{"id":39933,"date":"2026-03-06T16:44:10","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T16:44:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8d%b4%eb%a7%88%ed%81%ac-%ec%97%b0%ea%b5%ac%ec%a7%84%ec%9d%80-2026%eb%85%84-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ed%95%98%ea%b3%a0-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T16:44:10","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T16:44:10","slug":"%eb%8d%b4%eb%a7%88%ed%81%ac-%ec%97%b0%ea%b5%ac%ec%a7%84%ec%9d%80-2026%eb%85%84-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ed%95%98%ea%b3%a0-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8d%b4%eb%a7%88%ed%81%ac-%ec%97%b0%ea%b5%ac%ec%a7%84%ec%9d%80-2026%eb%85%84-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%ec%84%b8%ea%b0%80-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%ed%95%98%ea%b3%a0-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub374\ub9c8\ud06c \uc5f0\uad6c\uc9c4\uc740 2026\ub144 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2.5% \ub0b4\uc678\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uba74\uc11c \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uac00 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"Danske Research\ub294 2026\ub144 \ubbf8\uad6d GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0, \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\uc561) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c 1.8%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.0%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\uace0, 2027\ub144 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 1.7%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uad6c\uc870\uc801(\ud55c\ub450 \ubc88\uc758 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uad6c\uc870\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub294) \uc5ed\ud48d(\uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uac00\ub85c\ub9c9\ub294 \uc694\uc778) \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub178\ub3d9 \uacf5\uae09(\uc77c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c \uc218\uc640 \uadf8 \uc99d\uac00) \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc815\uccb4\ub418\uace0 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uac00\uacc4 \uc18c\ube44(\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc4f0\ub294 \uc9c0\ucd9c)\ub97c \ub204\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uace0\uc815\ud22c\uc790(\uacf5\uc7a5\u00b7\uae30\uacc4\u00b7\uac74\ubb3c \uac19\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud22c\uc790) \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801<\/h3>\n\ud300\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub974\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba70, 4\ubd84\uae30(Q4)\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc65c\uace1(\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\u00b7\ud1b5\uacc4\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\uce58\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\uc640 \ub2e4\ub974\uac8c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uc774 \ud070 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubc14\uafb8\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uac70\ube44 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub454\ud654(\uc9d1 \uad00\ub828 \ube44\uc6a9\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub290\ub824\uc9d0)\uc640 \ub2e8\uc704 \ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9(\ub178\ub3d9 1\ub2e8\uc704\ub97c \uc4f0\ub294 \ub370 \ub4dc\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9; \uc784\uae08\uacfc \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\uc74c) \uc99d\uac00\uc728 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc804\uccb4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ub204\ub974\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uad00\uc138 \uc804\uac00(\uad00\uc138 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\ub294 \uac83)\uac00 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc62c\ub9b4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc804\uccb4(\ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778) \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc804\uccb4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960) \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 2026\ub144 2.4%(\uae30\uc874 2.5%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ud5a5), 2027\ub144 2.4%(\ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc5c6\uc74c)\uc774\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0(Core) \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960) \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 2026\ub144 2.5%(\uae30\uc874 2.8%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ud5a5), 2027\ub144 2.6%(\ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc5c6\uc74c)\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900(Federal Reserve, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc774 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4\uacfc 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uac01\uac01 25bp(bp, \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8; 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8)\uc529 \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uae30\uc874\uc758 3\uc6d4\u00b76\uc6d4 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub2a6\ucdb0\uc9c4 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 2026\ub144 \ub098\uba38\uc9c0 \uae30\uac04\uacfc 2027\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ucd5c\uc885\uae08\ub9ac(terminal rate, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\/\uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ub41c \ub4a4 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud574 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uc218\uc900)\ub97c 3.00%~3.25%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\ub798\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798)\uc774 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub354 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. 2\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc5f0\uc728 3.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098, \uacbd\uae30\ub294 \ub454\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \uae09\ub77d(\uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uce68\uccb4)\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ucd5c\uc885\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 3.00%~3.25% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \ucabd\uc758 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\ud22c\uc790\uc790\uac00 \ubcf4\uc720\ud55c \ub9e4\uc218\/\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \ub178\ucd9c)\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud0c0\ub2f9\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub354 \uba3c \uae30\uac04\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, 2027\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc0bc\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4) \ub0ae\uc740 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. MOVE \uc9c0\uc218(\ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 90 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uae30\uac04\uc5d0 120\uc744 \ub118\uc5c8\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uacfc \ud06c\uac8c \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uae34 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uae38 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ud560 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 9\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub354 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\ud070 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 SPX(S&#038;P 500 \uc9c0\uc218\uc758 \uc635\uc158\/\uc9c0\uc218 \ucf54\ub4dc)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974(\ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \uc368\uc11c \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30\ub294 \ud06c\uac8c \ub354 \uac15\ud574\uc838\uc11c \uc704\ub85c \ub6ab\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\uc871\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud558\ub2e8(\ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \ud798)\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \u2018\uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5 + \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \ubb3c\uac00\u2019 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc608\uce21 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uac8c \ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c, \uc0dd\uac01\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud560\uae4c? Danske\ub294 2026 GDP \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 2.0%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5, 2027\uc740 1.7% \uc720\uc9c0. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\ub294 \uc548\uc815, Fed\ub294 6\u00b79\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud6c4 3.00~3.25% \uc720\uc9c0 \uc608\uc0c1. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39933","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39933","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39933"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39933\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39933"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39933"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39933"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}