\ub294 \ubcd1\ubaa9 \uad6c\uac04\uc778 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \ucc28\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacb9\uccd0, \uacf5\uae09 \uad00\ub828 \uc18c\uc2dd \ud558\ub098\ud558\ub098\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n

\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589, \u201c\ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u201d \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300<\/h3> \n\n\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc740 \uacbd\uae30\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \uae30\uc870)\uc778 \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ucde8\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\uc785 \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc544 \uc774\ubc88 \uc720\uac00 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uace7\ubc14\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 2022\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 2.8%\ub85c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc(\ub048\uc801\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00)\uc600\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, ECB\uac00 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubb34\uc2dc\ud558\uae30\ub294 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 Fed\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc0ac\ub77c\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. Fed\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \u201c\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uad6c\uac04\u201d(\ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ubaa9\ud45c \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub354 \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \ub2e8\uacc4)\uc744 \uacaa\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 CPI\ub294 3.2%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \u201c\ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u201d(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ube68\ub9ac \ub0b4\ub9ac\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0) \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uba70, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5(\ubbf8\ub798 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc740 \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804\ub9cc \ud574\ub3c4 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub358 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uc9c0\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 EUR\/USD\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubc29\ud5a5\uc740 \ud655\uc2e0\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc635\uc158(\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uac70\ub098 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac) \uac70\ub798\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\uba70 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud574\uc84c\uace0, \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\u2019\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131)\uc774 \ub354 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc778 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218)\uc774\ub098 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218)\uc744 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc73c\ub85c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \n\nWe only have to look back to the energy crisis of 2022 for a recent historical parallel. Back then, soaring natural gas prices forced the ECB into a rapid hiking cycle despite widespread recession fears, causing significant turbulence in EUR pairs. The market is now anticipating a similar playbook, where central banks must choose to fight inflation at the expense of economic growth.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc804\uc7c1\ubc1c \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ucd9c\ub801\uc774\uba70 \uac2d \ud558\ub77d \ub4a4 \ubc18\ub4f1. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300, ECB\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \u2018\ub192\uac8c \uc624\ub798\u2019\ub85c \uc120\ud68c. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ubbf8 CPI\u00b7PCE\uac00 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uacb0\uc815. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40241","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40241","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40241"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40241\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40241"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40241"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40241"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}