{"id":39696,"date":"2026-03-05T17:45:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T17:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%b0%a5-%ec%83%88%eb%b9%84%ec%a7%80%eb%8a%94-ecb%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%82%b4%eb%a5%bc-%ec%b4%89%ea%b5%ac%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4\/"},"modified":"2026-03-05T17:45:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T17:45:00","slug":"%eb%b0%a5-%ec%83%88%eb%b9%84%ec%a7%80%eb%8a%94-ecb%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%82%b4%eb%a5%bc-%ec%b4%89%ea%b5%ac%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%b0%a5-%ec%83%88%eb%b9%84%ec%a7%80%eb%8a%94-ecb%ea%b0%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%82%b4%eb%a5%bc-%ec%b4%89%ea%b5%ac%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubc25 \uc0c8\ube44\uc9c0\ub294 ECB\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ub0b4\ub97c \ucd09\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc790\uc0b0\uc774 \uc774\ub780 \uc8fc\ub3c4\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ucde8\uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uc720\ub85c\uc874(\uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub97c \uc4f0\ub294 \uc9c0\uc5ed) \uc790\uc0b0\uc740 \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5f0\uacb0\ub41c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9(\uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8)\uacfc \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB, \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ub354 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc774\uc790\uc728)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0c8\ub2e4.\n\nBNY(\ub274\uc695\uba5c\ub860\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac70\uc2dc\uc804\ub7b5 \ucd1d\uad04(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\uccb4 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ud070 \ud2c0\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\ub294 \ucc45\uc784\uc790) \ubc25 \uc0c8\ube44\uc9c0\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \ub354 \ud070 \uc7ac\uc815 \ubd80\uc591(\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc9c0\ucd9c\u00b7\uac10\uc138\ub85c \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uacfc \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(spread, \ub450 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ucc44\uad8c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc758 \ucc28\uc774) \ubcc0\ud654\ub85c \uae08\uc735\uc5ec\uac74(\ub300\ucd9c\u00b7\uc790\uae08\uc870\ub2ec\uc774 \uc26c\uc6b4\uc9c0 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4\uc9c0\uc758 \ud658\uacbd)\uc774 \uae34\ucd95(\ub3c8\uc904\uc774 \uc870\uc774\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5)\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud558\ub77c\ub294 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300(\uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc774 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc774\ub77c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\ub97c \ud1b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>ECB Signals Patience On Energy Shock<\/h3>\nECB\uc758 \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uad00\ub828 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\ub294 EU(\uc720\ub7fd\uc5f0\ud569) \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5(\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ubc1c\ud589\ud55c \uad6d\ucc44\uac00 \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc758 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6e0\uace0, \ud2b9\ud788 \ud504\ub791\uc2a4\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc120\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud504\ub791\uc2a4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ucd1d\uc7ac \ud504\ub791\uc218\uc544 \ube4c\ub974\ub8e8\uc544 \ub4dc \uac08\ub85c\ub294 \ud604 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \uc5c6\uc73c\uba70, 2\uc8fc \ub4a4 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\ube4c\ub974\ub8e8\uc544 \ub4dc \uac08\ub85c\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc77c\ud68c\uc131(\ud55c \ubc88 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uace0 \ub05d\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud070) \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9\uc740 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \u2018\ubb34\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc9c0\ub098\uac00\ub294\u2019(\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ubc14\uafb8\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294) \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc9c0\uae08 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 2022\ub144 \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uce68\uacf5 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae09\ub4f1(\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc624\ub978 \uc0c1\ud669)\uacfc\ub294 \ube44\uad50\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uadf8\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \uc720\ub7fd \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ubd80\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ucda9\uaca9(\uc131\uc7a5\uacfc \uc18c\ube44 \ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub098\uc05c \uc601\ud5a5)\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. ECB \ubd80\ucd1d\uc7ac \ub8e8\uc774\uc2a4 \ub370 \uadc4\ub3c4\uc2a4\ub294 \uc774\uc81c \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \u201c\ub2e4\ub978 \uc811\uadfc\u201d\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Positioning Implications For Rates And Fx<\/h3>\n\uc624\ub298\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130(\uc9c0\ud45c)\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74, 2025\ub144\uc758 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub294 \ud0c0\ub2f9\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(\uad6d\uc81c \uc720\uac00\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uae30\uc900) \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 \uc57d 82\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uadf8 \ubd84\uc7c1 \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc758 \uace0\uc810\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uace0 2022\ub144\uc758 120\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc815\uc810\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub3c4 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc9c4\uc815\ub418\uba74 \uae34\uae09\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(\uae09\ud558\uac8c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \ub300\uc751)\uc744 \ubd80\ucd94\uae30\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uace0, ECB\uac00 \uad00\ub9dd(\uc870\uae08 \ub354 \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcf4\ub294 \ud0dc\ub3c4)\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ud798\uc774 \uc2e4\ub9b0\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960) \uc218\uce58\ub294 2\uc6d4 2.6%\ub85c, \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 2%\ub97c \ud5a5\ud574 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae30\ucd08\uc801\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac19\uc740 \uc77c\uc2dc \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud574\ub3c4 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \ud798)\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc989 2025\ub144 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uc6b0\ub824\ud588\ub358 \uac83\ucc98\ub7fc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uad73\ud788\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ucd94\uc138(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \ud750\ub984)\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc6b4\uc6a9\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ub113\ud78c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \ubc30\uacbd\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, ECB\uac00 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 \uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub3c8\uc774 \ub3cc\uae30 \uc27d\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5)\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\ub294 \ucabd\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \uc57d 90bp(bp, \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8: \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%p) \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc18\uc601(\uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \ud3ec\ud568)\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub798\uc11c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\uc651(\uc774\uc790 \uc9c0\uae09 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc744 \uc11c\ub85c \ubc14\uafb8\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \u2018\uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\ucde8\u2019(\uace0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1b\ub294 \ucabd \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\uc544 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uac70\ub798)\ub97c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778)\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub014 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \uc5bb\ub294\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\uc900(Fed, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uacfc\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774(\ub514\ubc84\uc804\uc2a4, \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\ub294 \uac83)\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \uacc4\uc18d \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc635\uc158(\ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b4\/\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488)\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 EUR\/USD(\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728) \uc20f(\ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ub298\ub9ac\uace0, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \uc548\uc5d0 1.08 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. ECB\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub35c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc774\uba74(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub35c \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub354 \ube68\ub9ac \ub0b4\ub9ac\uba74) \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ub354 \uc790\uc5f0\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2e4\ub9cc \ud504\ub791\uc2a4 \uac19\uc740 \ub098\ub77c\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc6b0\ub824(\uc815\ubd80 \ubd80\ucc44\u00b7\uc801\uc790\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac71\uc815)\ub294 \uc0ac\ub77c\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uad6d\ucc44 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uac00 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \ud655\ub300(\uad6d\uac00 \uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uac00 \ucee4\uc9d0)\ub418\uac70\ub098 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ucee4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44(\ud5e4\uc9c0, \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc0c1\uc1c4)\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 VSTOXX(\uc720\ub7fd \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub97c \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc758 \uc608\uae30\uce58 \ubabb\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ub0ae\uc740 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124<\/a>\ud558\uace0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791<\/a>\ud558\uc138\uc694. <\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\ubc1c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 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