{"id":40166,"date":"2026-03-09T14:44:23","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T14:44:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4%ea%b0%80-%eb%8b%a4%ec%8b%9c-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b0%9c%eb%a5%bc-%eb%93%a4%eb%a9%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T14:44:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T14:44:23","slug":"%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4%ea%b0%80-%eb%8b%a4%ec%8b%9c-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b0%9c%eb%a5%bc-%eb%93%a4%eb%a9%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4%ea%b0%80-%eb%8b%a4%ec%8b%9c-%ea%b3%a0%ea%b0%9c%eb%a5%bc-%eb%93%a4%eb%a9%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uace0\uac1c\ub97c \ub4e4\uba70 \uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc6b0\u00b7S&P500\u00b7\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 \uc120\ubb3c \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uac04\uc5d0 1.74% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 46,700 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. S&P 500 \uc120\ubb3c\uacfc \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100 \uc120\ubb3c\ub3c4 \uac01\uac01 1.61%, 1.75% \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc838 6,650\uacfc 24,250 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 113.00\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c\uc790 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc120\ubb3c\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 WTI(\uc11c\ubd80 \ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720, \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900 \uc720\uc885)\ub294 \uc9c4\uc815\ub418\uba70 100.00\ub2ec\ub7ec \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc120\ubb3c \ud558\ub77d<\/h3>\n\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(\uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud56d\ub85c)\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ubd09\uc1c4\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc0b0\uc720\ub7c9(\uc11d\uc720 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9) \uac10\uc0b0(\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc744 \uc904\uc784) \uc18c\uc2dd\uc774 \ub098\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucfe0\uc6e8\uc774\ud2b8\ub294 \uc608\ubc29\uc801 \uac10\uc0b0\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\uace0, \uc774\ub77c\ud06c \ub0a8\ubd80 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9\uc740 \ud558\ub8e8 430\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\uc5d0\uc11c 130\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\ub85c \uc904\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uce74\ud0c0\ub974 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc7a5\uad00\uc740 \ud30c\uc774\ub0b8\uc15c\ud0c0\uc784\uc2a4\uc5d0 \uac78\ud504 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc0b0\uc720\uad6d\ub4e4\uc774 \uba87 \uc8fc \uc548\uc5d0 \uc218\ucd9c\uc744 \uc911\ub2e8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub294 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 150\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \uc77c\uc694\uc77c \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc744 \ubb3c\ub9ac\uce58\uace0 \uc138\uacc4 \ud3c9\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc7a5\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uce58\ub974\ub294 \u201c\uc544\uc8fc \uc791\uc740 \ub300\uac00\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud154\ub808\uadf8\ub798\ud504\ub294 \uadf8\uac00 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\ub294 \ubb34\uc870\uac74 \ud56d\ubcf5(\uc870\uac74 \uc5c6\uc774 \ud56d\ubcf5\ud558\ub294 \uac83)\ubfd0\uc774\uba70, \uc790\uc2e0\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc9c0\ub3c4\uc790 \uc120\ud0dd\uc744 \ub3d5\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4\uace0\ub3c4 \uc804\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(\uace0\uc6a9 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ud1b5\uacc4)\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba70 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\ub294 3% \ud558\ub77d \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\uace0, S&P 500\uc740 2% \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100\uc740 1.2% \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc92c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ud575\uc2ec \uc77c\uc815\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00)\uc640 PCE(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc911\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ubc1c\ud45c, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc624\ub77c\ud074\u00b7\uc5b4\ub3c4\ube44\u00b7\ud734\ub81b\ud329\ucee4\ub4dc \uc5d4\ud130\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uc758 \uc2e4\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ubc0f \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\uc120\ubb3c\uc774 \uae09\ub77d\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a4\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub354 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc704\ud5d8)\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4) \uad00\ub9ac\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(VIX, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\uac00 20% \ub118\uac8c \uae09\ub4f1\ud574 25\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uacf5\ud3ec\uac00 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c SPX(S&P 500 \uc9c0\uc218 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uae30\ucd08\uc9c0\uc218)\uc640 NDX(\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 100 \uc9c0\uc218) \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba70\uce60 \ub3d9\uc548 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubcf4\uc720 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc758 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4(\ud5e4\uc9c0, \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uac70\ub798) \ubaa9\uc801\uc774\uac70\ub098, \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uba85\ud655\ud55c \uc6d0\uc778\uc740 \uc720\uac00 \ucda9\uaca9(\uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1)\uc774\uba70, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub798 \uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6d0\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc774\ub098 XLE \uac19\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc139\ud130 ETF(\uc5ec\ub7ec \uc885\ubaa9\uc744 \ubb36\uc5b4 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\uc7a5\uc9c0\uc218\ud380\ub4dc)\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc804\uc7c1\u00b7\uc815\uce58 \ubd88\uc548 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ubd99\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \uc9c1\uc811 \ubc18\uc601\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2022\ub144 \uc911\ubc18\uc5d0\ub3c4 WTI\uac00 \uba87 \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb38 \uc801\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, \uadf8 \uc2dc\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uac00 S&P 500\uc5d0\uc11c \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \uc624\ub978 \uac70\uc758 \uc720\uc77c\ud55c \uc139\ud130\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ubc88 \uc77c\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900(Federal Reserve, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc14\uafc9\ub2c8\ub2e4. CME FedWatch(\uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ud655\ub960\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c) \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 60% \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c 20% \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uae09\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 TLT \uac19\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 ETF(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc7a5\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud558\ub294 ETF)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574, \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c 2\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.5%\ub85c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub294\ub370, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud0dc\ub3c4(\ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \uc785\uc7a5)\uac00 \uad73\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. CPI\uc640 PCE \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uc9e7\uc740 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc635\uc158(\uc77c\uc8fc\uc77c \ub2e8\uc704\ub85c \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uc124\uc815\ub41c \uc635\uc158)\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ud560 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c 2025\ub144 \ucd08\uae30 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870 \ub54c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc744 \ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, \uacf5\ud3ec\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uae09\ub77d \uc774\ud6c4 \ubd84\uc7c1 \ubc94\uc704\uac00 \ub354 \ubd84\uba85\ud574\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc77c\ubd80 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uae08\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \ubc29\uc5b4\uac00 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uad00\ub828 \ub274\uc2a4(\uc804\uc7c1\u00b7\uc678\uad50 \ub274\uc2a4)\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc14\uafc0 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\ubbc0\ub85c \uc720\uc5f0\ud558\uac8c \ub300\uc751\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc911\ub3d9 \uc804\uc7c1\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ubd09\uc1c4\ub85c \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \ubbf8 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc120\ubb3c\uc774 \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\u00b7S&P\u00b7\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 \ud558\ub77d, VIX \uae09\ub4f1. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4, CPI\u00b7PCE\uc640 \uc2e4\uc801\uc5d0 \ucd09\uac01. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40166","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40166","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40166"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40166\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40166"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40166"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40166"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}