{"id":39258,"date":"2026-02-26T11:32:56","date_gmt":"2026-02-26T11:32:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%9c%ec%84%a0%eb%90%9c-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98-%ec%84%a0%ed%98%b8%eb%8f%84%ec%99%80-%eb%8d%9c-%eb%b9%84%eb%91%98%ea%b8%b0%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81\/"},"modified":"2026-02-26T11:32:56","modified_gmt":"2026-02-26T11:32:56","slug":"%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%9c%ec%84%a0%eb%90%9c-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98-%ec%84%a0%ed%98%b8%eb%8f%84%ec%99%80-%eb%8d%9c-%eb%b9%84%eb%91%98%ea%b8%b0%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8f%84%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b4%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%9c%ec%84%a0%eb%90%9c-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98-%ec%84%a0%ed%98%b8%eb%8f%84%ec%99%80-%eb%8d%9c-%eb%b9%84%eb%91%98%ea%b8%b0%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub3c4\uc774\uccb4\ubc29\ud06c\ub294 \uac1c\uc120\ub41c \uc704\ud5d8 \uc120\ud638\ub3c4\uc640 \ub35c \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uc5ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0b0\uad70\uc5d0\uc11c **\uc704\ud5d8 \uc120\ud638**(\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ub354 \uc704\ud5d8\ud55c \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc0ac\ub824\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5)\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub410\uace0, **\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300**\uac00 \uc774\uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 **\ub35c \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801**(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c, \uc989 \uc644\ud654 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ub35c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4\uc9c4)\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\uba74\uc11c **\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218**(US Dollar Index, DXY: \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc14\uc2a4\ucf13\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud55c \uc9c0\uc218)\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ubc1b\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558**\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc18\uc601(\uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \ud3ec\ud568\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uac83)\uc774, \ub2e8\uae30 \uacbd\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc790\uc2e0\uac10\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub450\ub824\uc6c0\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc62c\ud574 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c 6\uc6d4 FOMC(\uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc778 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ud68c\uc758)\uc5d0\uc11c **\uc5f0\uc900(Fed)**(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc774\ub904\uc9c8 \ud655\ub960\uc774 50% \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00 48%\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 **\uadfc\uc6d0 PCE**(Core PCE: \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uac8c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 3.0%\ub85c \ub098\uc628 \ub4a4, \uc870\uae30 \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\uc2ec\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9bd\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0<\/h3>\n\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc790 **\ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac(\uc218\uc775\ub960)**(Treasury yield: \uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud560 \ub54c \uae30\ub300\ub418\ub294 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc218\uc775\ub960)\uac00 \uc804 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. **2\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac**(\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 0.9bp \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 3.47%\uac00 \ub410\uace0, **10\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac**(\uacbd\uae30\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub354 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 2.3bp \uc62c\ub77c 4.05%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.  \n*(bp, \ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8: \uae08\ub9ac 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8)*\n\n\uc774 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 **5\ub144\ubb3c \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uc785\ucc30**(Treasury auction: \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \ubc1c\ud589\ud574 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \ud30c\ub294 \uc808\ucc28)\uc774 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ubcc0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc774 \uae00\uc740 AI \ub3c4\uad6c\uc758 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 \uc791\uc131\ub418\uace0 \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uac00 \uac80\ud1a0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, FXStreet \uc778\uc0ac\uc774\ud2b8 \ud300\uc774 \uc815\ub9ac\ud55c \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30 \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc904\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 1\uc6d4 **\uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c**(\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5 \uad00\ub828 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud574 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac 26\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uac1c \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba74\uc11c, \ub2e8\uae30 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc904\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 **\ub048\uc801\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158**(\ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc798 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\ubd88\uacfc \uba87 \uc8fc \uc804, 6\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \ucc98\uc74c 50% \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc81c **CME FedWatch Tool**(CME\uac00 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud574 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc624\ub298 \uc544\uce68 \uae30\uc900 \uadf8 \ud655\ub960\uc740 35%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub354 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 1\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\uac00 2.9%\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c, \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c **\uc7ac\uc870\uc815**(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ubc14\ub00c\uba70 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\ub294 \uacfc\uc815)\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uace1\uc120 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158<\/h3>\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uac70\ub450\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c **2\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac**\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uba87 \uc8fc \uc0ac\uc774 \uc57d 3.47%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.70%\ub97c \ub118\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 **\u201c\ub354 \ub192\uac8c, \ub354 \uc624\ub798\u201d**(higher for longer: \uace0\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669) \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud558\uba70, \uc774\uc804 \uac00\uc815\uacfc\ub294 \ud06c\uac8c \ub2e4\ub985\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n**\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354**(derivatives traders: \uc635\uc158\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c \uac19\uc740 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790) \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubbf8 104.50\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub978 DXY\uc758 **\uc635\uc158**(options: \ubbf8\ub798\uc5d0 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc740 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ud65c\uc6a9\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9(=\uad6d\ucc44 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 **\uad6d\ucc44 \uc120\ubb3c**(Treasury futures: \ubbf8\ub798 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \uac70\ub798\ud558\uae30\ub85c \ud55c \uacc4\uc57d)\uc5d0\uc11c **\ud48b \ub9e4\uc218**(buying puts: \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\ub294 \uac83) \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8 \uc904\uc774\uae30)\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud560 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\uadf8\ub9ac\uace0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>. <\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc758 \uc9c4\uc9dc \uc774\uc720\ub294? \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \ud68c\ubcf5\uacfc \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4\ub85c DXY\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4. \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7\ub048\uc801\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\ub85c 6\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc774 50% \uc544\ub798\ub85c, \uae08\ub9ac \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\uacfc \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39258","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39258","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39258"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39258\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39258"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39258"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39258"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}