{"id":39053,"date":"2026-02-25T04:34:42","date_gmt":"2026-02-25T04:34:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%a3%bc%ec%9a%94-cpi-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-aud-usd%eb%8a%94-0-7060-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ed%9a%a1%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-3%eb%85%84%eb%9e%98\/"},"modified":"2026-02-25T04:34:42","modified_gmt":"2026-02-25T04:34:42","slug":"%ec%a3%bc%ec%9a%94-cpi-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-aud-usd%eb%8a%94-0-7060-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ed%9a%a1%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-3%eb%85%84%eb%9e%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%a3%bc%ec%9a%94-cpi-%eb%b0%9c%ed%91%9c%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-aud-usd%eb%8a%94-0-7060-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%ed%9a%a1%eb%b3%b4%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-3%eb%85%84%eb%9e%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc8fc\uc694 CPI \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 AUD\/USD\ub294 0.7060 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\uba70 3\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\uace0, \uc881\uc740 \uac70\ub798 \ubc94\uc704 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c 0.7060 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uace0, \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc740 0.1% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ud638\uc8fc CPI \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uac70\uc758 4\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 0.7000~0.7150 \ubc14\ub85c \uc544\ub798 \uc0ac\uc774(\uc57d 150\ud54d \ubc94\uc704)\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\ud54d(pip)**: \uc678\ud658\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uc544\uc8fc \uc791\uc740 \ubcc0\ud654 \ub2e8\uc704. AUD\/USD\ucc98\ub7fc \uc18c\uc218\uc810 4\uc790\ub9ac\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ubcf4\ud1b5 **0.0001**\uc774 1\ud54d\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc740 2\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c **25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8)** \uc62c\ub824 **3.85%**\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2023\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uccab \uc778\uc0c1\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 5\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc788\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d **76%**\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 **2%~3% \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704**\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8)**: \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ud654 \ub2e8\uc704. **1bp = 0.01%p**, \ub530\ub77c\uc11c **25bp = 0.25%p**.  \n&#8211; **RBA(Reserve Bank of Australia)**: \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 **\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589**. \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc870\uc815\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uad00\ub9ac\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>\ud638\uc8fc \ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911<\/h3>\n\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 1\uc6d4 **CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)**\ub294 3.8%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.7%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. **\uc808\uc0ac\ud3c9\uade0 CPI(Trimmed mean CPI)**\ub294 3.3%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\uba70, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)**: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc62c\ub790\ub294\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c.  \n&#8211; **\uc808\uc0ac\ud3c9\uade0 CPI**: \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\uac70\ub098 \ub0b4\ub9b0 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc81c\uc678\ud558\uace0 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud574, **\ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \u201c\uae30\ubcf8 \ud750\ub984(\uadfc\uc6d0 \ud750\ub984)\u201d**\uc744 \ub354 \uc798 \ubcf4\ub824\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c.\n\n\ubbf8\uad6d \ucabd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc5f0\ubc29\ub300\ubc95\uc6d0 \ud310\uacb0\ub85c \uae30\uc874 \uad00\uc138 \uc870\uce58\uac00 \uc81c\ub3d9\uc774 \uac78\ub9b0 \ub4a4 **\uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc5d0 15% \uad00\uc138**\ub97c \uc0c8\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 2\uc6d4 89\uc5d0\uc11c 91.2\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, **\uae30\ub300\uc9c0\uc218**\ub294 \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4 \uacbd\uace0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\uc8fc \uc5b8\uae09\ub418\ub294 80 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 13\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\uad00\uc138(tariff)**: \uc218\uc785\ud488\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uae30\ub294 \uc138\uae08. \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba74 \ubb34\uc5ed \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ucee4\uc838 \uacbd\uc81c\u00b7\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218**: \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ub290\ub07c\ub294\uc9c0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c.  \n&#8211; **\uae30\ub300\uc9c0\uc218(expectations index)**: \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uacbd\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc124\ubb38\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \ud558\uc704 \uc9c0\ud45c.