{"id":40175,"date":"2026-03-09T15:43:59","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T15:43:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-%ec%9d%b4%ec%bd%94%eb%85%b8%eb%af%b8%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8-%ec%82%b0%ec%a0%9c%ec%9d%b4-%eb%9d%bc%ec%9e%90-%eb%8b%a4%ec%96%91%ed%95%9c-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T15:43:59","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T15:43:59","slug":"%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-%ec%9d%b4%ec%bd%94%eb%85%b8%eb%af%b8%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8-%ec%82%b0%ec%a0%9c%ec%9d%b4-%eb%9d%bc%ec%9e%90-%eb%8b%a4%ec%96%91%ed%95%9c-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-%ec%9d%b4%ec%bd%94%eb%85%b8%eb%af%b8%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8-%ec%82%b0%ec%a0%9c%ec%9d%b4-%eb%9d%bc%ec%9e%90-%eb%8b%a4%ec%96%91%ed%95%9c-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub3c4\uc774\uccb4\ubc29\ud06c \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc0b0\uc81c\uc774 \ub77c\uc790, \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ubcc4 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\u00b7\uc601\uad6d \uc815\ubd80 \ub300\uc751 \ud3c9\uac00"},"content":{"rendered":"\ub3c4\uc774\uccb4\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uc804\uac1c\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BOE)\uacfc \uc601\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ucde8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \uc138 \uac00\uc9c0\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ubcc4 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \uc8fc\ub85c **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810**\uacfc **\uac00\uacc4 \ub300\uc0c1 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc9c0\uc6d0(\uc815\ubd80 \uc9c0\ucd9c\u00b7\uac10\uc138) \uaddc\ubaa8**\uc5d0\uc11c \uac08\ub9b0\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 1\uc740 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc7a6\uc544\ub4dc\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\ub85c, \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.25%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0ae\ucd94\uae30 \uc704\ud574 **\ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558**\ub97c \ub2e8\ud589\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc778\ud558\ub294 4~6\uc6d4(2\ubd84\uae30)\uc5d0 \ubc30\uce58\ub418\uba70, \uc774\ud6c4 7\uc6d4 \ub610\ub294 9\uc6d4(\ub2a6\uc5ec\ub984)\uc5d0 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \ub354 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Three Scenario Framework<\/h3>  \n\uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 2\ub3c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 3.25%\uae4c\uc9c0 **\ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\ud558**\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc778\ud558 \uac04\uaca9\uc740 \ub354 \uae38\ub2e4. \ud55c \ucc28\ub840\ub294 \uc5ec\ub984\uc5d0, \ub2e4\ub978 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0\u00b7\uc5f0\ucd08 \ubb34\ub835\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 8\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 \uc778\uc0c1\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc778 **\uc5f0\ub8cc\uc138(fuel duty: \ud718\ubc1c\uc720\u00b7\uacbd\uc720 \ub4f1\uc5d0 \ubd99\ub294 \uc138\uae08)**\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uc9c0\uc6d0\uc774 \ubcd1\ud589\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624 3\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc704\uae30\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\ub85c, \ud1b5\ud654 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558)\uac00 \ub2a6\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc9c0\uc6d0\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub294 **2026\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30(Q4-26)**\ub85c \ubbf8\ub904\uc9c4\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c **\ucd5c\uc885\uae08\ub9ac(terminal rate: \uc774\ubc88 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubcf4\ub294 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uc218\uc900)** \uc608\uc0c1\uc774 3.25%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.5%\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc815\ubd80\ub294 **\uc5f0\ub8cc\uc138 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc5f0\uc7a5**\uacfc **\uc5f0\ub8cc\uc138 \ud55c\uc2dc \uc778\ud558**\ub3c4 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ucd5c\uadfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \uc601\uad6d \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\uc548\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 **\uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\ub798 \uc778\ub3c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)**\uc774 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 92\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\uace0, \uc601\uad6d \ud1b5\uacc4\uccad(ONS) \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac 3.1%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc810\ub3c4 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \ub2ec\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uac08\ub798\ub85c \uac08\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc804\uac1c\ub418\ub290\ub0d0\uac00 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4. \ube60\ub978 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654\ubd80\ud130 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc704\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc138 \uac00\uc9c0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uac01 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c **\uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd(\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5b4\ub5a4 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \ucde8\ud560\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5)**\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c4\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Rates Market Positioning<\/h3>  \n\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc9c4\uc815\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uba74, \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\ud558\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc644\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c \uac04\ub2e4\uba74 2\ubd84\uae30, \ud2b9\ud788 6\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucd98 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \u2018\uc778\ud558 \uc9c0\uc5f0\u2019\uc744 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ub354 \uc624\ub798\uac00\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc774 \ub4a4\ub85c \ubc00\ub9ac\uace0, \uc5f0\ub8cc\uc138 \uc778\ud558\u00b7\uc720\uc608 \uac19\uc740 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc9c0\uc6d0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc5ec\ub984 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840, \uc5f0\ub9d0 \ubb34\ub835 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uc644\ud654 \uc77c\uc815\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud574 **\ub2e8\uae30 \uad6c\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \uacc4\uc57d(\ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uc9e7\uc544 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc2a4\uc651 \ub4f1)**\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5)\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc704\uae30\uac00 \ub354 \uc545\ud654\ub418\uba74 \uc804\ub9dd \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc14\ub00c\uc5b4 **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)**\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc740 2026\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubbf8\ub8f0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uace0, \ucd5c\uc885\uae08\ub9ac \uc608\uc0c1\ub3c4 3.25%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.5%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud070 \ubd84\uae30\uc810\uc740 **SONIA \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158(SONIA: \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \ubb34\ub2f4\ubcf4 \ud558\ub8e8\uc9dc\ub9ac \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub73b\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc9c0\ud45c\uae08\ub9ac, \uc635\uc158: \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \uc774\uc6a9\ud574 \ud070 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc190\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488)**\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 &#8211; VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc720\uac00\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \ubd88\uc548\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc774\uccb4\ubc29\ud06c, BOE \ub300\uc751 \u20183\uac08\ub798\u2019 \uc81c\uc2dc: \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9 \uc885\ub8cc\uba74 2\ud68c \uc778\ud558\u00b7\uc7ac\uc815 \ubbf8\ubbf8, \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\uba74 \uc778\ud558 2026\ub144Q4\ub85c \uc5f0\uae30\u00b7\uc5f0\ub8cc\uc138 \uc9c0\uc6d0 \ud655\ub300, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40175","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40175"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40175\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40175"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40175"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40175"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}