{"id":40156,"date":"2026-03-09T13:43:51","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T13:43:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%84%b0%eb%84%88%eb%8a%94-%eb%b9%84%ec%9a%a9-%eb%b6%80%eb%8b%b4%ec%9d%b4-%ed%81%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80%ea%b0%80-iea-%eb%9e%a0%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%98-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%97%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T13:43:51","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T13:43:51","slug":"%ed%84%b0%eb%84%88%eb%8a%94-%eb%b9%84%ec%9a%a9-%eb%b6%80%eb%8b%b4%ec%9d%b4-%ed%81%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80%ea%b0%80-iea-%eb%9e%a0%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%98-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%97%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%84%b0%eb%84%88%eb%8a%94-%eb%b9%84%ec%9a%a9-%eb%b6%80%eb%8b%b4%ec%9d%b4-%ed%81%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80%ea%b0%80-iea-%eb%9e%a0%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%98-%ec%b6%94%ea%b0%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-%ec%97%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud130\ub108\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ud070 \uc720\uac00\uac00 IEA \ub7a0\ub9ac\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\ub825\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c EUR\/USD\uc758 1.15 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD\ub294 1.1500 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc720\ub294 \uc720\uac00(\uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9) \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 **\uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74(terms of trade: \uc218\ucd9c\uac00\uaca9 \ub300\ube44 \uc218\uc785\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ube44\uc728. \uc218\uc785\ud488, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uac00 \ube44\uc2f8\uc9c0\uba74 \uac19\uc740 \ubb3c\uac74\uc744 \ud314\uc544\ub3c4 \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \ub3c8\uc744 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\uc785\uc5d0 \uc368\uc57c \ud574 \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud568)** \uc774 \ub098\ube60\uc9c0\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\u2013\uc720\ub85c\uc874 **\uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774(rate differentials: \ub450 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774. \ubcf4\ud1b5 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ucabd \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 \uac15\ud574\uc9c0\uae30 \uc26c\uc6c0)** \uac00 \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc5b4\ub3c4, **\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9(energy shock: \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud070 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669)** \uc774 EUR\/USD\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n2022\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uce68\uacf5 \uc774\ud6c4 IEA\uac00 3\uc6d4 \ucd08\uc5d0 6,200\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4, 4\uc6d4 \ucd08\uc5d0 1\uc5b5 2,000\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\uc744 \ubc29\ucd9c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc774\ub0b8\uc15c\ud0c0\uc784\uc2a4\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 **3\uc5b5~4\uc5b5 \ubc30\ub7f4 \ubc29\ucd9c**\uc744 \ubc00\uc5b4\ubd99\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 IEA \ube44\ucd95\uc720\uc758 \uc57d 25~30%\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

IEA \ubc29\ucd9c\uc774 \uac00\uc838\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\nIEA\uac00 3\uc5b5~4\uc5b5 \ubc30\ub7f4 \ubc29\ucd9c\ub85c \uac00\uba74 EUR\/USD\uac00 \uc7a0\uae50 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 1.1600 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c9\ud790 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac **\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd(positioning: \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc0ac\uac70\ub098 \ud310 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc640 \ubc29\ud5a5)** \uc744 \ubcf4\uba74 \uadf8 \uad6c\uac04 \uc704\ub85c \uacc4\uc18d \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n1.1475\/1.1500 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uae68\uc9c0\uba74 **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(volatility: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uace0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)** \uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacbd\uc6b0 EUR\/USD\ub294 \ube60\ub974\uac8c 1.1400 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uac08 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144\uc5d0 EUR\/USD\uc758 1.1500 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8 \ud310\ub2e8\uc740 \ub9de\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \ud575\uc2ec **\ubc14\ub2e5 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(floor: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\ub2e4 \uc790\uc8fc \uba48\ucd94\ub294 \uad6c\uac04)** \uc740 4\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uacb0\uad6d \ubb34\ub108\uc84c\uace0, \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub358 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uc720\ub7fd \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ud070 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 1.1300 \uc704\ub97c \uc9c0\ud0a4\uae30\ub3c4 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc84c\uace0, \uacfc\uac70 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \uc774\uc81c\ub294 \uac15\ud55c **\uc800\ud56d\uc120(resistance: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub2e4 \uc790\uc8fc \ub9c9\ud788\ub294 \uad6c\uac04)** \uc774 \ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub358 \uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74 \uc545\ud654\ub294 \ud604\uc2e4\uc774 \ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. WTI \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc791\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 90\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c **\uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0(consolidated: \ud070 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc5c6\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc84\ud300)** \ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ucd5c\uadfc \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0\uc11c 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30(\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \ubd84\uae30) \ub3c5\uc77c \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 1.6% \uac10\uc18c\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc790\uae09\uc774 \ub354 \ub098\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc601\uacfc \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n\ub17c\uc758\ub410\ub358 3\uc5b5~4\uc5b5 \ubc30\ub7f4 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 IEA \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ubc29\ucd9c\uc740 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc77c\uc5b4\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 10\uc6d4\uc758 6,000\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4 **\uacf5\ub3d9 \ubc29\ucd9c(coordinated release: \uc5ec\ub7ec \ub098\ub77c\uac00 \ud568\uaed8 \ube44\ucd95\uc720\ub97c \ub0b4\ub193\ub294 \uc870\uce58)** \uc740 \uc720\uac00\ub97c \uc7a0\uae50 \ub0b4\ub838\uc744 \ubfd0\uc774\uace0, EUR\/USD\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\ub3c4 1.1600 \ud55c\ucc38 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ub05d\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\uac83\uc774 **\uc218\uae09 \ubd88\uade0\ud615(supply-demand imbalance: \uacf5\uae09\uacfc \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub9de\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ud55c\ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc3e0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc)** \uc744 \ud574\uacb0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ube68\ub9ac \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nECB\ub294 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(rate hike: \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc62c\ub9bc)** \uc744 \ud558\uba70 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \uc904\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, **\uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4(recession: \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ucd95\ub418\ub294 \uad6d\uba74)** \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uae08\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 ECB\uac00 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(rate cuts: \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ub0b4\ub9bc)** \ub97c \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud588\ub358 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \uac70\uc758 \uc0ac\ub77c\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc14\uafb8\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uacfc \ub300\ube44\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 EUR\/USD\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\uc744 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \ud3b8\uc774 \ub0ab\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 **\ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option: \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac. \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305)** \uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 1.1250 \ub610\ub294 1.1200 \uadfc\ucc98\ub85c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74 \uaca8\uc6b8 \uc800\uc810\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uacfc\uac70 1.1475\/1.1500 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740, \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \ud30c\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\n

VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc720\uac00 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74\uc744 \uc545\ud654\uc2dc\ucf1c EUR\/USD 1.1500 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uac00 \ubd95\uad34, 1.1300\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc804 \uc911\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. IEA \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ubc29\ucd9c\uc740 \ubd88\ubc1c, \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ucd95\uc18c\ub3c4 \uce68\uccb4 \uc6b0\ub824\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ub3fc \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. – vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40156","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40156","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40156"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40156\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40156"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40156"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40156"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}