{"id":39894,"date":"2026-03-06T11:43:20","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T11:43:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8d%b4%ec%8a%a4%ec%bc%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%97%b0%ea%b5%ac%ec%a7%84-2%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80%ec%84%b8-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%8b%a4\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T11:43:20","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T11:43:20","slug":"%eb%8d%b4%ec%8a%a4%ec%bc%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%97%b0%ea%b5%ac%ec%a7%84-2%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80%ec%84%b8-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%8b%a4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8d%b4%ec%8a%a4%ec%bc%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%97%b0%ea%b5%ac%ec%a7%84-2%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80%ec%84%b8-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%8b%a4\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub374\uc2a4\ucf00\uc740\ud589 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc9c4 \u201c2\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc138 \ub454\ud654 \uc804\ub9dd\u2026\uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 4.3%\ub85c \ubcf4\ud569, \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9 \uc8fc\ubaa9\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"Danske Bank\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c 2\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud588\ub2e4. \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc790\uc218(Nonfarm Payrolls, \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc2e0\uaddc \ucde8\uc5c5\uc790 \uc218)\ub294 1\uc6d4 13\ub9cc \uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 2\uc6d4 7\ub9cc \uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud558\uace0, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.3%\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c \ucd08\ub2e8\uae30(\ub9e4\uc8fc\u00b7\ub9e4\uc77c \ub4f1 \uc790\uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 2\uc6d4 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \ub354 \ub2e8\ub2e8\ud574\uc84c\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218(\ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9\uc744 \uc2e0\uccad\ud55c \uac74\uc218), ADP\uc758 \uc8fc\uac04 \ubbfc\uac04\uace0\uc6a9 \ucd94\uc815\uce58(\ubbfc\uac04 \uae09\uc5ec \uc790\ub8cc\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uace0\uc6a9 \ucd94\uc815), Indeed Hiring Lab\uc758 \uc77c\uac04 \uad6c\uc778 \uacf5\uace0(\uc628\ub77c\uc778 \ucc44\uc6a9\uacf5\uace0 \ub370\uc774\ud130)\uac00 \ud3ec\ud568\ub410\ub2e4. 2\uc6d4 28\uc77c\ub85c \ub05d\ub09c \uc8fc\uc758 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\ub294 21\ub9cc3\ucc9c \uac74\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>High Frequency Labor Signals<\/h3>\n\uc5f0\uc18d \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c(\uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \ubc1b\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c \uc218)\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4. 2\uc6d4 \ucc4c\ub9b0\uc800 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(\uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uac10\uc6d0\u00b7\ucc44\uc6a9 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc9d1\uacc4\ud55c \uc790\ub8cc)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uac10\uc6d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 \uacc4\uc808\uc870\uc815 \uae30\uc900 1\uc6d4 10\ub9cc8\ucc9c \uac74\uc5d0\uc11c 2\uc6d4 4\ub9cc8,300\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uc904\uc5c8\uace0, \ucc44\uc6a9 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n4\ubd84\uae30 \u2018\uc18d\ubcf4\uce58\u2019 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131 \uc99d\uac00\uc728(\ub178\ub3d9 1\uc2dc\uac04\ub2f9 \uc0b0\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00)\uc740 \uc5f0\uc728 \uae30\uc900 \uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 2.8%\ub85c, 3\ubd84\uae30 5.2%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0, \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub41c \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\ud569) \uc9c0\ud45c \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uc704\ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9(\uc0dd\uc0b0 1\ub2e8\uc704\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ub370 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac00\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9) \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc740 \uc5f0\uc728 \uae30\uc900 \uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 2.8%\ub85c, 3\ubd84\uae30 -1.8%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc804\ud658\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac(\uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960)\uc640 \uc2a4\uc651\uae08\ub9ac(\uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\uc651\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uace0\uc815\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9 \uae08\ub9ac) \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0\ub3c4 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c VIX \uc9c0\uc218(\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019), MOVE \uc9c0\uc218(\ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c), ITRAX \uac19\uc740 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ud68c\uc0ac\ucc44 \ub4f1 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac00\uc0b0\uae08\ub9ac) \ud655\ub300\ub97c \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\uc73c\uba70, Schatz ASW \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ub3c5\uc77c 2\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\uc651 \uac04 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28)\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Derivative Positioning For Volatility<\/h3>\n\ud604\uc7ac 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 27\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c 3.9%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ucc44\uc6a9\uc740 \uac15\ud55c\ub370 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \u2018\uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uc2e0\ud638\u2019\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud589\ubcf4\ub97c \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\uae30\uac00 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc2a4\uc651 \ub4f1 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uac70\ub798) \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 \uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \ud0a4\uc6b8 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc9c4\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144 \ucd08\ucc98\ub7fc \uac15\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uace7\ubc14\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uad6d\uba74\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac, \uc9c0\uae08\uc740 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. MOVE \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 105 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uc544, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5(\uc608: \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4, \uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd)\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.\n\n\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 1\ub144 \uc804\ucc98\ub7fc \uacbd\uacc4 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4. VIX \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 14 \uc548\ud30e\uc758 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, S&#038;P 500 \uac19\uc740 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcf4\ud638\uc6a9 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ub834\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \u2018\uc2fc \ubcf4\ud5d8\u2019\uc744 \uc0ac\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801 \uc120\ud0dd\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c 2025\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub048\uc9c8\uacbc\ub358 \ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9 \uc555\ub825\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud588\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc790\ub8cc\ub294 \uc2dc\uac04\ub2f9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc784\uae08\uc774 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 2% \ubb3c\uac00\ubaa9\ud45c\uc640 \ub9de\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \u2018\ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\u2019\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud30c\uc0dd \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\uc608: \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\uc651\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\uae09, \uc989 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \u2018\ud398\uc774 \ud53d\uc2a4\ub4dc\u2019 \uac70\ub798)\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 &#8211; VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \ud5a5\ubc29 \uac00\ub97c \ubd84\uc218\ub839. \uace0\uc6a9 \ub454\ud654 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ucd08\ub2e8\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uacac\uc870. \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\u00b7\uc784\uae08 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300, \uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc2a4\uc651 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39894","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39894","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39894"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39894\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39894"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39894"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39894"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}