{"id":39823,"date":"2026-03-06T06:51:24","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T06:51:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-4%ec%a3%bc%eb%ac%bc-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ec%9e%85%ec%b0%b0-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-3-64%ec%a7%81%ec%a0%84-3-625%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T06:51:24","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T06:51:24","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-4%ec%a3%bc%eb%ac%bc-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ec%9e%85%ec%b0%b0-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-3-64%ec%a7%81%ec%a0%84-3-625%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-4%ec%a3%bc%eb%ac%bc-%ea%b5%ad%ec%b1%84-%ec%9e%85%ec%b0%b0-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-3-64%ec%a7%81%ec%a0%84-3-625%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d 4\uc8fc\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uc785\ucc30 \uae08\ub9ac 3.64%\u2026\uc9c1\uc804 3.625%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9"},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 4\uc8fc\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44(Treasury bills\u00b7\ub9cc\uae30 1\ub144 \uc774\ud558\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44)\ub97c \uc785\ucc30(auction\u00b7\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ucc44\uad8c\uc744 \ud310\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd)\ub85c \ubc1c\ud589\ud558\uba70 \ub099\ucc30\uc218\uc775\ub960(yield\u00b7\ud22c\uc790\uc790\uac00 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc218\uc775\ub960)\uc744 3.64%\ub85c \ud655\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c1\uc804 \ube44\uad50\uce58(\uc774\uc804 \ubc1c\ud589\ubd84\uc758 \uc720\uc0ac \ub9cc\uae30 \ub099\ucc30\uc218\uc775\ub960)\ub294 3.625%\uc600\ub2e4.\n\n\ub450 \uc218\uce58\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 0.015%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\ub294 \uc785\ucc30 \uacb0\uacfc\uc640 \uc55e\uc11c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uc775\ub960\ub9cc\uc744 \ube44\uad50\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uae30\ub300<\/h3>\n4\uc8fc\ubb3c T-bill(\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c) \uc785\ucc30\uc218\uc775\ub960\uc774 3.64%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc810\uc740 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30 \ucc44\uad8c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uac00\ub85c \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ubcf4\uc0c1\uc744 \uc694\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud558\uba70, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \ud0dc\ub3c4(\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801)\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4 CPI(Consumer Price Index\u00b7\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.2%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba70, \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58(\ud1b5\uc0c1 2% \ub0b4\uc678)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uc640 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c SOFR(\ub2f4\ubcf4\ubd80 \uc775\uc77c\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \ub2f4\ubcf4\ub85c \ud55c \ud558\ub8e8\uc9dc\ub9ac \uae08\ub9ac) \uc120\ubb3c(futures\u00b7\ubbf8\ub798 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc870\uc815\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub41c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. CME FedWatch Tool(\uc2dc\uce74\uace0\uc0c1\ud488\uac70\ub798\uc18c\uc758 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc740 4\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b70.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 35%\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \uc804\uc77c 28%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \uc218\uce58\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305) \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ud5e4\uc9c0(hedge\u00b7\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uac70\ub798)\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824 \ub300\uc0c1\uc774 \ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc8fc\uc640 \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\uac00 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\uae30 \uc27d\ub2e4. \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100 \uac19\uc740 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ubcf4\ud638\uc6a9 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \uc0dd\uac01\ud574\ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. VIX(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218\u00b7S&#038;P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec \uc9c0\uc218\u2019)\uac00 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc 17.5\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c, \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc800\uc810 15\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc810\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub2e8\uae30 \uad6c\uac04(\ud504\ub7f0\ud2b8\uc5d4\ub4dc\u00b7\ub9cc\uae30 1\ub144 \uc548\ud30e\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac) \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc758 \uc791\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub354 \ud070 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubbf8\uc138\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc548\ub0b4(\ud3ec\uc6cc\ub4dc \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\u00b7\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc0ac\uc804 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0)\uac00 \ub354 \ubd84\uba85\ud574\uc9c0\uae30 \uc804\uc758 \uacbd\uace0 \uc2e0\ud638 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud558\uace4 \ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud328\ud134\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74 \uc774\ubc88 \uc785\ucc30 \uacb0\uacfc \uc5ed\uc2dc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc758 \uc120\ud589 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcfc \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc720\ub85c, \uc5d4 \uac19\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc218 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \ubcf4\uc720)\uc744 \ub298\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58 \uc9c0\uc218)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 &#8211; VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 4\uc8fc\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uc785\ucc30\uc218\uc775\ub960 3.64%\ub85c 0.015%p \uc0c1\uc2b9. CPI 3.2%\u00b7FedWatch 4\uc6d4 25bp \uc778\uc0c1\ud655\ub960 35%\ub85c \ub9e4\ud30c \uacbd\uacc4 \ud655\uc0b0. \uc8fc\uc2dd \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac15\uc138 \ubca0\ud305 \uc7ac\ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39823","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39823","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39823"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39823\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39823"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39823"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39823"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}