{"id":39606,"date":"2026-03-04T21:43:58","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T21:43:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/2%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-ism-%ec%84%9c%eb%b9%84%ec%8a%a4-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%ec%a7%80%eb%b6%88%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-%ec%a0%84\/"},"modified":"2026-03-04T21:43:58","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T21:43:58","slug":"2%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-ism-%ec%84%9c%eb%b9%84%ec%8a%a4-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%ec%a7%80%eb%b6%88%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-%ec%a0%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/2%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-ism-%ec%84%9c%eb%b9%84%ec%8a%a4-%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%ec%a7%80%eb%b6%88%ea%b0%80%ea%b2%a9%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-%ec%a0%84\/","title":{"rendered":"2\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218(\uc9c0\ubd88\uac00\uaca9)\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70, \uc804\uc6d4 66.6\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ubc88 \ub2ec 63\uc73c\ub85c \uc644\ud654\ub410\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d ISM(\uacf5\uae09\uad00\ub9ac\ud611\ud68c) \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubd80\ubb38 \u2018\uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\ubd88(Prices Paid, \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubd88\ud55c \uac00\uaca9)\u2019 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 2\uc6d4\uc5d0 63\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uce58\uc778 66.6\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c \uc804\uc6d4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ub290\ub824\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \ub454\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638<\/h3>\n\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubd80\ubb38 \uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\ubd88 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 63\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uac83\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc2dd\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uba85\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc624\ub974\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ubc88 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubd80\ubb38 \uac00\uaca9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uccab \ubc88\uc9f8 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Federal Reserve, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc774 \uae34\ucd95\uc801(\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801, \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc624\ub798 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294) \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc7a0\uc2dc \uba48\ucd9c \uadfc\uac70\ub97c \ub354\ud574\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 1\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE(Core PCE, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub354 \uc798 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.1%\ub85c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74 \ub354 \uadf8\ub807\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\uc81c \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\ub798\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac11\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc870\uc815\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(federal funds futures, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)\uc774 7\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 40% \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774 \uc218\uce58\ub294 50%\ub97c \ub118\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(SOFR futures, \u2018\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubb34\ub2f4\ubcf4 \uc775\uc77c\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac(SOFR)\u2019\ub97c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c)\uc5d0\uc11c 3~4\ubd84\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\ud22c\uc790 \ubc29\ud5a5, \ub9e4\uc218\/\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ubcf4\uc720 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc774 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc778 \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1) \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5\uac00\uce58 \ud3c9\uac00(\ud560\uc778\uc728\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc838 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ud6a8\uacfc)\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option, \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc73c\ub85c S&#038;P 500(S&#038;P 500 \uc9c0\uc218, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud615\uc8fc 500\uac1c\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub41c \ub300\ud45c \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\uc758 \u2018\uc548\ub3c4 \ub7a0\ub9ac(\uc545\uc7ac \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc904\uba70 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \ubc18\ub4f1)\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \ud3ed)\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(VIX, S&#038;P 500\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \ud3c9\uade0\uc778 16\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4\uba74 VIX \uc120\ubb3c(VIX futures, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\ub85c \ud55c \uc120\ubb3c)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775)\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 2024\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ubcf4\uc600\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub5a0\uc62c\ub9ac\uac8c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \ubcf4\uc774\uba74, \uc5f0\uc900 \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(\uc644\ud654\uc801, \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \uc644\ud654 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc120\ud638)\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7f0 \ub54c\ub9c8\ub2e4 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ud070 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ubc88 \uc18c\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub2e4\uc18c \ub192\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc218\uce58\uc640 \uc2f8\uc6b0\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub77c\uba74, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud588\ub358 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774(\ub450 \ub098\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ucc28)\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c EUR\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc624\ub97c \ub54c \uc774\uc775) \ub9e4\uc218\ub098 USD\/JPY \uc120\ubb3c(\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \ud658\uc728 \uc120\ubb3c) \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\uc218 2\uc6d4 63\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d(\uc804\uc6d4 66.6)\ud558\uba70 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638. \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\u2191, SOFR\u00b7S&#038;P500 \ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7VIX \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub85c EUR\/USD \ucf5c\u00b7USD\/JPY \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc8fc\ubaa9. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39606","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39606","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39606"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39606\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39606"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39606"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39606"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}