{"id":39622,"date":"2026-03-05T01:43:57","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T01:43:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%a4%ec%9a%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%eb%8a%94-adp%ec%99%80-ism-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4%eb%a5%bc-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b4\/"},"modified":"2026-03-05T01:43:57","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T01:43:57","slug":"%eb%8b%a4%ec%9a%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%eb%8a%94-adp%ec%99%80-ism-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4%eb%a5%bc-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%a4%ec%9a%b0%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%eb%8a%94-adp%ec%99%80-ism-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ea%b0%80-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94-%ec%9a%b0%eb%a0%a4%eb%a5%bc-%ec%99%84%ed%99%94%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 ADP\uc640 ISM \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc644\ud654\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud654\uc694\uc77c\uc758 \uae09\ub77d\ubd84\uc744 \ub9cc\ud68c\ud574 312\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c 48,807\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218(Dow Jones Industrial Average)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 312\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(0.65%) \uc624\ub978 48,807\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc804\ub0a0(\ud654\uc694\uc77c) \uc7a5\uc911 \ud55c\ub54c \ucd5c\ub300 1,200\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(1.2K)\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4\uac00, \uacb0\uad6d 403\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ub0b4\ub9b0 \ucc44 \ub9c8\uac10\ud55c \ub4a4 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 48,368\uc5d0 \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud574 48,853\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uc9c0\ub9cc, 50\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(50-day exponential moving average: \ucd5c\uadfc 50\uc77c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub450\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120) 48,979 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\nS&#038;P 500 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 0.87% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c 6,875, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 \uc885\ud569\uc9c0\uc218(Nasdaq Composite)\ub294 1.47% \uc624\ub978 22,847\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00\ub294 \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uac08\ub4f1\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ub0a8\uc544 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc751\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc0f \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8<\/h3>\nADP\ub294 2\uc6d4 \ubbfc\uac04 \ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 6\ub9cc3\ucc9c \uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4(\uc608\uc0c1 5\ub9cc \uba85). 1\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub294 1\ub9cc1\ucc9c \uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\uc815\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI(\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218: \uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 53.8\uc5d0\uc11c 56.1\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\uace0(\uc608\uc0c1 53.5 \uc0c1\ud68c), \uc2e0\uaddc \uc8fc\ubb38\uc740 58.6, \uc9c0\ubd88\uac00\uaca9(\uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc6d0\uc7ac\ub8cc\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ube44\uc6a9\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\uc81c \uc9c0\ubd88\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc918 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0)\uc740 63\uc774\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9(Nonfarm Payrolls: \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218) \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub294 6\ub9cc \uba85\uc73c\ub85c, 1\uc6d4 13\ub9cc \uba85\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc784\uae08\uc740 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44(MoM: \uc804\uc6d4\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uc728) 0.3%, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44(YoY: 1\ub144 \uc804\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uc728) 3.7%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.3% \uc804\ub9dd\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c(215K: 21\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uac74), \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131, \ub2e8\uc704\ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9(\uc0c1\ud488 1\ub2e8\uc704\ub97c \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub4dc\ub294 \ub178\ub3d9\ube44)\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uace0, \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 3\uc6d4 18\u201319\uc77c FOMC(\uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c: \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ud68c\uc758) \uc804\uc5d0 \ubca0\uc774\uc9c0\ubd81(Beige Book: \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc9c0\uc5ed\ubcc4 \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uc815\ub9ac\ud55c \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c)\uc774 \uacf5\uac1c\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(Brent crude: \uad6d\uc81c \uc720\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \uc6d0\uc720)\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c 85.12\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4 \uc57d 81\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ucf67 \ubca0\uc13c\ud2b8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\uc774 \ud398\ub974\uc2dc\uc544\ub9cc \uc6d0\uc720 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc548\uc815\ud654\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(Strait of Hormuz: \uc911\ub3d9 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uae38\ubaa9) \ud63c\ub780\uc740 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \uc120\ubc15\uc744 \ubcf4\ud5d8\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ud638\ud558\uace0 \ud638\uc704\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc57d\uc18d\ub3c4 \ub098\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud06c\ub77c\uc6b0\ub4dc\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub77c\uc774\ud06c(CrowdStrike)\ub294 \uc870\uc815 EPS(Adjusted EPS: \uc77c\ud68c\uc131 \ube44\uc6a9\u00b7\uc218\uc775 \ub4f1\uc744 \ube7c\uc11c \ubcf8 \uc8fc\ub2f9\uc21c\uc774\uc775) 1.12\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ub9e4\ucd9c 13\uc5b51\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc21c \uc2e0\uaddc ARR(Annual Recurring Revenue: \uc5f0\uac04 \ubc18\ubcf5 \ub9e4\ucd9c, \uc8fc\ub85c \uad6c\ub3c5\ud615 \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc758 \uc5f0\uac04 \ud658\uc0b0\uce58)\uc740 3\uc5b53,100\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc600\uace0, \uae30\ub9d0 \ucd1d ARR\uc740 50\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2027\ud68c\uacc4\uc5f0\ub3c4 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4(\ud68c\uc0ac \uc804\ub9dd\uce58)\ub294 \ub9e4\ucd9c 58\uc5b57\ucc9c\ub9cc~59\uc5b53\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec, EPS 4.78~4.90\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud0c0\uae43(Target)\uc740 \uc870\uc815 EPS 2.44\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\uace0 2026\ub144 20\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud22c\uc790 \uacc4\ud68d\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\uc73c\uba70 EPS \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4\ub294 7.50~8.50\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud540\ud130\ub808\uc2a4\ud2b8(Pinterest)\ub294 \ud589\ub3d9\uc8fc\uc758 \ud380\ub4dc \uc5d8\ub9ac\uc5c7(Elliott)\uc758 10\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\ubd84 \ubcf4\uc720\uc640 35\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0ac\uc8fc \ub9e4\uc785 \uacc4\ud68d\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \ubc15\uc2a4(Box)\ub294 6% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd 30\uac1c\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub418\uba70, \uac00\uaca9\uac00\uc911 \ubc29\uc2dd(Price-weighted: \uc2dc\uac00\ucd1d\uc561\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \u2018\uc8fc\uac00\u2019\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc885\ubaa9\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ub354 \ud070 \ubc29\uc2dd)\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacc4\uc0b0\uc5d0\ub294 \ub514\ubc14\uc774\uc800(divisor: \uc9c0\uc218 \uc0b0\ucd9c\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \ub098\ub204\ub294 \uc870\uc815\uac12) 0.152\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uba70, \ucc30\uc2a4 \ub2e4\uc6b0(Charles Dow)\uac00 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790 \ub178\ucd9c\uc740 DIA \uac19\uc740 ETF(\uc0c1\uc7a5\uc9c0\uc218\ud380\ub4dc: \uc8fc\uc2dd\ucc98\ub7fc \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218 \ucd94\uc885 \ud380\ub4dc), \uc120\ubb3c(Futures: \ubbf8\ub798 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d), \uc635\uc158(Options: \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac), \ubba4\ucd94\uc5bc\ud380\ub4dc \ub4f1\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc5bb\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0 \uc774\ub860(Dow Theory: \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uacfc \uc6b4\uc1a1\ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ubcf4\uba70 \ud070 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d)\uc740 DJIA(\ub2e4\uc6b0 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0)\uc640 DJTA(\ub2e4\uc6b0 \uc6b4\uc1a1\ud3c9\uade0)\ub97c \ube44\uad50\ud558\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 3\ub2e8\uacc4(\ub9e4\uc9d1: \ud070\uc190\uc774 \uc870\uc6a9\ud788 \uc0ac\ub294 \ub2e8\uacc4, \ub300\uc911 \ucc38\uc5ec: \uc77c\ubc18 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uac00 \ubcf8\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucc38\uc5ec, \ubd84\uc0b0: \ud070\uc190\uc774 \ud30c\ub294 \ub2e8\uacc4)\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>\u00a0<\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae09\ub77d \ud6c4 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \ubbf8 \uc99d\uc2dc, \ub2e4\uc74c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7Fed\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9\uc774 \uc88c\uc6b0\ud55c\ub2e4! \ub2e4\uc6b0 +312(50\uc77c\uc120 \ud558\ud68c), S&#038;P\u00b7\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 \uc0c1\uc2b9. ADP\u00b7ISM \uac15\uc138, NFP\u00b7CPI \uc8fc\uc2dc. \uc720\uac00 \uc644\ud654\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5\uc2e4\uc801\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubd80\uac01. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39622","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39622","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39622"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39622\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39622"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39622"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39622"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}