{"id":39238,"date":"2026-02-13T09:57:32","date_gmt":"2026-02-13T09:57:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%a1%9c%ec%9d%b4%eb%93%9c-%ec%b1%88%ec%9d%80-%ea%b0%95%ed%95%9c-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%eb%b9%84%eb%86%8d%ec%97%85-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80\/"},"modified":"2026-02-13T09:57:32","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T09:57:32","slug":"%eb%a1%9c%ec%9d%b4%eb%93%9c-%ec%b1%88%ec%9d%80-%ea%b0%95%ed%95%9c-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%eb%b9%84%eb%86%8d%ec%97%85-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a1%9c%ec%9d%b4%eb%93%9c-%ec%b1%88%ec%9d%80-%ea%b0%95%ed%95%9c-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%eb%b9%84%eb%86%8d%ec%97%85-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%ea%b0%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub85c\uc774\ub4dc \ucc48\uc740 \uac15\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9) \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubcf4\ud569\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, CPI\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc7ac\uc870\uc815 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc88c\uc6b0\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec(US Dollar)\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(nonfarm payrolls: \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubbfc\uac04\u00b7\uc815\ubd80 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc790 \uc218) \uc774\ud6c4 \uacac\uc870\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uc9c0\ub294 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(interest rates: \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub3c8\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc774\uc790\uc728) \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish: \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5)\uc73c\ub85c \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub354 \ubc14\ub014 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\uc5d0 \uc758\ubb38\uc744 \uac00\uc84c\ub2e4.\n\n\uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI: Consumer Price Index, \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ubc1c\ud45c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac14\uace0, \uc774\uac83\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc678\ud658(FX: \uc678\ud658, \ud1b5\ud654 \uac70\ub798) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3d9\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc5ec\uaca8\uc9c4\ub2e4. MUFG\uc758 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc804\ub7b5\uac00\ub294 1\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI(core CPI: \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00)\ub97c \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44(month-on-month: \uc804\ub2ec\uacfc \ube44\uad50) 0.25%, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44(year-on-year: 1\ub144 \uc804 \uac19\uc740 \ub2ec\uacfc \ube44\uad50) 2.6%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \ube14\ub8f8\ubc84\uadf8 \uc9d1\uacc4 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(consensus: \uc5ec\ub7ec \uae30\uad00 \uc804\ub9dd\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0)\ub294 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778(headline: \uc804\uccb4 CPI)\uacfc \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI \ubaa8\ub450 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.5%\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 CPI\ub85c<\/h3>\nCPI\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Federal Reserve, Fed: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c(rate path: \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd)\uac00 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00(repricing: \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc14\ub00c\ub294 \uac83)\ub418\uba70 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. CPI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc73c\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 Fed \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(rate cuts: \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83) \uc57d 2\ud68c\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \ubc18\uc601\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc62c\ud574 \ucd08 2025\ub144\uc5d0 \uc810\uac80\ud588\ub358 \uac15\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc640 \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c, 1\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 19\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uba85 \ub298\uc5b4\ub09c \uc810\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud070 \ub7a0\ub9ac(major rally: \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uae09\ub4f1)\ub294 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(core inflation: \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00)\uc774 \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. Fed\uac00 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c(PCE gauge: \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00, Fed\uac00 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc790\uc8fc \uc4f0\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 4\ubd84\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0 2.8%\uc600\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub798\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 CPI\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44<\/h3>\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives: \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\ud658\uc728 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488) \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 CPI \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(volatility: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\ub294 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.3%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba74 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(long dollar call options: \uc77c\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \uc0ac\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305) \ub9e4\uc218\ub098 EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4(short positions in EUR\/USD puts: \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uac70\ub798)\uac00 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 6\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 50%(probability priced in: \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131)\ub97c \ud754\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ubc18\ub300\ub85c CPI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc73c\uba74, Fed\uac00 \uc5f0\uc911 \uc911\ubc18(mid-year: \uc62c\ud574 \uc911\uac04 \uc2dc\uc810)\ubd80\ud130 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc644\ud654(ease policy: \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \uae08\uc735\uc5ec\uac74\uc744 \ub35c \ube61\ube61\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \uac83)\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility: \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc788\ub294 \u2018\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2019\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd94\uc815\uce58)\uc740 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uace0, \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangles: \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\/\ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5) \uac19\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc804\ub7b5(sellers of options strategies: \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \ucabd)\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654(slowing economic outlook: \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uc804\ub9dd) \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc57c\uae30\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62e\uaca8\uac00\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uae30<\/a>\u00a0<\/b>\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uac15\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \uba48\uce6b\u2014\uc2b9\ubd80\ub294 CPI! \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\uace0\uc6a9 \ud638\uc870\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uacac\uc870\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub9e4\ud30c \uc7ac\uac00\uaca9 \uc5ec\ub825\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c. 1\uc6d4 CPI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138, \ubd80\ud569\u00b7\ud558\ud68c\uba74 \uc62c\ud574 \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd \uc720\uc9c0. \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39238","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39238","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39238"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39238\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39238"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39238"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39238"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}