{"id":39719,"date":"2026-03-05T23:44:16","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T23:44:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%8a%a4%ec%bd%94%ed%8b%b0%ec%95%84%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-3%ec%9b%94-fomc%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-03-05T23:44:16","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T23:44:16","slug":"%ec%8a%a4%ec%bd%94%ed%8b%b0%ec%95%84%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-3%ec%9b%94-fomc%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%8a%a4%ec%bd%94%ed%8b%b0%ec%95%84%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-3%ec%9b%94-fomc%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%97%b0%eb%b0%a9%ec%a4%80%eb%b9%84%ec%a0%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc2a4\ucf54\ud2f0\uc544\uc740\ud589 \uc804\ub7b5\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 3\uc6d4 FOMC\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uba70 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uad00\ub9dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 3\uc6d4 18\uc77c FOMC(\uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc815\ud558\ub294 \ud68c\uc758) \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed, \uc5f0\uc900: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud1a0\uc694\uc77c\ubd80\ud130 \uc2dc\uc791\ub418\ub294 \ucee4\ubba4\ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc158 \ube14\ub799\uc544\uc6c3(\ubc1c\uc5b8 \uae08\uc9c0 \uae30\uac04: \ud68c\uc758 \uc804 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uc5f0\uc900 \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uacf5\uac1c \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \uc790\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uac04) \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc758 \uacf5\uac1c \uc77c\uc815\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2e0\uaddc\u00b7\uc5f0\uc18d \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c(\uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uc2e0\uccad \uac74\uc218: \ud574\uace0\ub098 \uc2e4\uc9c1\uc774 \ub298\uc5c8\ub294\uc9c0 \uc904\uc5c8\ub294\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba70(\uc99d\uac00\uc138\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uac70\ub098 \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba70) \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5(\uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc774 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae30) \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300(\uac00\uaca9 \ubc18\uc601)\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810<\/h3>\n\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5(\ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub9cc\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc740 2025\ub144\uc5d0 \uc57d 40bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8: 0.01%p, 40bp\ub294 0.40%p) \uc644\ud654\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4\uc774\ub098 4\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uace0, 6\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub294 10bp(0.10%p) \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\ub2e4.\n\n25bp(0.25%p) \uc778\ud558\ub294 9\uc6d4\uc774 \ub418\uc5b4\uc11c\uc57c \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c\ub2e4. \uac15\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d\/\uc774\ub780 \uac08\ub4f1(\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5) \uc774\ud6c4 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n\ucd5c\uadfc ISM \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(ISM \uacbd\uae30\uc9c0\ud45c: \uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uacfc \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2ec\ub9ac(\uacbd\uae30 \uccb4\uac10)\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub410\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc18d\ub3c4\ub97c \ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\uc640 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc601\ud5a5<\/h3>\n2025\ub144 \ucd08\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uac15\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uacc4\uc0b0\ub410\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc88b\uc740 ISM \uc218\uce58 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uccab \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \ub354 \ub4a4\ub85c \ubbf8\ub904 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \uc774\ud574\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uacc4\uc18d\ud574\uc11c \ub098\uc624\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc774\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub354 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7fd\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uadfc\uac70\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 2\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38 \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9(\uae09\uc5ec\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc99d\uac00\ubd84)\uc774 27\ub9cc 5\ucc9c \uba85 \ub298\uba70 \uac15\ud55c \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 3.7%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 1\uc6d4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00)\uc5d0\uc11c \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00(\ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud070 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00)\uac00 2.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc720\uc9c0\ub3fc, \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c(\ubcf4\ud1b5 2% \uc548\ud30e)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 3\uc6d4 17\uc77c FOMC \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc815\ubcf4\uac00 \ubd80\uc871\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \ud68c\uc758 \uc804 \ube14\ub799\uc544\uc6c3 \uae30\uac04\uc73c\ub85c, \uad00\uacc4\uc790 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uac70\uc758 \uc5c6\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 CME FedWatch Tool(\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \ub3c4\uad6c: \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ubc88 \ub2ec \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \ub458 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 95% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 25bp \uc778\ud558\ub294 7\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\uc57c \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ubd88\uacfc \ub450 \ub2ec \uc804\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud558\uba74 \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158(\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc120\ud0dd\uad8c: \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \uac70\ub798) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 6\uc6d4 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(SOFR: \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ud45c\uc801 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubb34\uc704\ud5d8 \uae08\ub9ac, \uc774\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4 \ub610\ub294 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5: \uc704\uc544\ub798 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ubaa8\ub450\uc758 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95, \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\uc218)\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\ub4e0 \ub0ae\uac8c \ub098\uc624\ub4e0(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \u2018\ub728\uac81\uac8c\u2019 \ub610\ub294 \u2018\ucc28\uac11\uac8c\u2019 \ub098\uc624\ub4e0) \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc0dd\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub354 \ub4a4\ub85c \ubc00\ub9ac\uba74, \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uace1\uc120(yield curve, \ub9cc\uae30\ubcc4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ubaa8\uc591) \uc55e\ub2e8(\ub2e8\uae30 \uad6c\uac04)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc(carry trade: \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uac70\ub798) \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub85c, \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ud314\uace0 \ub354 \uae34 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc778\ud558 \uc9c0\uc5f0\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubc00\uc5b4\ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\u00b7ISM \ud638\uc870\uc640 \ub048\uc801\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\ub85c 3~6\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc6b0\uc138, \uccab 25bp \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ud558\ubc18\uae30. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\uce90\ub9ac \uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39719","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39719","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39719"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39719\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39719"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39719"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39719"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}