\n\n\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c AUD\/USD\ub294 1\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810(\uc57d 0.6590)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub978 \ub4a4, **50\uc77c EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0)** \uc57d 0.6890\uacfc **200\uc77c EMA** \uc57d 0.6660 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4. 0.7150\uc744 \ub118\uc73c\uba74 0.7200\uc744 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uace0, 0.7000 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uba74 50\uc77c EMA\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc911\uc694\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d(technicals)**: \uac00\uaca9 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc640 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc9c0\u00b7\uc800\ud56d, \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95.  \n&#8211; **EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0)**: \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub450\ub294 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120. \ucd94\uc138 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc790\uc8fc \uc4f0\uc778\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\uc9c0\uc9c0\/\uc800\ud56d**: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc790\uc8fc \uba48\ucd94\uac70\ub098 \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\ub098\ub294 \uad6c\uac04.\n\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud750\ub984 \ubcc0\ud654<\/h3>\n\uc9c0\ub09c\ud574\ub97c \uc9c0\ub098\uba70 \ud638\uc8fc \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud588\uace0, 2025\ub144 12\uc6d4 \ubd84\uae30 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 CPI\uac00 **3.1%**\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 1\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uc5c8\ub358 3.7%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uce58\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ub454\ud654\ub294 RBA\uc758 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 **\ub9e4\ud30c(\uae34\ucd95 \ucabd)**\uc5d0\uc11c **\uc911\ub9bd**\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\uafd4 \ub193\uc558\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\ub9e4\ud30c(hawkish)**: \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac19\uc740 **\uae34\ucd95**\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5.  \n&#8211; **\uc911\ub9bd(neutral)**: \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 **\uc9c0\ucf1c\ubcf4\ub294** \uc131\ud5a5.\n\nRBA\ub294 2025\ub144 5\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \ub354 \uc62c\ub824 **4.10%**\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e0 \ub4a4, \uadf8 \uc774\ud6c4\ub85c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc81c\ub294 \u201c\ub2e4\uc74c \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc5b8\uc81c\ub0d0\u201d\ubcf4\ub2e4 \u201c\uc5b8\uc81c \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub4f1)\ub97c \uace0\ubbfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub0d0\u201d\uac00 \ub354 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc8fc\uc81c\uac00 \ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 2026\ub144 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 RBA\uac00 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ub354 \uc870\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131(\ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1)\uc744 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\uc644\ud654(easing)**: \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub298\ub824 \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \ub3d5\ub294 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \uc815\ucc45.  \n&#8211; **\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub410\ub2e4(priced in)**: \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \uadf8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ud3ec\ud568\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b.\n\n\ud604\uc7ac AUD\/USD\uac00 0.6620 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 1\ub144 \uc804\uacfc \ub2e4\ub974\ub2e4. \uc608\uc804\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \uac15\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc9c0\uae08\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uc800\ud56d \uad6c\uac04 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ubb34\uac8c\uac00 \uc62e\uaca8\uac14\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uac15\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc600\ub358 **50\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120**\uc740 \uc774\uc81c 0.6710 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud575\uc2ec \uc800\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.  \n&#8211; **\ucf58\uc194\ub9ac\ub370\uc774\uc158(\ud6a1\ubcf4\u00b7\uc218\ub834)**: \ud070 \ucd94\uc138 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc.  \n&#8211; **\uc800\ud56d(resistance)**: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub974\ub2e4\uac00 \ub9c9\ud788\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD 0.7060 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c, \ub0b4\uc77c \ud638\uc8fc CPI\uac00 \ud310\uc744 \ubc14\uafbc\ub2e4! RBA \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 vs \ubbf8\uad6d 15% \uad00\uc138 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c, 0.7150 \ub3cc\ud30c\u00b70.7000 \uc774\ud0c8\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \uac00\ub978\ub2e4. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":62,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39053","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/62"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39053"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39053\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39053"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39053"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39053"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}