{"id":39506,"date":"2026-03-03T21:44:53","date_gmt":"2026-03-03T21:44:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-realclearmarkets-tipp-%ec%9b%94%ea%b0%84-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%eb%82%99%ea%b4%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%ea%b0%80-3%ec%9b%94%ec%97%90-47-5%eb%a5%bc-%ea%b8%b0%eb%a1%9d%ed%95%b4-%ec%a0%84\/"},"modified":"2026-03-03T21:44:53","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T21:44:53","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-realclearmarkets-tipp-%ec%9b%94%ea%b0%84-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%eb%82%99%ea%b4%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%ea%b0%80-3%ec%9b%94%ec%97%90-47-5%eb%a5%bc-%ea%b8%b0%eb%a1%9d%ed%95%b4-%ec%a0%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-realclearmarkets-tipp-%ec%9b%94%ea%b0%84-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%eb%82%99%ea%b4%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98%ea%b0%80-3%ec%9b%94%ec%97%90-47-5%eb%a5%bc-%ea%b8%b0%eb%a1%9d%ed%95%b4-%ec%a0%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d RealClearMarkets\/TIPP \uc6d4\uac04 \uacbd\uc81c \ub099\uad00\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 3\uc6d4\uc5d0 47.5\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud574, \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 50.1\uc744 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 RealClearMarkets\/TIPP \uacbd\uc81c \ub099\uad00 \uc9c0\uc218(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uacbd\uc81c\ub97c \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 3\uc6d4\uc5d0 47.5\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 50.1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 3\uc6d4 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 50.0 \uc218\uc900 \uc544\ub798\uc600\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44(\ud55c \ub2ec \uc804\uacfc \ube44\uad50) \uc218\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n\uacbd\uc81c \ub099\uad00 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 47.5\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 50.1\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc11\ub3c8 \uac83\uc740 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \ube44\uad00(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uacbd\uc81c\ub97c \ub354 \ub098\uc058\uac8c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uba85\ud55c \uc2e0\ud638\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uac8c \ub098\uc628 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc774 \ub354 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uae30\uac04 \uc548\uc5d0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 VIX(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc57d\ud55c \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900(Federal Reserve, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(\ub300\ucd9c\u00b7\uc608\uae08 \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)\uc774 \uac00\uacc4 \uc7ac\uc815(\uac00\uc815\uc758 \ub3c8 \uc0ac\uc815)\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc804 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83)\ub97c \ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ucee4\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44(\ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uae34 \uc815\ubd80 \ucc44\uad8c)\uac00 \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c, TLT \uac19\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 ETF(\uc5ec\ub7ec \uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \ubb36\uc5b4 \uc8fc\uc2dd\ucc98\ub7fc \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 S&#038;P 500 \uac19\uc740 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801(\uc190\uc2e4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294) \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7fd\uac8c \ubcf4\uace0, SPY \uac19\uc740 ETF\uc5d0 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc18c\ube44 \ub454\ud654\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc870\uc815(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc704\ud5d8 \ubd84\uc0b0) \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c \uc18c\ube44 \uc57d\ud654\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 \uc5c5\uc885\ubcc4 \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \uc870\uc815\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30\uc18c\ube44\uc7ac(\uacbd\uae30 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc18c\ube44\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uc5c5\uc885) \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc11c, XLY \uac19\uc740 ETF\uc5d0 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ud544\uc218\uc18c\ube44\uc7ac(\uacbd\uae30\uc640 \uad00\uacc4\uc5c6\uc774 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uc18c\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc0dd\ud65c\ud544\uc218\ud488 \uc5c5\uc885, \uc608: XLP)\ucc98\ub7fc \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801\uc778 \uc5c5\uc885\uc740 \ub354 \ubc84\ud2f8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc11c, \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc601\uc5ed\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774 \ube44\uad00\uc801 \uad00\uc810\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c\ub3c4 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \ud68c\uc804\uc2e0\uc6a9 \uc794\uc561(\uc2e0\uc6a9\uce74\ub4dc\ucc98\ub7fc \ud55c\ub3c4 \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uacc4\uc18d \ube4c\ub9ac\uace0 \uac1a\ub294 \ub300\ucd9c\uc758 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae08\uc561)\uc774 1.4\uc870 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.9%\ub85c \ub454\ud654(\uc99d\uac00 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ub290\ub824\uc9d0)\ub41c \uc810\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud569\uce58\uba74, \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc758 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ubd84\uba85\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd(\uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ubc8c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uc774\uc775 \ucd94\uc815\uce58)\uc5d0 \uc545\uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Consumer Balance Sheet Stress<\/h3>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \ub099\uad00\uc9c0\uc218 3\uc6d4 47.5\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1 50.1 \ud558\ud68c, 50\uc120 \uc544\ub798 \uce68\uccb4 \uc2e0\ud638. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \ub300\ube44 VIX \ucf5c, TLT \ucf5c, SPY\u00b7XLY \ud48b, XLP \ubc29\uc5b4. \uc18c\ube44\u00b7\uc2e0\uc6a9 \ubd80\ub2f4, \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39506","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39506","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39506"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39506\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39506"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39506"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39506"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}