{"id":39947,"date":"2026-03-06T18:44:02","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T18:44:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/1%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%86%8c%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ec%bb%a8%ed%8a%b8%eb%a1%a4%ea%b7%b8%eb%a3%b9-%ec%a0%84%ec%9b%94-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-0-3%ec%a0%84%ec%9b%94-0-1%ec%97%90\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T18:44:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T18:44:02","slug":"1%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%86%8c%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ec%bb%a8%ed%8a%b8%eb%a1%a4%ea%b7%b8%eb%a3%b9-%ec%a0%84%ec%9b%94-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-0-3%ec%a0%84%ec%9b%94-0-1%ec%97%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/1%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%86%8c%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%90%eb%a7%a4-%ec%bb%a8%ed%8a%b8%eb%a1%a4%ea%b7%b8%eb%a3%b9-%ec%a0%84%ec%9b%94-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-0-3%ec%a0%84%ec%9b%94-0-1%ec%97%90\/","title":{"rendered":"1\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \ucee8\ud2b8\ub864\uadf8\ub8f9 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.3%\u2026\uc804\uc6d4 -0.1%\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1"},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4(\ucee8\ud2b8\ub864 \uadf8\ub8f9\u00b7control group)\uac00 1\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.3% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c1\uc804 \uae30\uac04\uc758 -0.1%\uc5d0\uc11c \uac1c\uc120\ub410\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub294 \ucee8\ud2b8\ub864 \uadf8\ub8f9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc774 \ub354 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uce58 \ub300\ube44 0.4%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc131\uc7a5\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n\uc774\ubc88 1\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec, 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \uc758\ubb38\uc744 \ub358\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub358 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ud070 \ud0c4\ub825\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544\uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc62c\ud574 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \uc870\uce58) \uc2dc\uc810\uacfc \ud3ed\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub530\uc838\ubd10\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0\uc11c \ud575\uc2ec \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ube80 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9)\uac00 \uc5f0\uc728 \uc57d 3.2% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 25\ub9cc\uba85 \uc774\uc0c1 \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub354\ud574\uc9c0\uba74, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uad00\ub9dd\ud560 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc989, \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(fed funds futures\u00b7\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc14\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubd88\uacfc \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804\ub9cc \ud574\ub3c4 70%\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6e0\ub358 5\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc774\uc81c 40% \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(\ub2f4\ubcf4\ubd80 \uc775\uc77c\uae08\ub9ac SOFR\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\ub85c \ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c) \ub4f1 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \u201c\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654(higher for longer\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669)\u201d\uc5d0 \ub9de\uac8c \uc870\uc815\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc8fc\uc2dd \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \uae30\ucd08\uccb4\ub825\uc774 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud558\uba74 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 S&#038;P 500 \ubc0f \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100 \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc0dd\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uad11\ubc94\uc704 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c \uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(out-of-the-money put\u00b7\ud604\uc7ac \uc9c0\uc218\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uc784\ubc15\ud55c \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30\uc18c\ube44\uc7ac \uc139\ud130(\uc18c\ube44 \uc5ec\uac74\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc5c5\uc885) \uc635\uc158\uc758 \uac15\uc138\ub3c4 \uad00\ucc30\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub4f1\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub300\uc751<\/h3>\n\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\uc874 \uae30\ub300\uc640 \ud604\uc7ac \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uad34\ub9ac\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub354 \ucd9c\ub801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218 VIX(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c S&#038;P 500\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc774\ub97c \ubc29\uc5b4(\ud5e4\uc9c0)\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c \uc635\uc158 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 &#8211; VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d 1\uc6d4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \ucee8\ud2b8\ub864\uadf8\ub8f9 +0.3% \u2018\uae5c\uc9dd \ubc18\ub4f1\u2019\u2026\uc18c\ube44\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 \uae09\ub77d. \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \ubca0\ud305 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uba70 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc0c1\ubc29 vs VIX \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uacbd\uacc4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39947","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39947","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39947"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39947\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39947"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39947"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39947"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}