{"id":40061,"date":"2026-03-09T02:42:35","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T02:42:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%84-%ec%a0%9c%ec%95%95%ed%95%98%ea%b3%a0-%ec%84%b8%ea%b3%84-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94%eb%a5%bc-%ec%a7%80%ed%82%a4%ea%b8%b0-%ec%9c%84%ed%95%b4\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T02:42:35","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T02:42:35","slug":"%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%84-%ec%a0%9c%ec%95%95%ed%95%98%ea%b3%a0-%ec%84%b8%ea%b3%84-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94%eb%a5%bc-%ec%a7%80%ed%82%a4%ea%b8%b0-%ec%9c%84%ed%95%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%84-%ec%a0%9c%ec%95%95%ed%95%98%ea%b3%a0-%ec%84%b8%ea%b3%84-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94%eb%a5%bc-%ec%a7%80%ed%82%a4%ea%b8%b0-%ec%9c%84%ed%95%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \u201c\uc774\ub780\uc744 \uc81c\uc555\ud558\uace0 \uc138\uacc4 \ud3c9\ud654\ub97c \uc9c0\ud0a4\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uac10\uc218\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \uc791\uc740 \ub300\uac00\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc774\ub780\uc744 \uc81c\uc555\ud558\uace0 \uc138\uacc4\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uacfc \ud3c9\ud654\ub97c \uc9c0\ud0a4\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uce58\ub7ec\uc57c \ud560 \u201c\uc544\uc8fc \uc791\uc740 \ub300\uac00\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ud154\ub808\uadf8\ub798\ud504\uac00 \uc77c\uc694\uc77c \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ud2b8\ub8e8\uc2a4\uc18c\uc15c(Truth Social)\uc5d0 \u201c\uc774\ub780 \ud575 \uc704\ud611\uc758 \ud30c\uad34\u201d\uac00 \ub05d\ub098\uba74 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc801\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uadf8\ub294 \ub610 \uac8c\uc2dc\uae00\uc5d0\uc11c \u201c\ub2e4\ub974\uac8c \uc0dd\uac01\ud558\ub294 \uac74 \ubc14\ubcf4\ubfd0\uc774\ub2e4! \ub300\ud1b5\ub839 DJT\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \uc37c\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc720\uac00 \ubc18\uc751\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud669<\/h3>\n\uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900 \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \ub2f9\uc77c 16.42% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 103.07\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1 \uad00\ub828 \ubcf4\ub3c4 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144 3\uc6d4 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 103\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub358 \uae09\ub4f1 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ub418\uc9da\uc5b4\ubcf4\uba74, \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \ubd88\ub7ec\uc628 \ucd08\uae30 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uacb0\uacfc\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\ub9cc\ud07c \ube60\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uace0, WTI\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac\ub3c4 \uc57d 95\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(Strait of Hormuz\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \uc0b0\uc720\uad6d \uc6d0\uc720\uac00 \uc138\uacc4\ub85c \ub098\uac00\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ud56d\ub85c)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\uba70, \uac04\ud5d0\uc801\uc778 \uc120\ubc15 \uc6b4\ud56d \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc838 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc11d\uc720 \uc18c\ube44\uc758 \uc57d 20%\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc5ec\ud30c\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 4.5%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ubc84\ud2f0\uba70, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc131\uaca9\uc758 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Fed funds rate\u00b7\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ud558\ub8e8\uc9dc\ub9ac\ub85c \uc790\uae08\uc744 \ube4c\ub824\uc904 \ub54c \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 6.0%\ub85c 20\ub144 \ub9cc\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed\u2019)\uc774 \ud2b9\ud788 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ub5a0\uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. CBOE \uc6d0\uc720 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(OVX\u00b7WTI \uc6d0\uc720 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b0\ucd9c\ud558\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 40\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974(iron condor\u00b7\ucf5c\/\ud48b \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uba74 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(premium\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c \ube44\uc6a9)\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \u2018\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\u2019\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \uc8fc\ubaa9\ubc1b\ub294\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ucd94\uac00 \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0(hedge\u00b7\uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uac70\ub798) \uc218\uc694\ub85c \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uae34 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call options\u00b7\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub3c4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uac70\uc2dc \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \ub9e4\ub9e4 \ucd08\uc810<\/h3>\n\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP\u00b7\ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc9c0\ud45c) \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc740 0.2%\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \u2018\uc218\uc694 \ud30c\uad34(demand destruction\u00b7\uac00\uaca9 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uac10\uc18c\ud558\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\u2019 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uacf5\uae09 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc788\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud611\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uacfc \uacbd\uae30 \uce68\uccb4(recession\u00b7\uc5f0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uae30 \ud6c4\ud1f4) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub9de\ubd80\ub52a\ud788\ub294 \uad6c\ub3c4\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 &#8211; VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc791\uc740 \ub300\uac00\u201d \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 WTI 16% \uae09\ub4f1, \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub85c \uace0\uc720\uac00\u00b7\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654 \uc6b0\ub824. OVX 40 \uc0c1\ud68c, \uc635\uc158 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc804\ub7b5\u00b7\ucf5c\ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubd80\uc0c1. \uacbd\uae30\ub454\ud654\ub85c \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc81c\ud55c\ub3c4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40061","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40061"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40061\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40061"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40061"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40061"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}